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Brendan Gawlowski Prospects Chat: 6/16/26
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Beer:30
3:41
What does the injury to Ethan Holliday do to his overall picture? Seems significant to lose a year at his age.
Brendan Gawlowski
3:42
It sucks but I don't see this as career altering or anything
warpath
3:42
Thoughts on MLB teams being able to trade draft picks more freely like the NFL, NBA, or NHL? I've heard it mentioned a few times in regard to the CBA negotiations
Brendan Gawlowski
3:42
I'd be in favor
mbriese
3:42
Most of the prospects I like are shortstops, but I know a lot of guys get their position moved before any call ups. Do you think guys like de Vries and Nimmala stick at SS?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:43
I'm still projecting them as shortstops but they're not locks in the way that, like, Willits or Arias is
3:44
More in the Emerson camp of "I think they can do it, I wouldn't be shocked if something pushes them to third"
scottsjunk1981
3:44
What's the deal with Greensboro? (Incidentally, that's where Willits just crushed 4 HRs in his first week of A+)
Brendan Gawlowski
3:44
Short dimensions and the ball flies
Charles Collins
3:45
Do you think there is any validity to rumors that owners are worried about expansion because of the difficulty in finding 2 MLB organizations' worth of pitchers?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:45
lol no
Tommyfastball
3:46
Can I make my peace and move on from Adael Amador?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:46
deep sigh
I'm staying in this pumpkin patch but I'm not gonna fault anybody for getting their candy elsewhere
K’d Cavalli
3:47
what order are these guys drafted present day: Chourio, Wood, Roman Anthony, Caminero
Brendan Gawlowski
3:47
Wood first for sure. Reasonable people can draw different conclusions after. I'd probably go Chourio-Anthony-Caminero
Phillip Denny
3:48
I'm really not sure what to make of Kyle Karros. He's half the hitter his old man was, but three times the fielder. On pace for >2 WAR as a corner infielder in Coors with below league average production at the plate.
Brendan Gawlowski
3:48
I don't really buy him as more than a second division guy, maybe.
Bud Smith
3:48
Lara would potentially (?) be pretty pissed to be traded right after signing a long term deal, no?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:48
Maybe but not really a factor
Alex Chaiken
3:49
How hard is it to establish or change a strength of your development staff?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:51
Depends what it is. "we can build strength:" Should be apparent fairly quickly. "We have the secret sauce on developing the hit tool:" We're gonna need to be patient on that one.
maximus74
3:51
are you any good at Immaculate Grid?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:51
Yes
apeloton
3:52
Do you have any guys you think are dark horse/non obvious potential future number one prospects? Top5/10? Or just not a super useful exercise?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:52
Elite athletes with volatile hit tools
fangraphsreaderbutwoke
3:53
Pirates a complete disaster this season. Lost half their playoff odds in 2 weeks. Time to rebuild the rebuild?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:53
It's never as good as it looks when you're winning, it's never as bad as it looks when you're losing.
Tommyfastball
3:54
Justin Krupp's earlier question hit on something I've always felt...need a prospect grade for "if it goes well" and one for "how likely".  Mashing together a 24yo at AAA and an 18yo in A seems like a bad system.
Brendan Gawlowski
3:55
There is no perfect system. Regardless if you want to use Eric's FV model, Theo Epstein's A-D, a conventional 20-80, or WAR or whatever, you're still dealing with the same problems of proximity and volatility.
3:56
If you gave guys two grades, those tradeoffs don't go away
Sell out to the scale you have, imo. You'll learn to interpret the nuances.
warpath
3:57
The projection systems still don't buy the White Sox as a playoff team. Do you?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:57
If I had to bet yes or no I would say no but not with any real conviction.
The AL is not good
apeloton
3:57
Following up on the elite athletes with volatile hit tools - how much of a scary hit eval tends to be mechanical/approach/etc vs just like bad hand eye? If that’s a thing at all, how much can you tease it out? Awesome chat today, huge thanks.
Brendan Gawlowski
3:58
Depends on the player. Some guys have swings/motor preferences that are going to make it tough for them to hit. Others don't seem to have the requisite hand eye.
3:59
The approach is a weird one, because a guy succeeding with a bad approach is itself a sign that there's a good hit tool in there somewhere.
astususudillo
3:59
Florentino seems to be struggling in Greensboro. Any intel on him?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:59
Teenager in High-A. It's an adjustment.
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