JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/3/20

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PKay

2:52

If the Rangers decide to blow it up, what sort of return could they get for Lynn and Gallo? Would it be better to try and package them together to get the best possible prospect? Or in seperate deals to aquire a larger group of prospects?

Ben Clemens

2:53

Separately I assume. I also think Lynn's value is lower than the saber-savvy FanGraphs readership thinks

We're super into the FIP and the new pitches and the using four-seamers more and alll, but I think there's still a sense of skepticism there

Combine that with his age and eh

2:53

Joey Gallo is looking like his adjustments from last year were real. He's being more selective at the plate and mitigating his swing and miss weaknesses. Do you buy into him and does he have a chance to be Judge-lite with .250, 45 HR (full season pace)?

Ben Clemens

2:53

Gallo, on the other hand, I think is totally real.

2:54

I think he can easily be Judge-lite

He still has this year and two more years of team control, he'd fetch a pretty penny

2:55

I do not think they'll trade him, but if you're a team with a window over the next two years, you can tell yourself you're getting 6-8 WAR over those years combined with room to grow from there

That's like a 55-60 FV prospect minimum, maybe a smidge more

Any Team

2:55

LOL yeah I'm gonna trade a prospect for pitching help in a season that Ben Clemens just gauged has a 2-in-3 chance of being canceled.

Ben Clemens

2:55

Haha yes I reallllly hope teams use me as a barometer

But yeah, deadline deals are gonna be

well

Bad

the guy all the way in the back

2:55

seth brown was 0/3 yesterday but with a barrel. with khris davis playing as poorly as he has, would you be starting brown at dh most days if you're oakland?

Ben Clemens

2:55

Yes I would

2:56

I think I've talked about this before, maybe in the opening day A's game chat

I would be playing Brown over Davis as much as possible at this poin

I think Davis is pretty close to cooked

Guest

2:56

I don't think it will happen, but it's not totally unreasonable that a guy like Hanser Alberto could finish above .400 in 60 games especially if the O's face a lot of lefties. Would that be good? Bad?

Ben Clemens

2:56

Totally could, and I'd argue it's good

We're not going to say he's now Ted Williams

2:57

You know? We're more evolved than that

And given that, I think it'd be an awesome story for someone to hit .400

It's still unlikely even in a short season

Isolated Thinker

2:57

Do you expect to see a correlation between teams falling out of the race and players on said teams opting out? If I'm a player performing way above my talent level, why not call it a day and not risk those stats leveling out, better padding my resume.

Ben Clemens

2:58

Maybe? On the other hand, if you're that guy, you probably believe that your changes are real, right?

No one plays a sport and thinks 'gosh variance sure worked out my way but I'm still the same old me'

So you might want to keep playing to prove your new level is real

Now if you're babip'ing 500, maybe not

But teams already regress that out anyway

2:59

I think what you might see is veterans on bad teams, a la Buster Posey, take a pas

pass*

They don' care about the resume, but getting sick is lame and they're already rich

Guest