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Chat with MLBTR's Steve Adams 8/24/22
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Steve Adams
12:02
Greetings all -- sorry for the lack of chat yesterday. We'll go for about an hour today
Will
12:04
If the Walker Buehler news, do you think we’ll ever see free agency requirements become position specified vs 6 years for all
Steve Adams
12:05
As in starting pitchers reach free agency sooner because of greater injury risk? No. Owners are going to overwhelmingly oppose any earlier path to free agency in any and all future collective bargaining waves
Redbird Fred
12:05
Pujols is on fire! Batting near 400 in August. Does he make it to 700?
Steve Adams
12:05
He's seven away. At this point, I expect him to get there, barring injury.
Prospect Whisperer
12:06
do Corbin Carroll and Gunnar Henderson make their debuts this year?
Steve Adams
12:06
I think both will be in the Majors before the season concludes, yeah.
John Means
12:06
What's my future with the Orioles?
Steve Adams
12:08
They already signed him for the 2023 season knowing full well he'll miss a good chunk of it while recovering from Tommy John surgery. They'll get what they can from him in 2023 and he'll be due one more raise in arbitration before he's eligible for free agency post-2024.

There's always the chance they trade him either next summer or in the 2023-24 offseason, depending on how the team performs overall, but right now they'll get about 1.5 more seasons of pitching from him before he's a free agent.
Mark
12:08
Who is going to replace JD in Texas?
Steve Adams
12:09
Chris Young is taking the reins in the front office and overseeing baseball operations. I don't think anyone expects them to hire someone above Young at this point.
Southside Fan
12:10
Can we now agree the White Sox aren't going to make the playoff?  In light of that, is there any chance they can/will sign Dylan Cease to an extension in the off season.  He has shown steady improvement over the last couple of years and is truly the ace of the staff.
Steve Adams
12:13
I don't have them as a playoff team, but it's not like they're dead and buried. They're four games out of first place.

I don't think their playoff hopes have any real bearing on whether they can extend Cease. He'll be arb-eligible for the first time this winter, and if they're comfortable paying something like the 5/56 that Sandy Alcantara got in Miami, or perhaps a bit more, then there's no reason to think they can't get something done.
Reds Rotation
12:13
Ashcraft, Lodolo, Greene, Williamson, & Overton/Veteran FA is a sneaky good rotation next year don't you think?
Steve Adams
12:15
Lodolo/Greene/Williamson/Ashcraft is a talented top quartet, sure, but none of them have established themselves yet and pretty much that entire group has dealt with injuries of various nature this season. Overton is a 29-year-old journeyman who isn't in that same tier and might not even stick on the 40-man all winter.
Michael
12:16
Does Correra opt out of Twins after this year?
Steve Adams
12:19
I still expect him to, but if there was one scenario where you could see him opting in, it's basically this one ... a mostly healthy but more good-than-great season.

He won't have the kind of earning power we were predicting last year, so it's a question of whether he wants to take one year at an ultra-premium AAV, try to reload in 2023 and hit the market as a still-young, potential No. 1 free agent ... or just max out right now and hit free agency knowing that the $300MM+ he wanted is in no way going to be there. He won't even be the top shortstop on this year's market.

I've talked about this with MLBTR's Tim Dierkes and Anthony Franco a bit. They both feel he all but certain to opt out. I'm more open to the idea that he'd take the 35, hope to rake in 2023, then push for something in the 300 range next winter.
Lobo
12:19
Steve: Good Afternoon. Fish Brass question. Do they come to the conclusion that Ng is not the answer to the foreseeable future and would a Joe Madden Florida reunion make sense?
Steve Adams
12:20
Ng hasn't even been on the job for two years. I cannot recall a single instance of a team hiring a new GM/president and then booting them 23 months down the line.
Well, besides the Mets stuff last year, but that obviously was under far different circumstances.
Will
12:21
Devils advocate... Judge leaves Yanks. Who do they turn to to supplement?
Steve Adams
12:22
Trade for Ohtani and offer him the moon on an extension?
Ohtani Future
12:22
Do the odds of an Ohtani trade increase with the Angel’s sale news? You think IF he’s moved there is any way they trade him within the AL?
Steve Adams
12:23
I think they probably improve, yes. The Angels are doing themselves a disservice if they listen to offers on him but exclude any team whatsoever. They should be open to trading him to Houston if the offer is good enough. Being closed off to trading him anywhere in the AL at all would be nonsensical.
Guess
12:24
Was reading a recap of the Art Moreno years in anticipation of a sale. Does the guy get a raw deal from the media because his free agency bets haven’t worked out? A lot of fan bases would kill for an owner willing to spend like he does
Steve Adams
12:26
I'm sure a lot of them would love an owner willing to spend like that ... until you realize he's going over the head of his front office to spend on ill-advised deals that sink the team and also habitually unwilling to invest multiple years into the one area of perennial need on his team (starting pitching).

Moreno has been super hands-on with the Angels, and to the team's detriment.
Will
12:26
Is he stays healthy,  what does deGrom's next contact look like?
Steve Adams
12:28
Larger AAV than Scherzer over a similarly short term. Biggest question for me would be whether someone would go to four years at that rate.

Healthy deGrom is the best pitcher in baseball... you're talking a sub-2.00 ERA and 35% strikeout rate over his past *six hundred* innings.
Josh
12:28
Think the Twins are done after losing a season-high four straight games?
Steve Adams
12:29
I think looking at any four-game stretch of a season -- or even a week or eight or nine or ten days -- and thinking it's representative of how the season will end generally ignores the constant ebbs and flows of momentum throughout a year.

In a word: nope.
12:31
The Mariners went through a 1-10 stretch back in late April/early May and then went 34-20 in June/July
Chris
12:32
The "IKF is a starting SS for a first division team" experiment has to be one and done, right?  He'd be much better in small doses as a UTIL
Steve Adams
12:34
The dip in power from its already minimal levels is pretty glaring. I liked the idea of him being a sneaky-good starter for a contending team, but a .054 ISO is pretty rough. I think he's probably better suited as a utilityman, yeah.
CAP man
12:34
Does Bogarts stay in Beantown? Has had a tough injury year.
Steve Adams
12:35
He'll still opt out and trounce that 3/60 on the open market -- most likely with a team other than Boston
Richard
12:35
Is it possible that Judge wins MVP and still doesn't top the Yankees pre-season offer?
Steve Adams
12:35
If he wins the AL MVP and then tears his ACL in the postseason or something, I guess. But he's going to crush that 7 / 213.5 offer in free agency now.
12:36
(Assuming good health))
Bullpen
12:37
Are you for or against spending big on relief arms?
Steve Adams
12:39
I'm against taking such a blanket approach to any position. Each player is different. I cringed when the Giants signed Mark Melancon for 4/62 several years ago and then thought "Yeah that makes sense" when the Angels signed Raisel Iglesias for similar money several years later.

If you're talking about something like the MLB draft, maybe it's different and you can more aptly put players in buckets. The history of high school right-handers is so atrocious that sure, I can get behind a blanket philosophy of avoiding them, especially in the top few picks. But even then, there will be someone who you consider an exception at SOME point.
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