JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/20/21

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/20/21

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Cynthia

2:10

Can we get an article about Jackie Bradley's historic offensive ineptitude? Out of 15,372 player-seasons with 400+ PAs since 1920,only 11 have hit worse than his 37 wRC+.

Ben Clemens

2:10

Definitely in the hopper

I have a list of things I want to write about by year's end and he's on it

Jacques Pederson

2:10

Pretty massive performance by the Cardinals this past couple weeks, wouldn't you say?

Ben Clemens

2:11

It's been a blast to watch. I also like that it's basically all Tyler O'Neill all the time at the moment. He's really fun to root for

JC

2:11

Does Fedde’s second start at Cincy make him a no go? I’m holding a decent lead after week one of points league playoffs and his Mia start is enticing

Ben Clemens

2:11

I think I'd probably still play him, but I'm not a points league expert by any means

Steve

2:11

Baz has higher upside than either McClanahan or Patino?

Ben Clemens

2:11

I'll take Patino over him still, but yes, plenty of upside

Scherzer

2:11

I'm unsure if Ruiz and Gray was a light return on July 31, but it sure feels like one now with the way Scherzer has pitched. Is it fair to judge the Scherzer trade differently now than it was when it happened, given the short-term boon for LAD?

Ben Clemens

2:12

Not really, in my opinion.

I don't think they were likely to get more. Teams knew who Max Scherzer was

It's not like we've learned some shocking new information that changes the value, and he was gone after this year anyway

Marko from Tropoja

2:12

Assuming he re-signs, should the Dodgers just schedule Kershaw for say two 10-day IL stints at each third of the season even if he’s healthy? This would be akin to “load management” in the NBA; maybe he can get to 30 starts with a couple of breaks. His peripherals are excellent—2.80 FIP is his lowest in five years—and translate to a six-win pace over a full season.

Ben Clemens

2:12

Why not? Seems like they get to that point one way or another anyway

5 Run Homer

2:13

What would your awards ballots look like right now?

Ben Clemens

2:14

AL: Ohtani/Ray/Arozarena

I would have given AL ROY to Wander if he'd played juuuuust a little more

NL: Harper/Burnes/India

2:15

I'm tempted to fake give my NL MVP vote to a Giant or Dodger, but those teams were about overwhelming lineups, not a single star

And I think I've said enough about Burnes in the past but I like him! a lot!

Sean Huff-Scheidel

2:15

You're probably not the person to ask for this, but I'm not sure who is. If I export data from a leaderboard, 0.1 IP is read as 1/10 instead of 1/3. Is there a way to combat this, or do I just have to change it by hand?

Ben Clemens

2:15

In excel, there's an easy way

use the function dollarde

So dollarde(cell you want to change, 3)

2:16

It tells Excel to read the numbers after the decimal as the numerator, with the denominator being whatever you put after the comma

Ryan

2:16

Any realistic chance that the A's or the Mariners get back into the Wild Card race and bounce one of the AL East teams? Asking as a 'slightly perturbed about having 2 division rivals making the playoffs' Rays fan.

Ben Clemens

2:17

Depends on your definition of 'realistic'

The A's could get hot, Cardinals-style

It's happened before. For example, to the Cardinals

But they need to do it NOW

Sam

2:18

The Blue Jays have a better run differential than the Rays (just barely). Has the difference in record between them mostly been luck?

Ben Clemens

2:18

I don't think "mostly" is a fair way to characterize it

The Rays have done really well at getting their best players into very important situations, they use their relievers well, which always makes run differential confusing

2:19

The Jays also have a team construction style (really deep lineup with tons of power) that lends itself to being up 10-2 or whatever and having the other team send in the clowns to throw batting practice

TomBruno23

2:19

Love the best/worst bunt stories. What about doing similar for stolen base attempts?

Ben Clemens

2:19

I looked into it earlier, and the problem is that the WPA changes bunch together

2:20

I might do something on the best and worst base stealers, but doing individual ones is tough. The best ones would all be defensive miscues and the worst would all just be CS's, not so fun

barney gumble

2:20

hey ben. what changes do you think the yankees make if they miss the playoffs? in terms of infield and the FO

Ben Clemens

2:20

Regardless of whether they make the playoffs, I think they are taking Gleyber's shortstop privileges away this offseason and signing Correa or Seager (I lean Correa)

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