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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 4-16-2019
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Brad Johnson
3:57
Alrighty, we'll get started in a few moments
Brian the Bull
4:01
Brian Dozier: Slow April per usual, or is he still hurt?
Brad Johnson
4:01
I'm going to go with neither. His peripherals look dead and toasted
But I think he's healthy
Dave in London
4:02
Thanks for your insight Brad. AL, 10-team 4 x 4 league. I’ve got Dylan Cease ($1), Sean Murphy($3) and Daz Cameron ($4) on my reserve. Can I reasonably expect to see them in the majors by the All-Star break, and which do you think might make the best bait?
Brad Johnson
4:02
Murphy is the likeliest to make the majors this season imo
lemme look at Cease again to remind myself of his timeline.
4:03
He might see some time too. There's not a lot of advantage to over-managing a 23-year-old pitcher's service time
4:04
Get him through the Super 2 deadline maybe? Might not even wait that long, although the White Sox have a history of carefully managing their assets.
Jay
4:04
Vlad gets called up 4/23 so his first game is at home right? RIGHT? (Oh god, we have to wait longer don't we?)
Brad Johnson
4:04
I honestly don't know. You could be on to something.
Luck Dragons
4:04
If you had to pick one, which is more likely ERA/WHIP for Kershaw -- 2.10/0.88 or 3.06/1.08?
Brad Johnson
4:04
Definitely the higher
4:05
Even that's a 70th percentile outcome
You're shooting for a 3.60 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, strikeout per inning, and a high W%
Even that's a rosy estimate
Ball is Juiced
4:06
Kluber or Corbin ROS? 5x5 Roto
Brad Johnson
4:06
As of today, I want Corbin
Well, as of all time since last August or so
Tommy La Sort of
4:06
Carlos Rodon? You a believer he could finally reach the potential? Would you trade Minter for him to find out?
Brad Johnson
4:07
I'm not a huge Rodon believer at this juncture, but I'm also not sure Minter is healthy. He's not inducing whiffs and his velo is a little down
4:08
So I'd make the trade unless you have a lot of SP or no RP depth
Cito's Mustache
4:08
Hey Brad, I’m looking to fill a UTIL spot in 10-team roto, standard 5 categories plus OBP. I’m last in SB but will Hamilton or Peraza be too much of a drag on rate stats to warrant a pickup? I could punt SB and just grab one of Vogelbach, Wong, J Polanco or Yandy Diaz. Any preference?
Brad Johnson
4:08
For the short term, I'd do with Polanco
Brian the Bull
4:09
Better ROS (H2H points, Ks don’t count): Brian Dozier, Belt, Zimmerman or Christian Walker?
Brad Johnson
4:09
Gimme Belt and ZIm
White Sox fan
4:09
Tim Anderson and Yoan Moncada are raking. The Sox are still pretty bad, but this has to be encouraging, no?
Brad Johnson
4:10
I'd love to say yes...
4:11
I'm just not seeing much to be encouraged about in the peripherals. Anderson still has ridiculously bad discipline and bad contact outcomes
4:12
Moncada's numbers are slightly more contradictory which is a good thing if you're looking to be optimistic
But I'm pretty sure he's roughly the same guy as last season. Which wasn't a bad thing...
HappyFunBall
4:12
I've been offered Soto for Mondesi in a dynasty league. I believe in Soto 1000% more than Mondesi this year and in the future. But. I'm competitive this year and don't want to take the hit in steals. If I can claim The Dentist off waivers to make up some of the shortfall, should I do it?
Brad Johnson
4:13
Unless this is a ridiculously shallow dynasty, it's really difficult to pass up Soto.
I think you do it and figure out the consequences later.
4:14
Soto should be an asset for 12 years. Even if Mondesi improbably outperforms Soto this year, his career outlook is a fraction of Soto's
Shenanigans
4:14
Any path to 12-team mixed league relevance for J.D. Davis? His statcast metrics are off the charts, but the Mets seem to have a ton of viable pieces.
Brad Johnson
4:14
Yea, he has to crack the daily lineup
They like him a lot
4:15
So we're probably waiting for an injury because of their depth
Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe
4:15
Pick one of the three closers here in a weekly moves league: Pedro Strop (Morrow's return?), Will Smith (could be traded?), Jeremy Jeffress (injury?).
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