JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/18/23

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Ben Clemens

2:39

I think you have to project too much improvement in Abrams's defense still

he shows flashes, but I'm not in on it yet

2:40

and I like Volpe's ceiling more as a hitter. Abrams feels a bit more capped to me offensively because of his approach

That said I might be letting my preseason view of Abrams creep into this evaluation too much

It's a good one to look back into after the year

2:41

I was quite down on Abrams because of, well, the arc of his career

but this is a really encouraging season for him, no doubt

GBS42

2:41

All else being equal, would two hitters, one with a .250/.350/.450 line and the other with a .300/.350/.450 line, have the same or different wRC+ values?

Ben Clemens

2:41

probably the same ish

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/tom-tangos-triple-slash-conund...

Thomas

2:41

Ben, Davis Schneider's wRC+ has dropped nearly 60 points (to 193) since you wrote about him. Why did you jinx him (because there's obviously no other explanation)? Also, over/under 125 for his end of season wRC+?

Ben Clemens

2:42

Over! but yeah, haha, whoops

Ron Hassey

2:42

Am I just being an overly emotional fan when I argue the biggest mistake the Jays have made in recent memory was failing to give Anthopolous full control, which ended his tenure in Toronto?

Ben Clemens

2:42

No I think that's probably right

clearly he's pretty good at it

2:43

and I don't have any other glaring things to point out

Guest

2:43

RE: padres winning out and making playoffs
Dan Szymborski just answered this using ZiPs on Twitter
https://x.com/DSzymborski/status/1703810794360655942?s=20

Ben Clemens

2:43

I think I must have mixed up some of the tiebreak situations

that's what makes this math hard

if they have the tiebreak over two teams, then it jumps up a lot

and I maybe didn't even implement the first one right

I should create a ZiPS of my own

(note: definitely not doing that, also can't do that)

David

2:43

Mariners Rangers fighting for WC3 with 7 out of their last 10 games against each other. Just like we thought at at the trade deadline.

Ben Clemens

2:43

It's gonna be awesome

fandom

2:44

i fully expect to be gaslit by Mozeliak this offseason that dakota hudson made improvements this year to warrant a starting spot in '24

Ben Clemens

2:44

An annual ritual

Loser

2:44

Why aren't peripheral stats for hitters not often brought up by award voters compared to pitcher peripherals? Is it because a hitter can still be successful without leading the league in xwOBA?

Ben Clemens

2:45

Eh, I think it'd be very weird to bring up expected statistics in an awards discussion, personally

the pitcher peripherals we're using still care about what actually happened on the field, you nkow?

like, they pick and choose which events to give more weight to

but I think the Isaac Paredes of it all makes it kinda claer that when we can measure the outcomes well, we should focus more on those outcomes

bosoxforlife

2:46

You speak of pennant races and yesterday proved again why baseball is the greatest game. 2 games with tremendous importance were in the same spot. Jays led the Red Sox and Rays led the Orioles by 1 run with 2 outs and nobody on the las of the 9th. Devers homered to tie and the O's get a double from Frazier to tie, then a hit from Rutschman with 2 outs in the 10th to tie it again. One of the best games I have watched and theintensity of the crowd was off the charts.

Ben Clemens

2:46

You have to love it

swiftcool

2:46

What are your thoughts on the orioles massive win over the rays yesterday?

Ben Clemens

2:46

What an awesome series overall, playoff races are really fun

Guest

2:46

The Pirates are ONE game below .500 since the all-star break and have won 4 of their last 6 series. They started ridiculously hot then went embarrassingly south and those two streaks of play were covered extensively by the media. Then the narrative was frozen. The fact that they have managed to go .500 for almost half a season since has been ignored. I guess my question is, why?

Ben Clemens

2:46

Teams that are dead in the water for playoff races basically get their records ignored in the second half

it's not unique to the Pirates

2:47

The Nats are 30-30 since the break, the Mets are 27-32, Detroit is 31-29

Connecting…