JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/10/24

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/10/24

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Ben Clemens

12:01

Hey everyone, welcome to the chat

171

12:01

The Orioles... woof. I haven't been able to make myself be interested in watching this team in weeks. Do you think that there needs to be managerial/coaching changes made to remedy whatever cause these last 3 months to happen?

Ben Clemens

12:01

Ooh, it seems like it's time for the Orioles to be the AL East team with a great record who everyone thinks is terrible

12:02

Remember the halcyon days of a week and a half ago when everyone said the Yankees were a below .500 team who wouldn't sniff the playoffs?

those were fun

The O's are fine, c'mon

Not AJ Preller

12:02

Contracts aside, who would you rather have for the next 5 years: JRod, Carroll, or Chourio?

Ben Clemens

12:03

I think I'd take JRod

12:04

But there are no wrong answers, imo

DeeBo

12:04

It's a small sample, I know, but is there anything from Connor Norby's current hot streak that makes you think the prospect reports might have undersold him a bit? He's hit everywhere he's been and looks like a very solid piece for the M's going forward

Ben Clemens

12:04

Ehhhhh.... I like Norby, but I don't think his recent string of success is changing my view much

12:05

he's striking out a third of the time, and I don't think he's gonna keep posting a .300 ISO

12:06

I'm basically in the same place where I was before this hot streak - intriguing player, liked the trade for the Marlins, not ready to change my priors

Bob

12:06

Which two would you keep for fantasy baseball among Elly De La Cruz, Kyle Tucker, Jarren Duran and Paul Skenes?

Ben Clemens

12:07

I think Skenes and Elly? Man, I don't know

good problem to have, depends on keeper prices and all

I'm definitely worried about Tucker's injury for this year, but I think in the long term it'll be just fine

Oaktown Blues

12:07

Hi Ben! On July 8, you wrote about Brent Rooker's success built on not being afraid to rack up the Ks as long as he keeps hitting it hard. Since your article, Rooker has a 194 wRC+ and a 22.6% K rate (217 PAs). Do you think he unlocked another gear? Or just an extended hot streak for a guy who was already pretty damn good?

Ben Clemens

12:08

I am somehwere between those two. I thought about writing about Rooker again but to be honest, I already write about the A's a lot :)

SO I thought I'd give it a rest and maybe let someone else take it

Down by the River Ryan

12:09

I'm sure it's automated and due to the whole indy ball thing, but Kumar Rocker being listed as No School despite famously going to Vanderbilt looks odd.

Ben Clemens

12:09

Oh yeah, definitely automated, but I"ll mention it

GA Blood

12:09

Nasim Nunez's season makes me sad. I don't understand it in the context of the Nationals' season. All season on the roster, 36 games played, 38 plate appearances. 141 wRC+. What was the point, really?

Ben Clemens

12:09

I've been trying to write about this for a while now

12:10

I can't quite find an angle that works

for how many days he's been on the roster, he's basically just never playing

12:11

That said, I gave it up when the Nats started letting him play the occasional full game in August

He's now only a kind of interesting outlier -- he has 17 PA in the past month, and he only had 14 in the entire first half of the season

Sean

12:11

Do you think Dipoto should lose his job if the M's miss the playoffs with that starting staff? He's done a great job building the farm, and the pitching staff, but are his roster decisions holding the M's back at this point?

Sodo Mojo

12:11

I am torn about the Mariners retaining Dipoto for another year. On one hand I think he is not the best GM to lead the teams forward and there other better options who would gladly take the job even though ownership seems ambivalent about winning. On the other hand that same ownership group hired Bill Bavasi and Jack Zduriencik both of whom were unmitigated disasters. What should I think as a Mariners fan?

Ben Clemens

12:12

man

I typed up and then deleted a few possible answers here

12:13

I'm really divided here

I feel like the main thing holding the Mariners back is the entire organizational structure; ownership doesn't want to spend, and that view permeates downward

12:14

but letting Dipoto off the hook for putting that view into practice doesn't feel quite right

I think I'd probably give him another year against my better judgment, but it's a really tough one

Tom A.

12:14

Do outcomes on a 3-2 count vary depending if the count started 0-2 or 3-2? I've always been fascinated by this. My feeling is that the batter has the relative advantage in both of these cases, but the pitcher in other cases.

Ben Clemens

12:14

I'm actually in the process of investigating this, or at least the general case of this

12:15

Here's a note I took down at Saber Seminar: "count not modeled well by Markov Chain??? investigate"

someone mentioned that kind of off hand and I've been curious about it ever since

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