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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 2-19-2019
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Brad Johnson
4:47
You could torture an argument that he's less risky because he's not as old as Scherzer and doesn't have a recent scare like Sale
But that's pretty specious.
2019
4:47
Any bold predictions for fantasy this year?
Brad Johnson
4:48
Oh yea. We'll be posting those in the coming weeks
Who’s on First?
4:48
Whitley, or Luzardo - bigger fantasy impact in 2019?
Brad Johnson
4:48
Flip a coin
Same asset class, similar opportunity
Grimace
4:48
Where do you fall on the Mondesi spectrum? Avoiding him entirely b/c he's an expensive Villar or will you be sure to pay the premium to grab a few shares?
Antonio Brown
4:48
Does Mondesi have more value by the end of 2019 than Segura?
Brad Johnson
4:48
So I wrote about this ages ago.
I think the crux of it is that my interest is entirely situational
4:50
Usually, we'll get to the point of the draft when it's Mondesi's turn to go and I won't see his name
If I have a ton of AVG/OBP and a need for speed, he might be my top target
I'm more willing to throw the dice in keeper/dynasty scenarios
Limp Stick
4:50
Do you have an overarching strategy for SP this year? Are you a barbell method purist of grab'em at the extremes of top & bottom to avoid the middle?
Brad Johnson
4:50
I have 17 rosters so my approach is diversification
ESPN
4:51
What's the most overrated trend in fantasy? Any that you look to exploit in drafts and leagues?
Brad Johnson
4:51
Some of my colleagues are FINALLY realizing that tiers are nonsense sauce
We'll see how much longer until they join me on the "rankings are horseshit" bandwagon
4:52
ANY form of groupthink you can identify is exploitable
When you go against the grain, you can afford to be a little inefficient because you aren't competing identically for resources
And if you manage to go contrarian AND efficient, you'll crush
Who?
4:53
The young kid Poche in camp for Tampa Bay - early spring hype?  Nothing else to write about, or legit under the radar bullpen arm?
Brad Johnson
4:53
Is he under the radar? He's the most talked about relief prospect since Seranthony.
Meat Sandwich
4:54
How many picks should go between Andujar and Castellanos in a redraft?
Brad Johnson
4:54
:slowgrin:
Nick Castellanos should be picked before Miguel Andujar
Marlin Man
4:54
The old Marlins regime wouldn’t be scared to move a young pitcher quickly through the minors - that said, any chance we see Sixto in 2019?
Brad Johnson
4:55
Seems unlikely.
Pat
4:55
Just became a patreon subscriber...really enjoy your work!
Brad Johnson
4:55
Awesome, great to have you. Be sure to check out the Discord community. Everybody there is friendly and helpful. They know their stuff too.
Chris
4:55
Do you know of any new stats similar or more advanced than wrc+?
Brad Johnson
4:56
Are you trying to get a FanGraphs writer to say DRC+?
4:57
My main gripe with BPro stats is they do these one week blitzes where all you hear on twitter is DRC+ this and that, then they're never referenced again
They'll tell us it's a good stat, but they won't tell us exactly how it's formulated.
4:58
I'm mistrustful of hidden math.
MC Squared
4:58
trying to trade jon gray and yu darvish in dynasty...what hitter or pitcher could i reasonably move them for>
Brad Johnson
4:58
You might get something reasonable for Gray from the right opponent
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