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Brendan Gawlowski Prospects Chat: 8/4/26
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Brendan Gawlowski
3:21
It's (likely) a package of players and the Cards now have a window to pick who they want
ankoalec
3:21
Devil's Advocate question on the Tigers moves given how the offense has played recently: how many relievers would they have needed to acquire at the deadline to rationalize NOT selling and rather pushing their chips in with Mize and Skubal rostered for one more season? If they had acquired, say, three high-leverage relievers yesterday would that have bolstered their weakest link enough to make going for it in a weaker AL this year worth it? What would playoff/pennant odds need to be in your opinion to take the shot?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:22
This just gets to what's so tough about the modern playoff landscape. They definitely could've justified improving the team and giving it one last go with Skubal/Mize/etc. The way that teams (mostly) aren't valuing the opportunity to compete for a third wild card suggests we have too many playoff teams
yumo22
3:22
Will you guys be doing the analysis of prospects traded at the deadline (or I guess near it) again?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:23
Yeah, we'll have the usual "rankings of the prospects who got dealt" post
Eric and I still need to hammer out the exact order and finish up the one sentence summaries of the guys
We talked about it yesterday and decided it was best to let some of the other content breathe for a bit on the site
djtofu
3:24
If the Giants were to trade Webb to the Dodgers, what would be a package that's fair to both side, based purely on talents and ignoring division rivalry?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:26
Extremely high. An ace/good no. 2 on a very affordable deal with 2.5 years left... It's hard to find a recent precedent for that deal. Three T100 types at a minimum and probably also one of the dodgers backend guys in the big leagues
ImKeithHernandez
3:27
I think Weaver was the only contract the Mets paid down to get a better return. What do they like about Stafura?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:27
Stafura is a middle infielder with power and he's on a heater right now. I see the appeal.
CC AFC
3:28
If there were a loan system, the Dodgers could loan out an entire 5 man rotation that's better than how many current teams major league rotations?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:28
None? Eric Lauer is in the rotation, the depth they've accumulated is mostly hurt.
millvillemeltdown
3:28
how do the deadline articles get assigned? is there a kanban board linked somewhere buried in the fangraphs slack? is it first to publish? do you call dibs to teams? a secret, arcane fourth option?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:29
If someone doesn't claim a deal right when it comes through, Meg will post that these "these moves are available" in Slack and someone takes them. Occasionally something gets assigned directly. Nothing special.
willt
3:30
Is it too early to read into the Giants acquiring bigger named prospects over the last 2 deadlines? Looks like the Mets haul from last year has not worked out that well
Brendan Gawlowski
3:31
I'm still on Tidwell a little bit. And Gilbert's fine, he's probably not a regular but he's a 40-something
3:32
For a reliever on an expiring contract that feels pretty good
Justin Krupp
3:32
Do you have a lesser known stat or metric that you like to use in your evaluations? Like pitches seen per plate appearance, pull rate, mother's maiden name, favorite ice cream?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:33
No, not really, nothing that you don't see me/us cite all the time. The closest thing to a secret sauce is just watching video on these guys.
cfarese
3:33
What do you make of Brandon Compton's past month and a half? Do you think he'll be in AAA by the end of the year?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:34
He's hit the dogshit out of the ball, AAA soon wouldn't surprise me. Still concerned about the swing and miss but one of a couple Marlins I don't feel great about right now.
WarrenJ
3:34
Re the Michael Forret question, the White Sox drafted Gio Gonzalez 38th overall in 2004, traded him and Aaron Rowand for Jim Thome 18 months later, reacquired him with Gavin Floyd for Freddy Garcia a year after that, then traded him to Oakland with Ryan Sweeney for Nick Swisher, where he finally made his major league debut in 2008.
Brendan Gawlowski
3:34
Good example. Jackson Wolf on a much, much lower scale
riceball
3:35
is the astros inability to acquire a starter at the deadline the last couple of years just more proof that the farm is barren and the dark night on the horizon is closer than ever
Brendan Gawlowski
3:35
They're tricky to deal with
3:36
They're the fantasy owner trying to trade their trash for your treasure
Hazmat Corntail
3:37
Thoughts on Jonathan Long going to Miami? For someone whose power still hasn’t progressed, this seems like a bad fit for him.
Brendan Gawlowski
3:37
They can't all go to Colorado
3:38
For his sake, easier to route to the big leagues in Miami than Chicago
willt
3:39
Would Boston have been better off packaging the best of in the Adley/Mead/Miller deals and go after an Elly-superstar type, or make the moves that they made?
Brendan Gawlowski
3:39
Sounds like they tried
3:40
You can understand why Cincy might just not be in the mood to trade Elly regardless
Or say we need Arias + __ and __
nancy rules
3:40
Lot of smart teams have targeted Dustin May seeing a ton of people freakout out about Frias and Ragsdale but maybe we are under appreciating May? I think the Brewers added two playoff usable relievers and someone who might start a playoff game. Shouldn't people be happy they added the way they did? perfect is the enemy of good
Brendan Gawlowski
3:42
I think all three of "the team got better," "the price seems kinda high for what they acquired," and "the double whammy from not landing Skubal and seeing him instead go to your biggest competitor for the crown is devastating" coexist comfortably
millvillemeltdown
3:42
i am in bed with cold, apologies in advance for any errors. in your self-evals, what do you see as your systematic strengths or weaknesses as a scout? probs external feedback will weigh into things (lol, "drunk on tools"), but wanted to hear your thoughts
Brendan Gawlowski
3:45
Strengths: Lot of passion, shown ability to improve/make adjustments, no glaring weakness in evaluating position players vs pitchers

Areas for improvement: Everything, nobody has this figured out
3:46
I'm also finding that, shockingly, there were advantages to sitting on a team for a full week vs. just looking at numbers/video
Smith_Brickner
3:46
I always remember Andrew Friedman saying, "If you're rational on every free agent, you'll come in third every time." Of course, it's an executive's task to correctly identify players worth "overpaying" for. Outside of Soto, it feels like the Yankees have been in this camp for too long and it's largely prevented them from making huge splashes at the deadline. Agree/disagree?
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