Brad Johnson FanGraphs Chat - 11/3/16
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Brad Johnson
12:45
That changes when Trout's about 2 years from FA an unwilling to re-sign
W
12:46
Does last night increase, decrease, or not affect the chances of a Dexter Fowler resigning
Brad Johnson
12:46
I doubt it affects the decision
he returned in the first place because he wanted to. Either that's still true and the Cubs make room, or they tell him it's time to go seek his fortune elsewhere
Ja
12:47
How much of the cub's success is it fair to attribute to Theo?
Brad Johnson
12:47
I'm not sure how much I'd attribute to only Theo, but the new management regime is mostly responsible
Clucker
12:48
Is there a stat to measure total game value? Where does this rank???
Brad Johnson
12:49
it's complicated.
I'm going to offer a hot take now
12:50
Game 7 was a great game. It also wasn't one of the top 20 games of 2016.
Cinny
12:50
Does a Matz or Wheeler for Inciarte trade make sense?
Brad Johnson
12:50
I think so, provided the Mets can prove either pitcher is healthy
which they really can't during the offseason
DN
12:50
Thor for Moncada and Benintendi. Who says no? Also how close is it?
Brad Johnson
12:51
If I'm the Red Sox, I'd only be willing to offer Benintendi and some second tier stuff. Pitchers are a luxury good
12:52
The Sox aren't so stacked that they can afford to offer elite hitting prospects for a seemingly risky arm
Q-Ball
12:53
Cubs don't ditch Montero. Clubhouse leader, and mentor to Contreras. He would willingly accept a Ross-type role.
Brad Johnson
12:54
I don't disagree with Montero fitting in, but it's hard to carry a third string catcher with questionable catching skills (particularly with base runners)
And Ellis isn't just a mentor, he's a second manager (hence why I suggested him)
Moog
12:54
Whenever I see example packages for Trout such as you just put together, they always make me feel like the guy just can't be traded for. I can't imagine the Red Sox trading Moncada, Benintendi, and Devers for anybody, even prime Babe Ruth or WAR equivalent, because it seems so much safer to have that value spread out among multiple guys than to tie it up in one guy who could get injured or leave as a free agent.
Brad Johnson
12:55
I don't disagree. There are only a few clubs with enough asset concentration to even consider it. Most would end up exactly like the Angels if they traded for him
Reginald Denton III
12:55
The amazing thing (well, yet another one!) about last night was that every Cub who screwed up at some point last night (Baez, Ross, even Chapman) came back and redeemed themselves later.
Mike
12:55
Here's a thought: what about Trout to the Cubs? If they let Fowler walk, what gets it done? Schwarber and Almora with Soler or Baez?
Brad Johnson
12:56
spitballing...Schwarber, Hendricks, Baez, Happ, and some other stuff
Concerned White Sox Fan
12:56
How would you proceed this offseason as the White Sox's GM given the team across town is showing you up?
Brad Johnson
12:56
So I absolutely keep Sale and Quintana
12:57
My plan is to replicate the Indians success. Compile a bunch of role players and hope they have career years
Ja
12:57
How much does chapman get in FA?
Brad Johnson
12:57
so much
12:58
So I'm a little crazy. If I were running a team like the Phillies, I would be chasing him as a starter
And that's a nine figure offer
12:59
I'll throw $85MM out as a guess for his contract as a reliever
CamdenWarehouse
12:59
Oh, no! The Phillies declined Howard's options. What is the world coming to?
Erik
12:59
Montero, Contreras, and Schwarber leave the Cubs covered at catcher, right? Or do you expect Schwarber to be outfield only from now on?
Brad Johnson
12:59
Schwarber will play some behind the plate if for no other reason than the roster is too deep
twinmh
1:00
We get interested in a pitcher when he moves to Pittsburgh or Cleveland, because Searage and Callahan are wizards. Is there something similar going on for batters in Arizona? Goldschmidt and Pollock were not that highly regarded in the minors, Segura was left for dead in fantasy circles, all the FG writers hated Tomas when they saw him in Arizona 18 months ago. Lamb, Drury, Peralta ....
Brad Johnson
1:01
Lamb and Drury were supposed to be pretty good, Pollock's skill set is often under-appreciated (see Blackmon, Charlie), and Goldy looked like a strikeout king while developing
I don't know that these are development wins
I suspect we systematically undervalue DBacks prospects
Game 7
1:02
Sale for rodgers, dahl, freeland and party's contract?
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