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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 9-11-2018
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Brad Johnson
4:23
According to Bill James, anybody who ever thought Carlos Correa was better than Bregman is a fool
4:24
Bill James is often silly
Jim James
4:24
Best categories for a H2H league, in your opinion? Trying to make some proposals during my league's upcoming winter's owner meeting
Brad Johnson
4:24
Honestly, 5x5 or 6x6. Go any deeper and it gets weird
4:25
Can use OPS or OBP instead of AVG in 5x5 same for SV+HD over SV and/or QS for W
Personally, I'd keep it standard. That's the least correlated combination of manageable statistics
4:26
Which is the best way to maximize the importance of management
Alex
4:26
Hey, thanks so much for doing this chat. What's your take on Ramon Laureano? Worth riding ROS, or would you exchange him for a guy like Camargo or Keirmaier for the stretch run? I'm also wavering on Cesar Hernandez, though he's been so dependable I'm inclined to keep him.
Brad Johnson
4:26
Honestly, they're all the same asset class with slightly different distributions of stats
4:27
so figure out which stats you need then figure out which guys are most likely to supply them
El Zilcho
4:27
Any early thoughts on 2019 breakouts or surgers?
Brad Johnson
4:27
I'm just trying to get through 2018...
4:28
These are LONG seasons. This is the first time I'm not feeling hopelessly burnt out - probably because I've been using patreon to write about more interesting topics than player picks (i.e. what I'm paid to do in-season)
here goes nothing
4:29
How do I avoid getting prospect fever as we round into the offseason? (I had a team that was competitive in points but went about 500, so targeting 2019/2020 arrivals.) I just snatched Kirilloff and am jonesing for Riley and Madrigal, who are both on the board. I know I have to pay a $1 tax, basically, if I grab them before the draft...but it seems worth paying the premium to be able to grab them when others in league are preoccupied with playoffs?
Brad Johnson
4:29
Depends on your settings, league depth, etc.
4:30
If those are the better keeper values than guys already on your roster, then you should grab them
Alex
4:30
Some keeper questions...
Brad Johnson
4:30
Indeed?
Alex
4:30
Andujar or Gleyber?
Brad Johnson
4:30
EZ Gleyber
Andujar is just the latest example of Ryon Healy. Sometimes those turn into Ryon Healy.
Alex
4:30
And what's your take on Buehler next season? Is he a must-keep pitcher if I've got him for cheap?
Brad Johnson
4:31
Probably. As always, hard to say without knowing your exact settings. Big upside, not a ton of risk he implodes (sans injury)
April
4:31
Any chance Vizcaino or Morrow have value left this year? Next?
Brad Johnson
4:32
Wasn't Morrow ruled out? Thought I saw that. I do my reliever deep dives on Wednesday morning so I'm going to put off confirming that :)
Viz will be back Friday, but I doubt he recovers the job.
Galileo
4:32
Do you have any strong opinions on Danny Jansen?  He's looked great so far in small sample
Brad Johnson
4:33
Wish I'd seen more of him. Just from the stat page I LOVE the contact rate and plate discipline. He's made terrible contact so far, but I think that will correct. And he's skewed towards fly balls this year which should be good for HR
There's a reason he's viewed as a premium prospect. Could be a top catcher. Still a risk he's just a guy who makes a lot of bad contact
Dexy's Midnight Fowlers
4:34
Starting Luis Castillo tonight at Dodgers? It's the H2H playoffs and I am terrified. But I probably will need the Ks (and had Kluber and Wood blow up my ratios yesterday anyway).
Brad Johnson
4:34
In that case, yes. Chase down those K
Alex
4:34
FWIW I traded Story for Berrios midseason and regret it something awful. I'd planned to keep Berrios, but now I'm not so sure. Do you see him continuing to improve next season?
Brad Johnson
4:34
Berrios still has ace upside, but he's settling in as more of a mid-tier workhorse
4:35
Gonna depend on your keeper rules
Cheese
4:35
Is Kris Bryant's power zapped?  I benched him for Muncy in a weekly lineup (6 RHPS vs LAD this week).  Am I insane?
Brad Johnson
4:35
I dunno what's up with Bryant. Gonna wild ass guess he's been hurt all season.
4:36
I'd probably still use him over Muncy, but I wouldn't fuss over it if you want to go the other way
RMR
4:36
Probably the most questions I've every had answered in one chat!  Thanks for all your insight!
Name #3
4:36
The trick is to change your name so it doesn't look like you get all your questions answered
Brad Johnson
4:36
Or you could just do this and hope I don't notice
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