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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 7-2-2019
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Brad Johnson
3:57
This appears to be working today. We'll get started in a few moments.
Chonk
4:01
Disregarding positions, would you rather have Scooter or Swanson ROS in a standard points league?
Brad Johnson
4:02
I would take the gamble on gennett. I do think he's pretty likely to struggle for the next 2-4 weeks
He really rushed through the rehab assignment without showing any real signs of being ready
Daro
4:02
Cease worth to grab in 12 teams league?
Brad Johnson
4:03
Yes, he's on the cusp of promotion.
The Final Boss
4:03
Chances of Taillon actually pitching again this season? I feel skeptical.
Brad Johnson
4:03
At all? 50/50
a meaningful amount? 10-20%
Bruce
4:04
Whats the best stat to look at to identify which pitchers have a real ability to suppress HRs?
Brad Johnson
4:04
I usually look for a history of high GB rates and low HR/FB
4:05
There isn't a magical peripheral for finding HR prevention. It tends to feel very random for the guys who aren't clearly HR prone
I've been trying to solve this for year for ottoneu FGpts.
Ageism
4:05
Since "Catcher is a wasteland no longer" - is it a good idea to drop steady old hands Yadier Molina/Buster Posey for Alfaro, Severino, or similar? Which newer names would you drop them for?
Brad Johnson
4:05
I'd probably keep the old guys
Pat's Bat
4:05
Austin Riley for Shane Bieber?  Both can be kept for the next 4 year's.
Brad Johnson
4:05
What do you need now?
4:06
I don't think you'll have much cause to worry about their keeper status unless it's a deep format.
Dodger Blue
4:06
Do you think Willie Calhoun will still be the hitter we thought he would be?
Brad Johnson
4:06
Well, at what point in time?
First we thought he'd be fine, then he was getting Hoskins comps, then everybody thought he would suck
4:07
I think he'll be a 110 wRC+ bat with a low-ish chance to turn into something like a Khris Davis
Given his lack of defensive position, that's not guaranteed to play
Turgid
4:07
Is JP Crawford breaking out?
Brad Johnson
4:08
Sort of. I mean, this is always who he was. He takes time to adjust to each level of the ladder. The only thing that's changed this year is his quality of contact which is a matter of comfort more than an actual breakout.
Obviously, the .396 BABIP will regress
4:09
He should be considered a .240/.340/.390 hitter
Slamboni
4:09
In win now mode and need pitching. I have Bregman, Polanco and Ketel Marte, should I trade 5 years of Tatis Jr for 4 years of Berrios and 1 year of Minor? I need pitching, but I feel like I might be using my best chip for that
Brad Johnson
4:10
That is a steep price for a not-so-attractive return
Your take on Minor obviously matter. I still think he's just a guy.
Not especially different than Jake Odorizzi or Julio Teheran or any other not-terrible arm on a team that supplies run support.
4:11
I know the results have been impressive, but I'm not seeing enough peripheral improvement to call them anything more than a series of good outings
For me, I'd be shopping Tatis in a kingmaker move.
4:12
Send me Trout and Scherzer and Verlander (presumably all 1-year guys). I have to feel like the trade wins me the league to move Tatis.
Matt
4:12
Whats a good name of an under the radar reliever for holds leagues
Brad Johnson
4:12
Austin Adams could turn into a closer any time now
oh, speaking of...
Mmm Mmm Good
4:12
Think Austin Adams can be counted on to provide good ratios RoS?  Looks dominant in his 20 IP so far.
Brad Johnson
4:12
I'm not sure I'd "count" on him
Or any other pitcher in 2019
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