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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat 12-12-2017
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Christian Yelich
2:56
Odds i'm traded? Might see a HR spike away from Marlins Park?
Brad Johnson
2:56
Oh, hi there folks, let's begin
2:57
Yelich is very likely to be traded by midseason. Given his consistently high HR/FB ratio, I don't think we'll see more homers in another venue.
Duncan
2:58
Where does Machado end up? And what do the Orioles get in return?
Brad Johnson
2:59
A little early to get a clean read on this. I'll say St. Louis or San Francisco. Package led by Jack Flaherty or Tyler Beede plus another decent but unexceptional prospect. One year of Machado is valuable, but it's not worth a monster haul.
Kristaps
2:59
Francisco Mejia... Will he start 2018 in the Minors or as Cleveland everyday catcher? Trade possibility?
Brad Johnson
2:59
The Indians have a deep group at catcher. I'll bet on Triple-A until he forces the issue.
Matt
3:00
ottoneu FGPoints question for you Brad.  Keep $4 Folty and $5 Davies?  Rotation is $40 Scherzer, $25 Greinke, $19 Cole, $18 C-Mart, $15 R. Ray and $14 G. Richards.  How about a $20 Marte?  Thanks!!
Brad Johnson
3:00
I'm not a big fan of Starling Marte in FGpts. He's kind of a $3 OFer. Too much of his fantasy value is tied up in SB and batting average.
3:01
As for Folty and Davies, they're decent fliers at those costs, especially Davies. Depends on your budget constraints though, you may be better served hoping to find similar assets for $1.
Zach
3:02
How much of a boost does Machado get in your rankings if he plays SS next year?
Brad Johnson
3:02
None.
Really
He does get a small boost in ottoneu since there is a MI but no CI slot,
3:03
Creates some MI scarcity relative to CIs
But a normal league is just as deep at SS, MI, 3B, and CI
Guest
3:03
Kiermaier has about a 20/20 projection for next year.  Do you think he can reach that?
Brad Johnson
3:04
Smells pretty high. 15/15 is closer to my median expectation.
Skipper
3:04
Do you think Aaron Hicks can put up a .350+ wOBA again or will be settle in around .330? Thoughts?
Brad Johnson
3:05
I'll take the middle at .340 wOBA
Carl
3:05
Padres have been active - do you see them making more deals or staying put?  Other than Hand, who is most likely to be traded?
Brad Johnson
3:06
Seems like they're trying to put a better product on the field. I don't think we'll see too many more trades for them aside from Hand. However, don't be surprised if they sign someone like Zack Cozart.
Bleh
3:06
What are we thinking about Trevor Rosenthal for next season?
Brad Johnson
3:06
He's out.
Jerry
3:06
Dynasty league, keep forever, uses Ottoneu's FGPts scoring. Gerrit Cole or Joey Gallo?
Brad Johnson
3:06
Gallo
Skipper
3:07
These Winter Meetings have been a snoozefest.
Brad Johnson
3:07
Have they? Maybe I've just been lulled for so long by this current market, but they've felt pretty busy to me
JD Martin
3:07
over/under on 35 Matt Olson dongs?
Brad Johnson
3:07
Easy under
3:08
Not to say he can't get to 35 home runs, but it requires a lot of faith in his ability to stay healthy and adjust to scouting reports.
Rico
3:08
If Rosenthal is out in STL, who's in?
Brad Johnson
3:09
They haven't signed that player yet. A free agent or trade acquisition of some kind
Carl
3:09
Was Rendon's last season a career year, or does he still have another step forward to make?   On a related note, who would you say is 2018's Rendon? ie, solid player who takes a step forward.
Brad Johnson
3:11
That will probably go down as his best season. He could mostly repeat the offensive numbers with some modest regression in OBP. I don't think another step forward is likely. He already drank Daniel Murphy's kool aid.
He looks maxed out to me.
Guest
3:11
Ok, with all of the infield moves for the Yankees...does Gleyber Torres have a clear shot at a starting spot when they break camp?
Brad Johnson
3:11
Sure looks like it. We'll see who else they add over the winter.
They are far from done.
ryan
3:12
Keep forever league 17 MILB 42 total normal formatting: offering Corey Ray or Tyler O Neill is reasonable  for a backend starter right? Low4 era type pitcher.
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