JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/11/23

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/11/23

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Ben Clemens

2:25

I think it's a case of penny wise pound foolish, but the pound foolish part comes down to some big swings they've missed on and I'm not sure if it's fair to knock them for not signing, say, Aaron Judge

the Giants seem incredibly good at turning a nickel into a 7 cent coin or whatever

really impressive ability to both help their own prospects improve and also find non-prospect guys elsewhere that can contribute

2:26

They just continue to build a team that looks like it needs some star upside, and not sign stars

2:27

like, I kind of assume that the front office is not happy with the current composition of the roster

2:28

not b/c they're sad about Yaz and J.D. Davis and Thairo and so on, but because the obvious move has been to spend a metric ton of money to add a star and they keep not doing it

Kwantifying

2:28

Pitchers are biased towards not throwing the same pitch twice in a row. You think that's an inefficiency?

Ben Clemens

2:28

I've tried to measure this so many times

I truly can't tell you what the 'right' answer is

it doesn't *seem* like going back-to-back with the same pitch delivers excess returns

2:30

but I'm not a great statistician and I'm certainly not confident in my controls

Pads Fan

2:30

Despite their on-field results this year, shouldn't the Padres be an appealing organization from a TV broadcasting standpoint? Especially since ownership has shown a willingness to financially commit long-term.

Ben Clemens

2:30

Yeah

I think they are

San Diego is a good market, too

being the one team in a pretty large metro area works well

v2micca

2:30

Regarding the Strider Homeruns this year. Do you think part of it is just the league getting more video on him and understanding how better to adjust to him. He's getting his K's and has lowered his walk rate. But I feel that when he misses with his pitches this year, teams are punishing it more consistently.

Ben Clemens

2:31

Yeah, I dunno about the whole 'when he misses' thing because I do think that mistakes get punished at a fairly consistent rate

but I do think that there's more video on him, and that teams are trying hard to not get eaten alive by high fastballs

bosoxforlife

2:32

I look at the Braves and actually am surprised that their record isn't closer to 110-30. Michael Harris, who bats 9th, would be the best hitter on a number teams and they role out two aces and two solid starters behind them.

Ben Clemens

2:32

yeah the Braves are ridiculous

2:33

I'm a huge Harris fan, though I do think they're batting him ninth despite knowing he's not the worst hitter on the team

I think he's probably closer to fifth-best or so, maybe sixth?

it's just an outrageous offense though

2:34

The pitching side is more stars and scrubs, in my opinion

I"m kinda down on Elder and Morton, though yeah they're completely reasonable as 3/4 options

2:35

but there's a reason we project htem for the best rest-of-season record by a mile

projected .612 winning percentage, that's pretty nuts

and a 31% chance of winning the world series jeez!

C-low

2:35

Not excited for Os-Rays?

Ben Clemens

2:35

Oh I am too

2:36

but the Rangers/Jays thing feels more urgent because the race is closer and because one of the teams will miss the playoffs entirely

bb

2:36

I've been hearing that Jordan Walker's defense has been improving (Dad's eye test, not all that reliable) are statcast defensive splits a thing?

Ben Clemens

2:36

They are, and it's true!

https://twitter.com/AdamAkbani/status/1700874013554221199

2:37

Adam Akbani has the deets

darb

2:37

You and Lowe trading Friday columns would be a hilarious bit one week

Ben Clemens

2:37

If I could do that I would

He's a biiiiiit more famous than me

Also, I'd do a tennis column if I could

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