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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 3-27-2018
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Brad Johnson
4:10
You can't worry too much about catching Logan Morrison before he happens
4:11
because most of the time, a Logan Morrison stays the same
same with Walker, he's more likely to be a semi-injured 20 HR guy with bad supporting stats
erghammer
4:11
What are the odds that the Cardinals give Jose Martinez 500 AB this season? Would they be foolish not to?
Brad Johnson
4:11
50% is my present guess
75% that they want to, then a bunch subtracted for injury risk
Josh
4:12
Any hope Grichuk delivers solid mixed league value this year in Toronto?  Thinking 30+ HR?
Brad Johnson
4:12
If he gets to 30 HR - a stretch - they'll be pretty empty
like 2017 Thames probably
Wacha wacha
4:12
Colin Moran or Todd Frazier for my ci spot in a obp/slg league?
Brad Johnson
4:12
My gut said Moran
4:13
My head said, but Frazier is sneaky valuable every year
To answer, decide what you NEED from the position then pick the guy more likely to deliver it
Corky
4:13
In a twelve team, 5 x 5 league (with OBP instead of BA) – who do you prefer: K. Marte or S. Kingery?
Brad Johnson
4:14
Ketel for floor, Kingery for game-shattering ceiling
I know we like to comp Ketel to Jose Ramirez, but this is another case where the player we're comping had a mutant breakout
4:15
plan for Ketel to be a balanced replacement level player for your format
Kingery could be painful or a carry
Beau Sox
4:15
Hello Brad.
Brad Johnson
4:15
Hello Beau Sox
Larry Biggersby
4:16
Hi Brad. Saves predictions for the 3 AL committees: Rangers, ChiSox, Angels?
Brad Johnson
4:16
Claudio 15-20, Diekman 7, Bush 5, Kela 3, others with <3
4:17
Soria 25, Jones 10, others with <3
Parker 10, Bedrock 10, Johnson 5, rest unpredictable
That's a bonafide Jim Johnson sighting
4:18
I guess Keynan Middleton is a guy people think has potential
dave in slc
4:18
worried about ohtani or what is your take?
Brad Johnson
4:18
Deeply worried
Never intended to buy him though
the price was already close to the best case scenario
if I wanted him, I could trade later
Mateo Turner?
4:18
What 2018/2019 prospect is most likely to Trea Turner?  i.e., non-zero power and 40+ SB, with a BA that won't kill you.  Jorge Mateo?  He feels like a Semien/Lowrie mid-season injury/trade or two away from the show . . .
Brad Johnson
4:19
Roman Quinn is my top Trea Turner comp
He's hopeless buried in the Phillies OF
Kingery could be Turner-ish with 2X the HR and 30 fewer SB (that's still 30 SB)
Paulie Walnuts
4:20
would you trade Goldy for Kluber straight up?...I have Rizzo and good hitters on bench..12 team head to head
Brad Johnson
4:20
Sounds like you would benefit by virtue of your talent distribution, but I definitely prefer Goldy
Kyle
4:20
Trade JorMont and Manaea for Bumgarner in H2H leagues?
Brad Johnson
4:20
I like that
4:21
And I'm a JorMont truther
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