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Chat with MLBTR's Steve Adams: 1/13/26
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Joey B
1:50
Here's an odd fit that could make sense: Verlander to the Yankees on a incentive-rich deal.  They need a veteran depth piece and he finished the season strong.  Yes/no/maybe?
Steve Adams
1:51
I don't think it's an odd fit from a roster/team need perspective. But I also don't see why he's taking an incentive-laden deal. Verlander got $15MM guaranteed last year as a 42-year-old coming off a 5.48 ERA in 17 starts/90 innings. Yeah, he's 43 now, but he made 29 starts, pitched 152 innings with a 3.85 ERA, and finished on absolute fire.

Why's he taking a pay cut?
Cute Lady
1:52
Is it safe to say that William Contreras is upset with the Brewers for lowballing him?
Steve Adams
1:52
No. This is just arbitration.
Brian Davis Christian
1:53
Do you see the Tigers trading Skubal or riding the season out with him and ending up with a draft pick when he signs somewhere else
Steve Adams
1:54
Have said for months now that while it'll of course be talked about ad nauseum this winter, I see an almost 0% chance he's traded. Still my mindset. They'll either get a pick or re-sign him to a monster contract  next winter.
High Aav
1:54
With Tucker now being open to a 3 year 40m AAV deal. Do you think its an overall league trend to do inflated AAV contracts instead of longer deals with multiple down years in late 30s
Steve Adams
1:55
Just because that's where the Mets' offer is does not mean that he's necessarily open to it. Plus, multiple reports during this chat have said that their offer is actually worth more than $50MM annually. Let's get weird!
Ebbets Field.
1:56
AAV for Bo?  My friend says $30+, I'm at $25
Steve Adams
1:56
Depends entirely on the years. I'd be closer to 25, but if he ends up going for 7 or fewer years, then 30+, yeha.
Angels fan
1:56
Angels are stuck in no-man’s land again. Is it too much to ask them to target Bohm in a trade after Bichette goes to Philly?
Steve Adams
1:57
It's not too much, no, but Alec Bohm isn't moving the needle much for them.
Ketel Marte
1:57
Does the addition of Arenado to the Diamondbacks put trading me back on the table?
Steve Adams
1:58
No. They got Arenado for the price of basically a middle reliever.
TxDude
1:58
Is a Castellanos trade still likely or no?
Steve Adams
1:58
I have thought all offseason that he'll just be released, and I still think that.
E. Suarez
1:59
E.Suarez, in your mind: team, contract (Salary and Years)?
Steve Adams
2:00
At this point I'd probably guess something like two years and $48MM. I was very much on board with our three-year prediction back in November, but I think that was only going to be there if someone made him a priority, which clearly hasn't been the case.

Not saying I'd be stunned if he signed for three years and $54-63MM total or anything, but I think two feels safer now.
Rick
2:01
Rules question:  if the white sox signed Tucker would they lose the #1 pick?
Steve Adams
Cool Mama Bell
2:01
Tucker is not worth $50M AAV.
Steve Adams
2:02
The Mets agree! They'd be paying a 110% tax on his contract's AAV, so they think he's worth $100MM+ annually.
JankyLeg
2:03
The Rangers seem like they are one deGrom/Eovaldi/Seager major injury from falling off the map. With limited payroll, do you see them pivoting to a youth movement in short order if things don't work out?
Steve Adams
2:03
I can see that more in 2027 if things don't work out in 2026.
Skubal
2:05
What does a Free agent deal look for Tarik? Gotta assume it starts with at least a 3 and has a lot of zeros that follow.
Steve Adams
2:05
Not convinced it starts with a 3.
But that's because I think it might start with a 4.
2:07
I've got to call it for the week. I’m on X @Adams_Steve and Bluesky @adams-steve.bsky.social for more questions.

We had 900+ people in here today, so no chance to get to all the questions, but thank you all for chatting and participating!

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Have a great week, everyone!
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