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Brendan Gawlowski Prospects Chat: 6/30/26
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Brendan Gawlowski
2:00
Hello everybody
I don't have any housekeeping, we finished the lists
2:01
I'm still on an extended runner's high about that
So, let's jump in
ptkirk
2:01
Where would high-school draftee age Josuar Gonzalez go if he was eligible in this years draft
Brendan Gawlowski
2:02
Toward the very top. Maybe someone prefers one of the college guys, maybe they don't. Could easily go 1:1
Philip Christy
2:03
Is Franklin Arias now a legit option to be the starting shortstop for the 2027 Red Sox, or is he still another year off?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:03
I'd be surprised if he's not
2:04
Maybe not on Opening Day, but I think the odds are better than 50:50 that he's the guy there a year from now.
Graham Lewis
2:05
Bo Davidson had a great month but it seems that a lot of his power comes opposite-field. When does that become a concern?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:05
Multiple Bo Davidson questions...
2:06
With power, there's a sliding scale on how necessary it is to lift your fly balls to the pull side. When you have plus or better power, as Davidson does, it's less important than if you're Isaac Paredes.
philly
2:08
Juneiker Caceras is hitting for more impact than his scouting reports suggest. What would it take to reconsider his offensive ceiling?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:08
His raw power numbers are actually slightly lower this year than last.
2:09
111 max, 104.5 90th last season; 110 max, 103.5 90th this year
He's killing it, and his FV will rise on the next eval cycle
2:10
But we had the plus hit tool on him
I don't know that the tool grades will change much/at all
He'll be part of the conversation as we prep to release an updated T100
phillyg
2:11
How much of Bryce Rainer's contract struggles can be attributed to recovering from injury? His K rate is up something like 12% vs last year and not like it was low before
Brendan Gawlowski
2:11
Can't put an exact percentage on it, but seems like a lot?
He just had a monster June
CherryTomato
2:12
Has Hayden Alvarez shown enough to crack the top hundred? He was PTC for you guys preseason and has performed very well.
Brendan Gawlowski
2:12
Another one who will be part of the conversation.
crossedup
2:13
Due to a shallow system most Mariners prospect conversations are around their top 8 or so guys, anyone below that standing out this year?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:13
Some relievers have thrown well but the impact guys are who you'd think they are
2:14
Becker/Yorger are interesting fliers but a clear tier or two below the big guys rn
Phillip Denny
2:15
Dodgers are apparently open to moving any of their OF prospects other than De Paula for a top tier middle IF or C. Sooooo....Ryan and one of Quintero/Sirota/Hope for Made...who says no?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:15
Both
CC AFC
2:15
Can you explain the difference between gap to gap and pole to pole on The Board?  Is it just a degree of power?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:15
Pole to pole: home run power to all fields
Gap to gap: line drive hitter who can use the field
cfhennessy
2:16
So I see how Kade Anderson is blocked from the mariners rather deep rotation, but is there a reason they won’t bring him up to AAA? AA hitters just seem like they don’t lose a challenge to him
Brendan Gawlowski
2:17
I can brainstorm a couple of reasons -- nice place to pitch and thus work on stuff, it keeps his routine consistent, it helps the numbers stay as fluffed as possible and who knows, maybe increases the chances someone wants to make them an offer they can't refuse -- but I've been surprised too, figured he'd have been up by now.
Jackelder
2:17
What more must Kade Anderson do to make the Show?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:17
Pitch for an org with a hole in the rotation
townshipjive
2:18
I'm curious about Minor League BABIP numbers.  I'm assuming they can run high, especially at lower levels, due to less than MLB quality defense, is that right?  Specifically, how does someone like Mike Sirota run a .400+ BABIP for 600 PA across multiple levels/seasons?  Is he just hitting the ball that hard (coupled with speed,) is it just noise across a smaller sample size, or mostly just the lesser defense?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:18
They do run high at the lower levels
Low quality defense, sun baked fields, bad pitching leads to more hard contact, less rigorous scorekeeping, etc.
Smiling Politely
2:19
This is perhaps unanswerable, but has there been any conclusive work done on players with long/productive/consistent careers (Freeman, Ramirez) to try and determine if they had specific characteristics as prospects that could be identified earlier? Maybe it's too many factors...
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