JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/10/24

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Ben Clemens

12:53

I've been donw on the Rangers for a while, though. I think one of my 'bold predictions' for the year was that the Rangers would miss the playoffs and finish below .500

They've been light on depth for a while now

12:54

and when things don't hit right, it's ugly

ResumeMan

12:54

Oakland in the postseason!*

(*Ballers, that is)

hopeful champion

12:54

would you start Bido tonight against the astros? even with him pitching in relief the other day?

Ben Clemens

12:54

Yeesh, I think no, but I don't have a strong lean either way

Insert Witty Name Here

12:54

When I think of Curtis Granderson, all I think of is that commercial on repeat that kept mentioning his parents were teachers. Also I think I asked this to you years ago because I remember thinking Curtis Carl Clemens would be a funny name.

Ben Clemens

12:54

I don't remember that quesiton - but look, I really like Granderson

DeeBo

12:55

What do you think the mood inside the White Sox clubhouse is right now? A lot of young guys trying to prove themselves, but among the veterans it must be pretty miserable

Ben Clemens

12:55

oh yeah I think it's probably mostly awful

it is just NOT fun to lose so often in anything

Guardcore Clevelander

12:56

Not so much as question as an observation. The Royals have a weak outfield, a strong rotation, and no bullpen, with their best player being a middle infielder. The Guardians have multiple All-Stars who can play the outfield, a struggling rotation, an elite bullpen, and their best infielder is at third base. It's like the 2015 Royals and 2018 Guardians swapped roles.

Ben Clemens

12:56

This is Andrew Miller erasure, but true in a broad sense

It's definitely strange to see the Royals built around a meteoric up-the-middle talent while the Guardians go the pitching and defense route, although I don't think their outfield all stars will last

Sirras

12:57

When do the White Sox next have a .500 season?

Ben Clemens

12:57

Uh.... yikes

2028?

I feel like they have it in them to turn it around soon

Sully

12:58

With ~3 weeks left in the season, can I throw any starter in there for Ks and not worry about a blow-up hurting my lead in WHIP? I'm at 1.063 and 2nd place is at 1.125.

Ben Clemens

12:58

let's say you're in a 1,400 innings max league. Your lead is 84 walks or hits

12:59

how much of a blowup are we expecting? I have to assume less than that

so I think you're good

Guest

12:59

Who do you think gets left out of the NL WC? I know that you wrote a detailed defense of the playoff odds methodology recently, and ARI and SD have very high odds; but it also seems like either team could get squeezed out. They don't have much of a lead on NYM and ATL.

Ben Clemens

1:00

I think it'll be the Mets, though I hope I'm wrong b/c this has been a really fun team

But honestly, it feels like a pretty big tossup to me

1:01

all these odds are really close, and I'm DEFINITELY not confident that I'm good at telling a 60% chance from a 65% chance

Christian

1:01

New rule: The ownership of the team with the worst regular season record is forced to sell at the end of the year.

Ben Clemens

1:01

oh yes, let's do that

Insert Witty Name Here

1:01

Weird hypothetical - would increasing the baseball size help reduce the massive velo we’re seeing nowdays? Or is that just too extreme and maybe in 2050?

Ben Clemens

1:02

I think it'd just be too extreme

I'd mess with seams and ball composition way before doing that

Okay, on that note, I'm gonna call it a chat. Stick around for Jay Jaffe's FanGraphs chat later today, banner Tuesday.

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