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Brad Johnson and Paul Sporer Baseball Chat 1-9-2018
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Paul Sporer
2:46
I like that same crew this year, tbh
Brad Johnson
2:46
yea, but now they aren't free
or nearly so
Paul Sporer
2:47
For sure
Brad Johnson
2:47
One thing I'll note before changing topics, I've done some early work on the relief market, there aren't many candidates to fill that setup to ace RP role
A lot of that is because many teams appear to have an elite closer in place
2:48
With the exception of a few teams like the Marlins, you'll have to bet on guys like Ken Giles breaking
(Chris Devenski, presumably)
Matt
2:49
Who is the pitcher currently going outside the top 20 by NFBC ADP that is most likely to finish as a top 10 pitcher and why is it Jose Quintana?
Brad Johnson
2:49
Paul?
Frankly, I'm a little shocked to see Quintana outside of the top 20. I don't monitor rankings very closely this early.
Paul Sporer
2:50
Q is a nice scoop bc he's deemed boring which depresses his value at least a round more than it should be.
Brad Johnson
2:51
I assume Godley is outside of the top 20. I don't think he's very far from being an ace
Paul Sporer
2:52
I could see some of the former studs rebounding up there, too, like Cueto and Price
Brad Johnson
2:52
Also, the DBacks have a humidor now. It was installed last April/May but not approved for use. I assume it will be approved over the offseason.
Oh definitely
Those old guys are going to be some of the best value plays (and also busts)
2018 version of Greinke
Paul Sporer
2:52
Also think Samardzija & Tanaka could have a big year because the IP are there and if they stop HRs, they'll soar
Brad Johnson
2:52
Easier for Shark to avoid the bombs in AT&T
Paul Sporer
2:52
Yessss, think about how the market felt re: Greinke this time last year. Getting a strong vibe like that from Cueto in particular
Brad Johnson
2:53
Poor Tanaka plays in a little league park
Paul Sporer
2:53
you'd f'n think so, but he still allowed 'em last year
Imagine Tanaka in SF!
Brad Johnson
2:53
mmm
why didn't he opt out :(
I mean I know why, there have always been copious leaks about his medicals.
2:54
which is usually a sign that nobody understands why his elbow still works
Paul Sporer
2:54
Ya I just think he was worried and it seems like he was smart to be
Brad Johnson
2:54
Getting a lot of questions about one guy in particular
Abrenn44
2:54
Healthy Paxton finishes _____ ranked SP
Paul Sporer
2:54
My longshot for this top 10 Q would be Garrett Richards, btw. We've seen him be top 10 level for big chunks, but he'd of course have to stay healthy
Brad Johnson
2:55
Give me 200 healthy IP and Paxton has to be easy top 10, borderline top 3. The uh, health, is obviously the issue
I want to believe
Paul Sporer
2:55
Healthy for how long bc 200 IP is just fictional... I mean it could happen, but even talking about it seems pointless
Brad Johnson
2:55
right?
Paul Sporer
2:55
But yes, I agree he'd be top 10 easy with 200
Brad Johnson
2:55
I'm hoping for younger Rich Hill basically
tb.25
2:56
How does the new AZ humidor impact batter values for the Dbacks? For example, Lamb relies on pull power, which may not decrease much with the humidor because of how much power he has, but could someone who sprays it more like Polluck have power hurt?
Paul Sporer
2:56
Can Lamb finish a season, btw? '16 had the hand injury excuse, but another collapse last year
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