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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat 12-19-2017
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Brad
4:01
follow up on how you compose your rotation, it is 3 bench spots.
Brad Johnson
4:01
That's rough...
Stream 2-starters then and focus the bench on hitters
NtflxnRichHill
4:01
Why is Cesar Hernandez so overlooked?
Brad Johnson
4:02
You're baiting me, aren't you
I love Cesar Hernandez. He's an OBP beast. Lack of power and middling SB totals hurt his 5x5 value. Great in FGpts though.
Shuck Bowalter
4:02
Just out of curiosity, how many people read your chats?
Brad Johnson
4:03
In-season, I usually have 300-400 readers while I'm chatting (no idea how many read the transcript). Right now, we have 94.
Shuck Bowalter
4:03
I took over an Otto FGPTS league which has both a $31 Cano and a $10 Moncada. For whatever reason I've never bought the Moncada hype. Am I crazy to move Moncada for a ton of value that I can plug in elsewhere?
Brad Johnson
4:03
Go for it. Completely reasonable to hope a healthy Cano returns good value. Especially if you're locking in a stud with Moncada. Not convinced he's good for that format.
Desperate, confused Marlins fan
4:03
Matt chapman or Evan Longoria? OPS league.
Brad Johnson
4:04
Uh, let's see where Longoria ends up. Kinda leaning push
Francisco
4:04
So, maybe I don't bother with trying to acquire Acuña, Torres, and dump Miggy to keep a fringe ace? What about a guy like Ray, Paxton, or McCullers?
Brad Johnson
4:04
Ray should be kept
100%
He's a top 10 pitcher
4:05
Paxton has that ability too, but his injury history makes him an iffy keep
Better to draft him
If you haven't noticed, I'm not a huge fan of McCullers as a fantasy asset
4:06
his plus ratios hide bad W/QS totals
Vlad Jr
4:06
What do you think the chances of seeing me in the majors are next season?
Brad Johnson
4:06
5%
NtflxnRichHill
4:06
In a standard 5 x 5 roto, 12 team league, I used to target 2200 R+RBI, 300 HR, 200 SB, .265...but the last couple years I feel like it's more like 2400 R+RBI, 380 HR, 150 SB, .270. A lot more goes into my draft prep - SPG, ADP eval, but ultimately these are numbers I'm trying to surpass...do you have any goals going into the year? Just from a pure numbers point of view?
Brad Johnson
4:07
I aim for 350 HR. The rest tends to work itself out.
Had a chat with Jeff Z about this because he focuses on AVG and finds the rest fall into place
4:08
I think it's a matter of your personal preferences as to which categories you try to maximize in the draft. Since I'm a sucker for 5 cat guys, I find the if I fall short on HR, I also fall short everywhere else.
tonyc
4:08
Travis just posted a piece about the Phillies signing Carlos Santana, buying into the idea that it creates a crowd in the outfield.  Has nobody looked at Nick Williams' plate discipline stats from last season?  When BABIP hits him he's going to barely be startable as a platoon bat.
Brad Johnson
4:08
Look at his SwStr% in particular. He IS Javier Baez.
4:09
Except he's an outfielder with maybe minus defense
Philly Fan
4:09
What do you think Philly will do with their newly crowded outfield?
Brad Johnson
4:09
They'll swap Williams and stuff for a pitcher
NtflxnRichHill
4:09
I can't imagine targeting AVG...but 6 ways to 1 half dozen to the other or however that goes
Brad Johnson
4:10
I know right. Jeff is a strict spreadsheet user. He'll take Ian Desmond in the top 10 rounds because his projections tell him it's a value. I fly by the seat of my pants and focus on ADP.
Brad
4:10
re:  streaming pitchers.  I noticed last year that streaming pitchers in my 13 team roto league was more hurtful than helpful.  Did you find that also?  If so, do you see it being a problem in '18?  Thanks.
Brad Johnson
4:11
Well... it sounds like you didn't stream and keep Godley, Wood, Nelson, and Morton
Streaming is always going to hurt your stats. You use it because you 1. need the volume and 2. it's the best chance to find these breakouts
4:12
So yea, your streamers in '18 will hurt. The goal is to balance those out by hanging onto a godley when he wanders onto your roster
Daniel Castro
4:12
If I steal all the talent of Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani, Bryce Harper, and Clayton Kershaw Monstars-style, how many WAR would I be worth per season? Asking for a friend
Brad Johnson
4:13
Sounds like about 16 WAR, assuming you can hit and pitch without needing rest
Shuck Bowalter
4:13
Mejia a fantasy asset this year?
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