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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 10-30-2018
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Brad Johnson
4:29
Need more context. Assuming 12 team mixed, no and yes
$260-ish budget part of the assumption
Matt
4:29
Nimmo going to be closer to his hot streaks next year, or his cold streaks? Is he a legit .360+ OBP guy who can hit 25 HRs? You taking him over Bader?
Brad Johnson
4:29
As a hitter, I prefer Nimmo to Bader
I'll buy the season line more or less
Jackie
4:30
Has saber-metrics or writing about baseball made you less of a fan?  Why or why not?
Brad Johnson
4:30
No. I'm far more invested in the MLB product than I used to be when I was solely a player
4:31
I used to barely watch baseball back when I played 7 days a week
4:32
Sabermetrics in particular really spoke to me. I discovered them around 2007. I was always an OBP guy growing up, and I had come up with my own (shitty) version of WAR without knowing it
4:33
Which was most memorably used to compare Pat Burrell to Carlos Lee and determine that Lee was not enough of an upgrade to invest.
AKA22
4:33
Joey Gallo started slow but was amazing in the second half, but I feel like perception is he had a disappointing season. Are you buying him next year? Think he can sustain his second half or will we see another season with totals similar to the last two?
Brad Johnson
4:33
The narrative on Gallo is his ability to adjust. I'm bullish. At the very least, you can bank a billion HR
4:34
since the Rangers are rebuilding, they should be plenty patient with his low AVG
AKA22
4:34
Nick Ahmed worth anything next year in NL only? Had him as a $1 NL Only SS, and an tempted to keep him, but he's so boring and was so bad before last year's power surge
Brad Johnson
4:34
Definitely keep him. There's a chance the power surge is smoke and mirrors, but it's worth taking a $1 flier
Reardon
4:34
This is jumping off from something that was in Meg's chat earlier: Who do you think has the best career out of players Dombrowski has traded from BOS? Moncada, Kopech, Travis Shaw, Margot, Anderson Espinoza?
Brad Johnson
4:34
Kopech if he can find health, Moncada otherwise
4:35
Shaw may shine brightest if Kopech never fully recovers, but his career will be too short to outdo Moncada.
Ryan
4:35
One of my leagues last year had me trying to find playing time for 3 out of 5 of Hicks, Pham, Benintendi, Bellinger, and Haniger on a day-to-day basis.  Which three of that group do you like most for 2019?
Brad Johnson
4:35
Oh
4:36
Benintendi and the Same Asset Class
Personally, Hicks and Pham
I'm sucker for speed/power blends
even if the speed is modest
I kinda love all of these guys
DJ Tanner
4:37
So in the 18 inning marathon, Eovaldi pitched a QO (6 IP, 1 ER in extras). Can't wait to make that a fantasy stat.
Brad Johnson
4:37
This is referencing my article from earlier today. Not everybody is on board...
Luke
4:38
Please give me three rookie or sleeper names that have huge upside but aren't household names right now.
Brad Johnson
4:39
I'm not ready to go super deep with this yet. Roman Quinn, Tony Kemp, Ramon Laureano are in-majors guys who will be shooting up draft boards under certain conditions
Kemp could be pushed into a reserve role again, although that is a great misjustice
Matt
4:39
With Kershaw priced out as one of my keepers and my pts league team in general needing a bit of a mini rebuild, I want to target a high-upside pitcher who will also contribute at some point in 2019 early in my draft. Is it Whitley or bust? Any other prospects on the radar who can give ace upside but has a chance to contribute next season?
Brad Johnson
4:41
As with Luke's question, I don't have a full grasp on the young pitcher scene. That's the last place I worry about because it's so volatile. Mike Soroka could be a rebound target. Brent Honeywell will be back at some point. I assume Alex Reyes will be kept. Casey Mize could move fast. Kyle Wright too?
I'm sure I'm missing a LOT of targets
kevinthecomic
4:41
what lineup strategies work the best in H2H leagues: lefty/righty matchups, sitting hitters vs. elite pitchers, sitting pitchers vs. elite hitting lineups, something else?
Brad Johnson
4:42
I don't use one set of tactics personally
4:43
it's just a matter of judging the best course based on your matchup, current accrued stats, and personnel
Which is both very simple and quite complicated
There are too many moving parts to suggest one size fits all approach
4:44
I do find it easiest to load up on aces and dominate pitching stats. Then just work on incrementally upgrading hitters until you have a few steady categories. Usually sacrificing HR/RBI for R/SB/AVG
But not always
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