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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 10-9-2018
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Brad Johnson
3:55
We'll get this started in a couple minutes.
3:56
I ask that you reserve your keeper questions until a more appropriate time. If you have to make them in October, by all means ask away.
But in general, you should wait to make those decision closer to your deadline. No need to fuss about it now.
3:57
Let's have some fun with meatier topics, maybe get a little back and forth going.
Planet Dust
3:58
What's Wander Franco up to right now?
Brad Johnson
3:58
Whence does Franco Wander?
4:00
I video scouted him earlier this season on twitter, caught some heat for it
Because I didn't simply gush about him being the greatest prospect ever to prospect
4:01
There were some rough edges that could be smoothed out to his swing. All-in-all, everything is very encouraging.
For dynasty, I'd view him as a top 5 prospect
Deep dynasty I should add
Rocco
4:02
Who are you higher on in 2019:  Freeland or Marquez?   What is each pitchers upside - Top 20?
Brad Johnson
4:02
Sure, they both have top 20 upside
They're very different pitchers
4:03
And Coors is historically unkind to even mild changes in talent
Nobody has ever pitched well there for more than maybe 2 or 3 seasons
4:04
I like Freeland's elite-ish command more than German's I'll overpower ya mentality
Dood
4:04
Dynasty OBP 5x5 roto.  I know this sounds weird, but if I can get top dollar for Altuve, is now the time to sell?  Earl Weaver always said better to sell a year too early than a year too late.
Also, thanks for the advice all year.  I didn't win all my trades but I did win my league!
Brad Johnson
4:05
You might as well sell if you can get a top 5 valuation for a guy who's showing some signs of breaking down
I think you waited the year too long
Don't worry, it's not like you traded Mookie Betts for him (I did!)
Slurve
4:05
How crazy is the Khris Davis batting average thing?
Brad Johnson
4:06
The craziest. I was keeping track of what he needed to do on twitter. And he did it!
Pat's Bat
4:06
Do yu see a Darvish rebound next year? I have him for 12 bucks in a 10 team H2H and I'm wondering if he's more of a #2 or #3.
Brad Johnson
4:06
That's a possible outcome. Remember, when it comes to forecasting, there is no such thing as a knowable future.
4:07
For Darvish, potential outcomes range from "does not pitch" to "top 10 SP."
I would not spend $12 to keep him today. Maybe we get encouraging news by February when it's time to make that decision
Rocco
4:07
Do you think JDM is a repeat elite stud in 2019, or should we start worrying about age / regression?
Brad Johnson
4:08
I'm unconcerned about JDM. He's never going to age. At least not at the plate.
Seriously though, injury risk increases with every season, but he'll remain a monster until something breaks
Planet Dust
4:08
Fun dreaming about Wander Franco, but when so much of the value comes from how good *for how young* he is it's just so speculative.
Brad Johnson
4:09
I'm not sure I agree. At least as a hitter, I'm confident he could hold his own in the majors right now.
Not saying he'd Juan Soto, but a 85 wRC+ from a 17-year-old isn't anything to sneeze at
Ford Murphy
4:10
Who has a better hall of fame case: Buster Posey or Yadier Molina? Obviously Posey still has some more years left
Brad Johnson
4:11
This highlights one of the problems with WAR.
They both obviously fall waaaay short by that measure
However, I also think they should both be considered shoo-ins
4:12
They were the MVPs of their teams through some long postseason runs. That deserves enshrinement. (Also why I think Chase Utley should be a first ballot HoFer).
4:13
Chat questions are coming in slowly so feel free to respond to the prompts if you're hanging around. I'll post some stuff up
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