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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 9-3-2019
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Brad Johnson
4:55
The guys I'm targeting like Clase are not at all safe
Dave
4:56
re: Gary Sanchez. I think I probably phrased that poorly... Is it reasonable to expect him to carry a .265+ BA (to go with his awesome power) over an entire season at this point, or has the physical toll of catching simply caught up with him?
Brad Johnson
4:56
Since HR are such a large part of his AVG, you're basically stuck in feast or famine
4:57
His 25th to 75th percentile outcomes in AVG range from something like .205-.260.
Most players have a much tighter range
In any case, don't expect a .265 average - that's a very friendly outcome
He needs to be closer to a HR per 10 PA to hit the upper range
Riker
4:58
okay to drop khris davis for josh naylor in h2h redraft leagues? god knows how much damage the former did to my playoff push, but i made the cut and now i need to get serious about OF production for the last few weeks
Brad Johnson
4:58
Naylor isn't much of an upgrade. Though yes, I agree with this as an initial step. Look for matchups.
nahtan
4:58
I was too blind to see that my h2h playoff rotation was essentially being propped by Ryu's blinding early season greatness. how screwed am i now that regression is rearing its ugly head?
Brad Johnson
4:59
This year? Not as screwed as normal.
3BB2K
4:59
Brad, do you ever play Beat the Streak? thanks
Brad Johnson
4:59
I used to a few years ago
I got tired of bombing in the 20s
5:00
just when you start to think you're good at it, you zero out
and by you I mean I
3BB2K
5:00
no, all of us if lucky enough to get into the 20s
Al Gone Quinn
5:00
I'm in a league that factors in holds and saves, i.e. Ottoneu FGpts. In this, my 3rd year, I've concluded pursuing the guys who get saves can be a thankless task that usually costs more money than simply going after arms with good stuff who occasionally get holds. Amir Garrett and Hunter Harvey are typical guys I go after. Is this thinking properly concluded or simply deluded?
Does Ty France have to hit certain targets the rest of September to get a starting role next year?
Brad Johnson
5:01
Let's start with France
I don't think he can do anything to guarantee a job
2B is a place the Padres will look to upgrade
They have limited ways to improve their roster as it's basically decent across the board
2B being the main exception
5:02
So, assuming they don't find a Whit Merrifield, France will still need to compete with Urias and others
5:03
Now back to the relievers...
It's a mixed bag
The closers are the most reliable sources of RP points
5:04
But if it's ottoneu for example, you can take 20 stabs at finding a cheap RP for the price of one Kenley Jansen
DonJulio
5:04
I find that overvalue Yarbrough due to his microscopic whip. Why do others not value him so highly?
Brad Johnson
5:04
I've recently decided he's a harder throwing Jamie Moyer
5:05
He just isn't visually impressive in this era
time to wrap it out
Clint
5:05
Keston coming back in 2019 or no?
Brad Johnson
5:05
Huh? I thought he just had a hammy strain? He'll be fine
PD
5:05
Is Will Smith (C) going to be similar to Gary Sanchez in terms of performance?
Brad Johnson
5:06
I think he's a more well-rounded/balanced hitter
The value might shake out pretty similarly
Though in real terms, he's much better than Sanchez
lipton
5:06
hi brad - does answering a question about why you won't answer non-baseball questions count as answering a non-baseball question?
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