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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 2-13-2018
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Brad Johnson
3:55
We'll get started in a few minutes. I have to marinate some chicken first.
4:04
Ok, I'm here. That took longer than expected. Let's dive in.
Dummy
4:05
Keep 4 OBP categories league. Definitely keeping Hoskins and Corey Seager. Have to choose two of Buxton, Knebel and Rivero. Go with the two closers?
Brad Johnson
4:05
I'm inclined to do Buxton and Rivero. Closers are poor long term assets while Buxton still isn't that far from finding top 15 overall production.
4:06
So you could win long term this way
And you still have a top 5 closer to kick off your bullpen.
tacopocket
4:06
5X5 12 man league.   $300 at auction.  we play 5 OFs.   would you trade $11 alex wood for $44 Stanton or $38 JDM?
Brad Johnson
4:06
Yes
4:07
Prefer Stanton so long as JDM is unemployed
Easy win for you though. Elite talent, even when pricey, trumps core players.
Erik
4:07
In an Ottoneu league, your auction dollars are also your FAAB right? How many should you leave unspent after the auction? Should you leave open roster spots as well?
Brad Johnson
4:08
I always draft 40 players. I usually have about $10 leftover, but I also usually quickly acquire some loans to bulk that up a bit.
4:09
In a fresh league, I might target $30 of leftover cash. I tend to have very little flexibility because I have Trouts and Kershaws rostered.
HeyBradIt'sMeBrad
4:09
Ketel Marte or Marcus Semien in a dynasty OBP league?
Brad Johnson
4:10
That's a tough one. Semien is obviously a more actualized talent. Marte may never have a positive fantasy season. He could also be the next Jose Ramirez, as Jeff Sulllivan sorta dubbed him
I don't see much growth coming from Semien.
Ian
4:10
would you rather have up to 5 years of Albies or 2 cheap years of Yelich in an OBP?
Brad Johnson
4:10
push
if your talent is present-loaded, Yelich
4:11
if back-loaded, Albies
Hooha
4:11
Votto or Freeman?  I was all aboard the Votto train last year but really feeling a strong season from Freddie this year.
Brad Johnson
4:11
Another push. Everybody seems to prefer Votto right now though
4:12
I don't have a preference, they're both studs
Erik
4:12
I'm noticing in some of my leagues that the auction calculator's values for top players is way off from the top players' actual salaries. I.e. in Ottoneu, Trout "should" go for like $90 but his average salary is about $68, and in my other dynasty league, nearly every top player costs about $15 more than the calculator suggests. Should I trust the people in the league, or should I zig while everyone else zags and either go stars and scrubs or avoid stars altogether depending on what the calculator says?
Brad Johnson
4:13
Be a bit wary of the calc. It's a quirky tool. Chances are, you haven't properly optimized it for your league. It's not always straightforward. One thing to check - take all the positive value pitchers, add up their innings, divide by number of teams. Often, it's projecting 800 innings or so per team
There are some other quirks that can affect things.
4:14
My personal value on Trout in ottoneu FGpts is ~$120 though
That said, it's hard to build a roster if any single player costs $90 or more
99
4:14
Think Eddie Rosario keeps his gains from 2nd half last year?
Brad Johnson
4:15
I'll bet on mostly regression
Some gains, but not all (or even most)
Andy
4:15
I have Miguel Sano as a 25th round keeper for the next 2 years.  Even though it looks like he may miss time due to suspension, I have to keep him because of the low round value, right?  Other options are J Upton in the 6th, Duffy in the 8th.  All my other keeper slots are filled.
Brad Johnson
4:15
Sano is the pick there
Slapshot
4:15
Would you consider Brian Dozier an upgrade on Robinson Cano in ottoneu for 2018 (and beyond)?  Dozier is 25% cheaper than it would have been to keep Cano for this year.
Brad Johnson
4:15
Yes, Dozier is better in FGpts
Chip Johnson
4:15
What kind of marinade?
Brad Johnson
4:15
Lemon pepper chicken
Ronald Acuna McDonaldson
4:16
10 Team, $300 budget, can keep 7 of 26 (keeper salary increases $5/year). 8x7 H2H with XBH, OBP and Ks for hitters and Losses for pitchers. Must eliminate 3 (2018 values):
Freddie Freeman $28
George Springer $24
Carlos Correa $18
Gary Sanchez $13
Alex Bregman $12
Rhys Hoskins $8
Cody Bellinger $7
Luis Severino $7
Ronald Acuna $7
Brad Johnson
4:16
I'm cutting Springer, Acuna, and...
uh, I don't know
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