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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 1-22-2019
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Brad Johnson
4:39
Yasiel Puig most years.
Fred Yost
4:40
Getting overly excited about Trevor Richards would you mind throwing a bucket of cold water on T-Rich
Brad Johnson
4:40
Yea sure. If you're in a wins league, you should take a gander at his bullpen
And then glance around that division
And check in on his run support too
4:41
So a good outcome for Richards is something like 5 wins, a strikeout per inning, a 3.80 ERA, and a 1.28 WHIP. That's a streamer in 12-team.
Siri
4:42
Keep 4: Carpenter ($17), Goldschmidt ($47), Soto ($17), Acuna ($20), E. Suarez ($1), or Bellinger ($22).  Could keep Goldy forever at that price, everyone else will be subject to mandatory inflation.
Brad Johnson
4:43
This is tough without a lot more info
4:44
Soto and Acuna on name value alone have to be kept. A $1 Suarez is exciting. Bellinger is probably the easiest for me to put aside. I don't know how $47 compares to other elite hitters in your league.
Astudillo Apartment
4:45
Hey Brad, thanks as always. 10-team mixed, adding OBP and QS. Keep 7, +$5 every year. Definitely keeping Stanton ($30). Soto ($9). Eloy ($9). Buehler ($7). Mondesi ($7). The rest have issues.

Which two do you take between: Haniger ($6, but meh and replaceable), Cano ($7, but now old), and Mikolas ($8, innings but bound to regress)?

It’s a choice to cut Mikolas or Haniger, right?
Brad Johnson
4:45
I'd be thinking to cut Cano or Mikolas personally.
4:46
I think the cut is Cano
Thinking about the 10-team 2B landscape, you can get Cesar Hernandez for basically last round value
And if someone takes him, a dozen other viable bats are out there with eligibility.
Larry Hutz
4:48
would you trade Albies for Severino straight up in a roto 5x5 league? (Assuming you have Shaw/Senzel/Urias ready to take his spot)
Brad Johnson
4:48
I would do that without any backup
I'm assuming 12 team or smaller
eudaimon22
4:49
Will Vlad Jr. deliver significant value this year? I.e., will he get 400+ AB to make it worth taking him in the 3rd or 4th rounds ? If so, is it worth taking him in the 2nd round?
Brad Johnson
4:50
This is one of the hardest questions in shallow redraft formats. I could see going as high as late second round on the off chance he's amazing. But I'd probably let others invest that high
Abc123
4:50
If you have Shaw and Chapman in dynasty - which one are you looking to move?  Chapman has more name brand at the moment and might bring back more overall value.
Brad Johnson
4:50
Do you have to move one of them? I think they're both good bets to gain value over the next half season+
Harry
4:50
Thoughts on Jon Gray this year?
Brad Johnson
4:50
As always, a physically talented pitcher living in pitcher hell
4:51
Just because some guys figure it out doesn't mean Gray will
Siri
4:51
Re: keeping $47 Goldy v. $17 carpenter.... Trout was priciest free agent at $71. Most studs go for high 40's or low 50's.  I'm tempted to lock in the elite production (OBP league) with the pricier Goldy, even though it may not be the most efficient move...
Brad Johnson
4:51
I think locking in Goldy is reasonable
4:52
And I'm not 100% on Suarez over Carpenter tbh despite the $16. You have to assess what an additional $16 can get you in the auction
Carp>Suarez, but it's not a huge gap
But $16 can be deceptively little in a keeper league auction
Fade
4:52
Ozzie Albies or Freddie Freeman, dynasty points league?
Brad Johnson
4:52
So EZ Freeman
Floppy
4:53
Dynasty points league with K-heavy scoring for pitchers: Freddie Freeman for Glasnow and Jake Bauers?
Brad Johnson
4:53
Freeman side by miles and miles and miles
That's about 15% of Freeman
Maybe less
No hyperbole
tacopocket
4:53
so in a redraft - how high do you take vlad?   3rd?   4th?
Brad Johnson
4:54
I think I seriously consider it in the 4th and 5th rounds. Which means I don't get to have him
Deno
4:54
Will Willy Adames be worth holding this year?  Is his realistic upside a potential Lindor type break out (given the background) or just a lower level starter?
Brad Johnson
4:54
I don't see Lindor in there at all
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