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Brendan Gawlowski Prospects Chat: 7/14/26
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Tyler Banks
2:46
What does you mean by measurable power re: Lodise? Exit velo, barrels? He's on pace for 30+ HR and nearly 30 SB while playing (from what I understand) very good defense?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:46
College: 107.2 EV90, 113 max
2025 pro: 102 EV90, 109 max
2026 pro: 103.5 EV90, 109.8 max
I don't really care how many homers a guy hits in the Sally this year
leoneforthird
2:46
Fringe prospect question Josh Caron has looked good from a batting line perspective at Everett this year.  Have you seen him play and if so what does his defense look like?  Any chance he moves into the 40-45 tier this year?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:47
Maybe into the 35+ range. Glove is just fair.
Glixie
2:49
If Trout wants out of Angels, is this crackpot 3 AM three-team trade framework workable? LAD acquires Skubal (ofc), DET acquires Neto and Trout (with Angels covering enough of Trout's remaining salary for 2027+ to balance Neto's surplus), LAA gets Quintero / a non-de Paula dodgers youngster
Brendan Gawlowski
2:50
I don't think you're in la-la land but too many moving parts here, devil in the details on the money.
mills9lane
2:50
Is Hunter Goodman just good? Or does the bottom fall out eventually?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:50
Both
cc007
2:50
Eric Hartman, Tate Southisene, and John Gil get most of the attention at A+ for the Braves - Owen Carey kind of flying under the radar. Was his outlook?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:50
Tracking nicely along with the offseason report
grandbranyan
2:51
Thanks, but MiLB for the Brewers question, five minor leaguers...
Brendan Gawlowski
2:51
oh jeez no idea then
Justin Krupp
2:51
Dakota Jordan, something there or the swing and miss too alarming?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:51
There's something there, I think it's more likely to play in a 4th OF capacity than as a regular
sliderinthedirt
2:52
You said you were making a separate post for the two Giants at the prospect game. Is that a good thing or a bad thing?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:52
Well, not just for them, but I have accumulated some 'notes from the field' type stuff and at 12:30 and 3600 words I decided to punt them to next time
I wouldn't read anything into it beyond my personal logistics
Justin Krupp
2:53
Giants draft thoughts?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:54
I thought they did great, they got the best pitcher in the draft, Bolemon is obviously very interesting... Bonds is not just a feel good legacy pick, there are real tools there
cc007
2:54
How does the potential lockout next year (potential for missed games) affect teams view on the trade deadline? Joe Ryan for example - how would a team value his 1.5 years of control vs a rental
Brendan Gawlowski
2:54
Not much, I don't think. But I'm on Team Optimism regarding how this lockout ultimately plays out
grandbranyan
2:54
Figured Fischer, Adams, Adamczewski would be the easy three for the Brewers but other two are Josiah Ragsdale and Juan Martinez (also has a 1.41 BB/K and 46 SB / 5 CS).
Brendan Gawlowski
2:55
I'd have been guessing a long time before I got to Ragsdale and Martinez. I should've thought about Ragsdale, odds are if a guy starts popping up in the chat more often, he's performing.
rickdugo3000
2:55
Should Franklin arias be ranked ahead of de vries and made? Some of your reports/notes including from the futures game, plus obviously the year he’s having, are making me think you don’t think it’s a crazy wuestion
Brendan Gawlowski
2:55
Not crazy at all. He's at least ahead of Leo for me.
Phillip Denny
2:56
Mike Sirota is obviously not going to run a 20% BB rate when he gets called up (eventually), but does his stellar run this year give you confidence he can be a perennial .350+ OBP dude?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:56
Maybe a little bit. I don't know that I'd feel significantly different if his walk rate was 12% instead of 20% though.
There's a point of diminishing returns with a minor league walk rate
reyrh
2:57
If you were put in charge of the draft, when and where would you hold it, and over how many days?
Brendan Gawlowski
2:58
I'd have it June. I don't know if tying it in with the CWS is a good idea but I might at least try it once to find out...
Phillip Denny
3:00
Another Dodger OF prospect Q - Josue De Paula cut his K rate from 20% last year mostly in A+ to 13% this year in AA. The power also took a meaningful step forward. What is he doing differently?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:00
His raw hasn't changed much at all... His hard hit is up a little bit, but it's up overall. I think the bigger thing with him is that he's already got above average power and there don't seem to be holes in his swing.
3:01
So, the impressive part is that he's maintaining power while making more contact against better competition
3:03
If there's one theme I wish I could convey more explicitly: we all have to take things like homers, slugging, ISO, whatever with a big grain of salt this year. One source told me that their team estimates the ball is flying 8-10% further this year. It's like everyone gets to play in Coors all the time and with a metal bat. Of course their power numbers are up.
lbowman1
3:03
Saw Duno had multiple 80MPH bat speed swings at the Futures game. He’s got crazy raw doesn’t he
Brendan Gawlowski
3:03
That he does
109 90th, 115 max holy crap
crossedup
3:04
I assume the Mariners draft is similar to the dbacks of "a bit boring/under whelming" we'll see how they actually do.
Brendan Gawlowski
3:04
I am in the unenviable position of looking at a high level Mariners pitching draft pick and thinking "I don't see it that way"
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