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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 4-2-2019
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Josh
4:28
How do you value some low cost prospects (like Whitley, Senzel, Bichette, Hiura, etc) in ottoneu?
Brad Johnson
4:29
If I have them, I'm asking for a top tier stud straight up.
Like a $40-60 player guy with the full loan
If the other guy has 'em, I don't want them
That's just me
Matt W
4:29
Major exhale on Lindor. Can I survive with Semien and Adames in a points league until he returns?
Brad Johnson
4:29
Semien, yes. Adames... maybe not.
Alex
4:29
When do you think the A's will call up Luzardo, and what do you think his 2019 impact will be?
Brad Johnson
4:30
Relatively early, above average SP
Dwr
4:30
DJ LeMahieu or Brandon Lowe in 12-team standard?
Brad Johnson
4:30
I REALLY like DJLM in Yankee Stadium
I like the adjustments he made last year in preparation for free agency
I don't really think Lowe will make enough contact to remain in the lineup
But I could be wrong on that one
vft
4:31
based on your extensive medical knowledge, Brad Johnson MD, you think andujar is worth hanging onto in a 10 teamer with no DL slots left?
Brad Johnson
4:31
Nope
Format is so shallow
Lance Mannion
4:31
Hi Brad
Brad Johnson
4:31
Hi Lance
Lance Mannion
4:31
Whoops I hit send before I entered my question, Pick up Bird, Frazier ( Clint) or Josh Reddick while Giancarlo is out. Thanks
Brad Johnson
4:31
I'd start with Bird
Anonymous
4:31
Buxton didn't start the year 0-for-10! In fact, he even has some doubles! #ItsHappening
4:32
Most of chat pronounced Brandon Lowe's name incorrectly in their heads just now.
Brad Johnson
4:32
Oh yea, I did too
4:33
I also do this thing where I intentionally mispronounce named in my head for no damned reason. Then I occasionally same them out loud like an idiot
I think the most obnoxious (to others) is Jam-EEZE Shy-elds
4:34
(because, why?)
Josh
4:34
Loaisiga a must stream tomorrow v DET, right?
Brad Johnson
4:34
Must is a strong word. In 12-team mixed and deeper, it's a solid play
Cards bullpen
4:34
I managed to snag all three of the potential closers in Hicks, Miller, & Reyes.  Miller looks awful, as he also looked similarly awful all spring.  Does Hicks become the go to, or does Reyes sneak in a handful of save chances?
Brad Johnson
4:34
Everything I've heard says they want Reyes to start
Which means they'll avoid giving him saves
4:35
Closer is STICKY
So, Hicks looks like the guy you want
Travis
4:35
Have you ever held yourself accountable for specific forecasts you make? I’m curious what probability you imply when you say something like “X will be better than Y this year.”  Not everything would need to meet this standard, but how often do you think you are spot on when you make testable predictions?
Brad Johnson
4:35
I think if you go through everything I say, you'll notice I'm extremely wishywashy. It's rare for me to definitively stat things.
4:36
Everything exists with a range of outcomes, I try to 1. correctly identify the range and 2. highlight the most common of them
4:37
Adalberto Mondesi comes with a massive range of outcomes for example. The most common is something like 2018 Tim Anderson plus 5-10 SB
But there's also the outcome where he's so terrible he's sent back to Triple-A. And the one where he goes full Javy Baez but with 65 SB
4:38
Anyway, I'm wandering, the point is a forecast covers a large area so it's hard to hold ones self accountable
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