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Craig Edwards FanGraphs Chat--1/23/2020
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Craig Edwards
2:53
That's probably just above average at about where the Braves will be for the foreseeable future given their ownership.
Joe
2:53
Are the Reds really contenders in the NL Central?  They added a few pieces, Akiyama/Moustakas/Miley, but I really can't see those players causing them to make that big of a jump in the standings.
Craig Edwards
2:57
Absolutely. On paper they are right there with the Cardinals and Brewers. They should have a good bullpen to go along with their very good rotation and that will give them the opportunity to be even better than they look in the Depth Charts. Would we be saying the same thing if the rest of the division hadn't sat around all offseason with the Cubs still with the possibility of trying to get worse? Maybe not, but the Reds look like a low-80-win team and if you get there, you've got a shot to be better than that and make the playoffs.
robert
2:58
Who locks down LF for STL (at least until Carlson is ready): Thomas or Hunky O'Neil?
Craig Edwards
2:59
I don't agree with your nickname for Tyler O'Neill but I do think he'll get a long look in left field. With Arozarena's departure, Thomas should get a real shot as fourth outfielder and that might get him a bunch of playing time.
Dave C
3:00
What is a fair offer for Marte from the Mets perspective?  Andres Giminez and Dom Smith and a rookie ball flyer.  Too much or too little?
Craig Edwards
3:00
Value-wise that makes sense but I don't know what the Pirates would do with Dom Smith.
Topps
3:00
Who are your picks for ROY in the AL&NL
Craig Edwards
3:00
Let's get to spring training at least.
Altuve
3:01
Altuve, unless he lasts until he's 42, is likely to be more borderline than inner circle HOF (if he even lasts that long, of course; 30s are where it is). This scandal might be rough for his legacy.
Craig Edwards
3:04
If Altuve gets to borderline Hall status and puts up another 30 wins after his 30th birthday, I don't think the scandal is going to stick. Second base is in a weird spot right now. I think Utley is deserving and Cano with a few more good years will be, too, depending on your PED perspective. Then you have Pedroia, Kinsler, and Zobrist who are all in the Hall of Very good area. Altuve's MVP is going to help him out a lot assuming he ages well.
Welp
3:05
Does Piscotty bounce back this year?
Craig Edwards
3:06
He should be better than last year. He's still only 29 and a year removed from a good offensive season.
Johnny5Alive
3:07
although I think giminez and smith is too much for marte, with 1 year of control, who can't play center, now tell me a package from the mets for arenado!
Craig Edwards
3:09
Marte can still play center and he has a 2021 option so there's two years remaining. I don't see how the Mets are going to accommodate Arenado's $35 million salary. The Mets would need to include Alonso to get the Rockies to pay down enough salary that the Mets would actually get ownership approval. That's a long way of saying it's not happening.
Johnny5Alive
3:11
why didn't kent get more traction for the HOF? 56 war is good, all time HR leader, MVP award.  Is it his attitude? too many different teams?
Craig Edwards
3:14
56 WAR isn't that good. The two retired guys directly above him in WAR over the last 50 years are Fred McGriff and Robin Ventura and the two guys below him are Lance Berkman an Ron Cey. It's mostly a group of guys who just weren't good enough for the Hall. Without the mystique of Vlad or a lot of angry old support like Jim Rice, Kent's case just isn't that great.
Mr. Burrito
3:15
I see a lot about how the Dodgers and Cubs match up well for a Bryant trade. I don't see it (though I think Bryant is very good).... What am I missing?
Craig Edwards
3:16
The Dodgers just have a lot of excess and Bryant is really good. LA can afford to give up players other teams might not be able to. Add in LA being way below spending capacity and a match does make sense.
Nick
3:16
Any chance the Cardinals give someone like John Gant or Austin Gomber a chance at the 5th spot in the rotation over Kim or Wainwright?
Craig Edwards
3:18
No. Gant had that opportunity last year and was beat out by Hudson. They'll let Wainwright start unless it is obvious he's done and Gomber hasn't done enough to show he's ready. Kim would seem to be the first guy up should somebody get hurt in Spring Training.
Joe
3:19
What's your take on David Ortiz's upcoming HoF candidacy? I really can't support him, he just wasn't good enough
Craig Edwards
3:21
I think it depends on how you view postseason numbers. He falls a little short in the WAR department, but also put up essentially two full wins in the playoffs. How much credit you give those or if you want to use a multiplier gets him pretty close. It's a tough call.
Cooper
3:21
Before the 2017 season, the Mariners traded Marte and Walker to the Diamondbacks for Haniger and Segura.  Given all that has happened since then (Marte's breakout and extension; Segura's trade to Philadelphia; Walker's injury history; Haniger's own injury history, etc.), how would you assess the trade?
Craig Edwards
3:22
Sometimes it boils down to who gets the best player, and given that, it's hard not to see Arizona on top with Marte.
Foolsgold
3:23
3 years from now, Dodgers SS will be..... Seager, Lux or Downs?
Craig Edwards
3:23
Lindor?
Paul
3:25
Any chance the Cardinals start Thomas and O'Neill in the Corners and make Fowler the 4th outfielder? Doesn't make sense to start an older declining player ahead of two younger guys with more potential upside.  Also any chance Fowler waives the No Trade Clause if Carlson starts tearing up AAA and gets called up?
Craig Edwards
3:27
The Cardinals had better outfielders last year and Fowler got 574 PA. I think it would take a lot to get Fowler out of a starting role. If the Cardinals were out of it and Fowler was playing well, I could see him waiving his no-trade clause, but that seems like a pretty far-fetched scenario. If Fowler is about to lose his job, a Fowler trade seems like a pretty tough one to make.
Christian
3:28
Is the post 2021 FA class of shortstops (Baez, Story, Lindor, Correa, Seager) the best single class of a FAs at a given position in MLB history?
Craig Edwards
3:28
Maybe, though it will be interesting to see if they are all still shortstops in two years.
3:29
That is going to do it for today. Thanks for all the questions.
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