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Brendan Gawlowski Prospects Chat: 3/3/26
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Brendan Gawlowski
2:44
They've prioritized arms because they have so many position players locked up for the long haul.
I think that's, correctly, starting to change. Lodise/Southistene last year for example
Oaktown Blues
2:44
How often does a pitcher throw two variants of the same pitch (fastball excluded)? I read Laurila's interview from today and Jamie Arnold having two different changeups is interesting
Brendan Gawlowski
2:45
Increasingly common. Sweeper/bullet slider or a circle change and a split.
High Zyhir Hopes
2:45
Where do you think Zyhir Hope ends up on prospect lists this time next year?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:45
About where he is now, maybe a little higher. Think he's always going to be risky.
Uncle Spike
2:45
Do you ever just throw out a season of a prospects development because they were dealing with an injury or personal problem and project them as if that season never happened or is it always part of the calculous?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:46
You don't throw it out but that can be helpful context.
2:47
I feel differently about Thayron Liranzo going forward than I would have just looking at his data/video. But that doesn't mean that I'm not a little concerned about how everything looked last season.
Bog
2:47
Were you ever a Luis Matos guy and do you hold out any hope for him? He's still young
Brendan Gawlowski
2:47
I was and do. Change of scenery candidate
Kate
2:48
Was a little surprised to see Ethan Conrad not mentioned in the picks to click article.  Guessing you all have some reservations about the hit tool given the small school background and small sample this year before the injury?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:48
We imposed a limit on ourselves or we'd have picked fifty guys. I'm still very interested to see him.
Galahad
2:49
Is Spencer Jones' swing-and-miss game determinative? It seems to me he's even beyond the Joey Gallo zone of TTO.
Brendan Gawlowski
2:50
He could be Gallo. Some of his swing and misses are odd, he'll just... wave at pitches that are practically already in the catchers glove. I don't really know what to make of it.
529
2:50
How much of a developmental risk is it to bring a guy up too early? Too late?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:51
Depends on the player. How they respond to failure is a factor. I tend to think that "too late" is not really a thing for the most part.
Phil
2:52
Pedro Martinez claimed to have four different changeups. Stuff like that just wasn't tracked in those days
Karl Hungus
2:53
Do you use a correction factor when correlating metal/composite bats to wood - in terms of EV, bat speed, etc.?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:54
No, in part because I don't think we're necessarily dealing with a straight apples to apples comparison among the bats. Baseball America has written about how bat manipulation is pretty rampant in the college game right now, for just one reason why.
Mr. Redlegs
2:55
Brock Wilken put up huge # in AA last year before he got hurt. Is he a guy? Even in a fantasy baseball sense?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:55
I think he's a big leaguer but probably not an everyday guy
Pumpsie Green
2:56
2 naive questions. 1. When going to scout a prospect in a minor league camp that you haven't seen, how do you identify him?. 2. Does the public have access to the back fields & minor camps or do they need credentials? Thanks for doing these chats. They allow us a glimpse of what goes on behind the scenes.
Brendan Gawlowski
2:57
If he's got a name on the back of his jersey, great. If he has a number, get a roster. If you're watching BP and the team doesn't have numbers, ask one of the coaches or do a little detective work on the headshots.
2:58
For the second question, 99% of the time, at least in Arizona, I don't know about Florida, the public has access to the backfields during spring training.
There will be times the facility is closed to the public, but you shouldn't have a problem watching backfield games during the spring.
Carl
2:58
Talking Serie A?! Who's your team? Best entertainment value among the top leagues by a good distance IMO.
Brendan Gawlowski
3:00
I went to San Siro for an Inter game back in 2019, so I guess them, but I tend to gravitate towards the fun teams. Roma was dead to me during the Mourinho era; now they're fun. Sassuolo and Como are great watches and, much as I hate, hate, hate to say it... so are Juve right now.
Grades
3:00
When you see what seem like wildly different grades on a skill, like game power or command, what could account for the differences? Are some skills more prone to large differences in grade than others?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:01
The hit tool tends to be volatile. Fielding can be depending on when you see a guy. I'm also finding that my conviction in a guy's defense is much lower watching the video I have access to now vs. when I was scouting in person and had the benefit of better and more camera angles.
Insert Witty Name Here
3:02
If the Kochen-Specker theorem proves that physical properties do not have definite values independent of the act of measurement, does 'objective reality' exist between observations, or is reality fundamentally 'constructed' by the specific geometry of the questions we ask the universe?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:02
The postmodernist has logged on.
mike
3:02
QBs used to call their own plays, and people hated it at first when they were called by coaches.....times change.
Brendan Gawlowski
3:03
QB's also change stuff on the fly all the time
Matt
3:03
With a guy like Carlos Lagrange, what/how much do you need to see before you could conclude that the command might be improving? Is cleaner mechanics enough? Or do you need a decent sized sample of innings?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:04
Depends on the guy and what your projection was... To some extent, people will improve through reps and as they get stronger, which is why you'll see guys with different present/future grades even when we're not projecting/hoping to see any mechanical changes.
3:05
I apologize if it seems like I say "it depends" too often, but there really is a lot of case by case
Bumpin Ugglas
3:05
Last week, you mentioned that you’d be in favor of busting up the draft. I’m intrigued-what would that look like? Just teams sign whoever they want to whatever money?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:07
I have a philosophical problem with players not getting to choose their employers. I personally don't think the sport needs bonus caps for amateurs but I could definitely be talked into a system where the cap is low enough to deter the dodgers or yankees from signing everyone (I don't think it would happen that way, but, sure, we can guard against that) but not so low that it's significantly suppressing what these guys would get paid on the open market. Which is what we have now.
Woo Man Chu
3:08
Pretty stark change in pitch mix from the Nationals new org - from one of the most fastball-heavy teams in the sport to one of the least. Any thoughts on this change in approach?
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