JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/15/25

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/15/25

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White fang

2:12

What you got cooking up

Ben Clemens

2:12

doing some playoff odds investigation for tomorrow

after that, who knows

Nancy's Friend Sluggo

2:13

I'm the only Zen NYM fan. I think they barely make the playoffs and then have a decent shot of upsetting the LAD in the first round.

Ben Clemens

2:13

I like it

you should talk to my Mets fan friends

I agree with you across the board on this, tbh

Blustery Day

2:13

Can wind have a noticeable effect on pitching control? Was watching the Dodgers/Giants Ray vs. Glasnow game and the wind was really whipping around like it tends to do in San Fran. They were both struggling pretty mightily with command, and I am sure it's just that those guys do sometimes. But it had me wondering...

Ben Clemens

2:13

I think it's possible. Or at least that a lot of things associated with wind can

2:14

harder to be sure of your footing, changing winds can mess with ball flight, distracting thigns blowing around in the background, other things I haven't thought of

Bosoxforlife

2:14

I love then Cal Raleigh story but just one look at what Aaron Judge has done in the past week, when it gets down to the nitty-gritty, should answer the question. Judge is the MVP!

Ben Clemens

2:14

I concur

I've never really wavered in that view, though I certainly get the instinct to give it to someone new

2:15

Cal is really fun and Judge is obviously great, he doesn't need more awards to confirm it

but, uh, he's the most valuable player?

Bosoxforlife

2:15

I couldn't help but laugh at the thought that Dom Smith is an indispensable player.

Ben Clemens

2:15

It's wild!

he's been sneaky good this year though

2:16

111 wRC+, his best since 2020. huge upgrade over LaMonte Wade Jr's year (58 wRC+), and Wilmer Flores vs. a righty is not really where you want to be

it's one of these 'well for this team in particular, replacement level is not 0 WAR but -2 WAR'

2131, 1312

2:16

Jackson Holliday is back on track, no? Trying to get used to the streakiness for who knows how long

Ben Clemens

2:16

I mean.... prob... ably?

2:17

on the other hand it's not like he had an incredible season, and it's not like he improved massively as the year went on

1st half wRC+: 102
2nd half wRC+: 102

maybe this is just who he is offensively? or like, at least in this general zip code

i will say, the walks are a GREAT sign

2:18

like I think the bust risk is probably not there anymore

but the star potential? I'm unconvinced

Guest

2:18

which one should i watch today , ashcraft or Yesavage

Thomas

2:18

Trey Yesavage and Bryce Eldridge both debuting today! Teams calling up top prospects to help for the stretch run is so much fun. Feels like the part in a fantasy novel where the young hero has to come in and save the day

Ben Clemens

2:18

I'm gonna try to watch Yesavage and Eldridge today

2:19

I mean, Ashcraft is very exciting, but I've seen him pitch in the bigs before

207

2:19

With two more homers not only does Judge join the 50x4 club that is only PED/Ruth, but also passes Griffey for most ever in 4 years that isn't PED/Ruth. The PED era and juiced ball i think made homers less impressive but even with all that, 50x4 never suddenly happened outside of these guys.

Ben Clemens

2:19

Judge is the kind of shooting star that we shoudl be happy we get to see

in 50 years people are going to talk about Judge the way I talk about Mantle

JHench

2:20

In both of the races where teams flipped spots this past week (Houston/Seattle, Boston/New York), the only change to the playoff bracket was home field. Is that high-enough stakes?

Ben Clemens

2:20

I'm gonna say yes, based on watching these games

seems like it had the crowd and players pretty juiced

Austin

2:20

Is Dillon Dingler the next JT Realmuto? He's got a real claim to be the 2nd best catcher in the league this year. Or at least in the group trailing Raleigh. His combination of elite defense and line-drive contact remind me a lot of prime JT. He's a pretty good athlete too!

Ben Clemens

2:20

he's tremendously underrated, I'll give you that

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