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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 2-13-2018
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Morbo
4:59
I may have named my team Bartolo Colon's Colon a couple years ago when he didn't walk a batter for like 1/2 a season
cJ
4:59
Are you worried about Eric Thames in a weekly leauge? Is he getting everyday ABs with all these guys around in Mil?
Brad Johnson
5:00
Yes! Very worried. Was trying to acquire him in a 20 team weekly and we couldn't match up because of the risk.
Zapato
5:00
I traded $13 Dozier, $7 Devers and $7 Albies for $5 Seager.   Couldnt' find a way to keep the other 3 under our cap.   Too much?
Brad Johnson
5:00
That's a LOT. But if you need to cut salary, then your hands are tied
Eric
5:00
How is Chapman a top 10 3B when he's projected to hit .227?
Brad Johnson
5:01
He's projected to hit 30 HR too. And I think think he'll do a little better than a sub-.230 average. Not much. Maybe .240-.245.
5:02
Also, pretty sure it was a dynasty question, at least that's how I interpreted it
so to clarify, he's a top 10 3B in dynasty. For example, Adrian Beltre is a top 10 3B in 2018 but nowhere near that in dynasty.
cJ
5:02
Keep 1 - Votto RD 3 or Ozuna RD 14?
Brad Johnson
5:02
I'm going Votto.
Jad Brohnson
5:03
Thoughts on Hand this year? Top 10 closer, or is that too much to ask out of a lefty?
Brad Johnson
5:03
Have you noticed his workload?
It's not the left-handedness that worries me, it's the abuse.
Mark
5:03
Name a player you feel really good to great about out playing their ADP by a LOT?!
Brad Johnson
5:04
Honestly, I've been avoiding ADPs and mocks. Trying to anchor my values at late as possible this year. I seem to recall Beltre floating forEVER in the few mocks I did do. He's still a stud when healthy.
Elephantine
5:05
Hi, so about to draft my first dynasty 12 team league. Separate drafts for minor and major leagues. I have 7th pick in the majors, who do you fancy for my first two picks - I was thinking premium SS and Gary Sanchez, given how much better they are than the competition?
Brad Johnson
5:05
This is a fresh draft?
5:06
I like the thinking for Sanchez. Not as concerned about shortstop, but that position is definitely crowded into the first couple rounds. Can probably get Bogaerts at a relative discount though (3rd or 4th even?).
The Man With No Name
5:07
Best dynasty SS in no-steals OBP league?
Brad Johnson
5:07
It's definitely Correa. Or Seager. Flip a coin?
cJ
5:08
Thames at $1 (guaranteed contract extension available after 2018). Do I just keep him and see or move him for a rental who’s under my auction calculation number? I could get Aroldis Chapman for $15 right now when top closers typically go for $25.
Brad Johnson
5:08
Can definitely keep, but Chapman sounds interesting. Go ahead and hunt for an alternative.
The Man With No Name
5:08
What % value bump do you give Bregman if he has SS eligibility in your league, relative to 3B-only?
Brad Johnson
5:08
1%
I really like guys with flexibility, but they're pretty common now.
I kind of expect to have a lot of Marwin Gonzalez shares.
5:09
so I'm not worried about flex in the early rounds
Matt
5:09
Where would you rank JP Crawford as a fantsay SS next year? Take dynasty into account, for upside, but focused on next year specifically.
Brad Johnson
5:10
Outside the top 20 for next year. He was getting the bat hit out of his hands last fall. I do think he'll adjust to perennial top 15 ability at the very least. Orlando Arcia is instructive as to how long adjustments can take.
The Man With No Name
5:10
If Felipe Rivero is worth $X in non-saves/holds league, what is Andrew Miller worth?  2X?  1.5X?
Brad Johnson
5:11
1.15X? Not that much more. Miller has multiple forearm scares in recent years. That's eventually going to be a blown UCL.
5:12
Ok, we're down to only comments from Estevao. I think it's time to call it a day. It's time for me to make a pick and Davies was sniped by Bret Sayre!
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