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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 9-4-2018
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Brad Johnson
4:54
So you've got Hoskins in LF, Doobie in CF, Williams in RF, and they'll definitely try to sign Harper too.
4:55
If they don't I'd still bet on them signing a different OFer.
If it stays with just the three mentioned and internal options, then there's a path for Quinn to win a job
And then he's a very interesting late-round flier.
Bob Villar
4:55
The crusty underwear guy has never finished higher than 2nd, and that was like 8 years ago, FWIW
Guest
4:55
Has Nola morphed into a legitimate #1, or is this his career year and he's headed for major regression? Would it be completely bananas to keep him over Kershaw?
Brad Johnson
4:56
Yes, yes, and no
Expecting anything other than regression would be nuts, but he's also a bonafide ace
And I would keep him over Kershaw in many formats
Turgid
4:56
Start Dozier and hope he can break out of his slump against Vargas? Or Villar see if he stays hot?
Brad Johnson
4:56
Only do Villar if you need to prioritize SB
4:57
otherwise Dozier all the way
Adam
4:57
Assuming Didi is back this weekend, and assuming I need to preserve thin leads in HR and OBP, which of my SS/MI types sits for him going forward:  Adames, Albies, or Villar?
Brad Johnson
4:57
Villar
Scruffy-Looking Nerf Hurler
4:57
Any reason to hold on to Matt Olson in a points dynasty? I’m going to have Sale and Doolittle coming off the DL soon and considering him to be the drop.
Brad Johnson
4:57
I mean, he's a really good power hitter?
Is that a reason?
Adam
4:58
While we're on Phillies questions, can you handicap their chances of signing Harper, Machado, both, or neither?
Brad Johnson
4:58
This will be interesting to watch. They will try to sign both, I have sources on that. Plans can change of course, but they've been waiting for this opportunity
4:59
Realistically, it depends on John Middleton
He's either going to step into the process and force it to happen, or they'll be outbid by the Yankees/Dodgers/Cubs/whoever
Whichever other big market team looks shiniest to the players in question
5:00
Klentak and friends are too rational, they'll try to win the bid by $1 rather than offering completely ruinous contracts
5:01
It's quite possible they stop at one ruinous contract. Although, I kinda figure if you're going to ruin things you might as well go all the way.
The farm system is overstocked on pitchers and light on position player talent
5:02
So this is a relatively rational way to use their resources
In summary, I suspect it will be an exciting but ultimately disappointing offseason for Phillies fans.
DJ Tanner
5:02
What do you think of Nimmo HR/SB potential is? Any chance he is a 25/15 guy?
Brad Johnson
5:03
No. If the Mets trade him somewhere friendlier, he could be a 25 HR bat. He's not fast enough to steal bases.
Or especially good at picking his spots
I guess it's fair to say he's faster than peak Michael Brantley and he was a superb base thief
5:04
So maybe he learns unexpectedly
Adam
5:04
Thanks so much for the long answer re: Phils - I am now both giddy with hope and nervous for outcome.
Scruffy-Looking Nerf Hurler
5:04
In regards to the MiLB call-up question; my league has a separate MiLB roster where a player has to be called by a certain time-based deadline EXCEPT for Sept callups for that reason. If a player is called up Sept 1st on he’s exempt from having to be added to your roster and taking up a valuable playoff roster spot
Brad Johnson
5:04
That's basically what I was suggesting
Jackson
5:05
What is going on with Carlos Correa? He's killing me
Brad Johnson
5:05
Based on his career to date, Carlos Correa is really bad when not 100% healthy
There are just some players who are like this
Jacoby Ellsbury is a prime example
5:06
It has not been a healthy season for Correa. I'd buy low next year if the opportunity presents itself
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