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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 6-5-2018
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Dogg4Life
5:04
When people ask your advice on a player e.g. Castellanos ...
Brad Johnson
5:04
Indeed
Jeff
5:04
Thoughts on Duvall? peripherals all look good, are you seeing a turnaround soon?
Brad Johnson
5:04
That's the first I've heard of Duvall having good peripherals :)
5:05
So yea, it looks like he should be batting .250/.330/.500 to me
Actual .177/.263/.387
5:06
I wouldn't count on the 10% BB rate to remain - no change to plate discipline
So going forward, projection is .235/.290/.470
Which... sucks
20 HR are nice I guess
Guy from venice
5:06
Bonjorno. Who do you like better ROY
Brad Johnson
5:06
Mike Trout
Guy from venice
5:07
Who do you like better rest of season: Bundy or Tanaka?
Brad Johnson
5:07
Tanaka
He'll hurt the ERA a bit because the HR issue is real
Bundy may be HR prone too, a little less certain of that
But I do know the Orioles suck and the Yankees could give a 6.00 ERA pitcher 20 wins
Dogg4Life
5:07
when people ask your opinion on a player e.g Castellanos...what would you say are your percentage of being right or wrong on the advice you give?
Brad Johnson
5:08
Well... it's very situational
I try to reserve strong takes like my Castellanos opinion for situations in which I'm quite sure
Probably 80% correct - I always advise diversifying the opinions you gather if you're not doing the analysis yourself
5:09
Other times, I let it be known I'm making a guess
Given the frantic pace of these chats, I'm not doing much original analysis during them.
5:10
I also try to answer questions in which I have enough info internalized to be helpful
For example, I get questions about Polanco every week, and I really don't have anything useful to say
He could be a star some day. You'd expect to see that a little more obviously in the stat line by now
Matt
5:10
Is there a market inefficiency in fantasy fantasy? Can we bet on fantasy teams in fantasy leagues?
Brad Johnson
5:11
On this note, it's time for me to go. Good game folks.
Matt
5:11
Godley: buy low, or oh no?
Brad Johnson
5:11
Sad face
Gilfoyle
5:11
Yates, Devenski, or Tepera ROS.....need saves
Brad Johnson
5:11
Tepera then
Mr. Nor'easter
5:11
Muncy or Carpenter tonight for MI?

Brad: Carp - 60/40 preference. Either play is fine.
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