JotCast | Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 10-23-2018

Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 10-23-2018

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Jackie

4:57

I like George too. Jeff is great. Eno is the best, well next to you of course.

Brad Johnson

4:57

Flatterer!

Billy Bathhouse

4:58

what's Danny Jansen's ceiling and most likely outcome for next year?

Brad Johnson

4:59

Ceiling is probably vintage Russell Martin-ish

minus the high BABIP

Wait, I'm only thinking of one Martin season it turns out

ignore the BABIP comment

5:00

Most likely outcome is .250/.350/.430, 16 HR, 500 PA

Thereabouts

TheLastWord

5:00

Would you keep either Camargo or Voit for $3 in Ottoneu as part of a loaded roster?

Brad Johnson

5:01

Yes

Especially Voit

Ben

5:01

What fantasy role does Barraclaugh have in Washington next year? Closing, setup, and will he pitch enough to be startable on a fantasy contender?

Brad Johnson

5:01

Setup

TheLastWord

5:01

Which middle reliever do you like better for 2019: Pressley or Chad Green?

Brad Johnson

5:01

Pressly

Ben

5:01

Andrew heaney keep going up from here in terms of fantasy value? Solid but inconsistent in his return from TJ

Brad Johnson

5:01

Not sure I'd predict improvement

Maybe 2018 +/- 15%?

Reardon

5:02

Does that projection put Jansen in the top 5 at C?

Brad Johnson

5:02

Fringe

If you're chasing floor, you can get similar from Cervelli or Suzuki at a much lower cost

brad

5:03

we have been using Fantrax free service for last 2 years 2019 will be 3 years and no issues with dynasty, and they actually have more listed players than CBS has. ie kikuchi is already there.

Ben

5:03

Speaking of player aging, in looking at players like Starling Marte and Whit Merrifield (I get Whit may be the exception here), where is the age we expect players like this to lose value through losing SB's? 31 or so? Sorry if that's also unpredictable

Brad Johnson

5:03

It's much easier to predict than pitchers

5:04

In short, yes 30-32 for most players. The exception seems to be non-starters.

Part time speedsters seem to last a LOT longer. Think Rajai Davis and Jarrod Dyson.

J.D. Martin

5:04

Time to buy on Moncada? Obviously strikeouts are holding him down but his SwStr% isn't terrible, launch angle/exit velo are above average and he doesn't pop up as much as you'd think, still young, nice park for power

Brad Johnson

5:04

Good luck

5:05

Yes, I would buy

I'm not finding anybody willing to sell at a reasonable rate

Even in OBP formats, he's priced like Acuna

And I'd rather just pay for Acuna if that's the case

Reardon

5:05

Five years ago, the top ten players were Braun, Miggy, Trout, Cano, Kemp, Carlos Gonzalez, McCutchen, Fielder, Pujols, and Votto (in some order). This year, at least half of those guys were on the waiver wire at some point, and one was out of baseball.

Five years from now, how do you see this past year's top ten shaking out?

Brad Johnson

5:06

Fun question.

So according to Player Rater: Betts, Yelich, Scherzer, Verlander, JDM, deGrom, Ramirez, Snell, Diaz, and Treinen

Oh woof

5:07

Betts and JRam will probably still be some kind of stud

Yelich potentially too

I'd bet against ALL of the pitchers

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