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Craig Edwards FanGraphs Chat--1/30/2020
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Craig Edwards
2:35
I would guess he gets the opportunity to show he's healthy and if he can still hit, he'll get a bunch of playing time somewhere.
pelkey
2:36
it seems like a trade for Arenado shouldn't be too difficult. the teams could come to an agreement on a deal for the first two years of the remaining contract. they would also agree to a number or PTBNL, a number of player submissions, and a number of vetoes. for instance, if Arenado opts in, the Rockies get 2 PTBNL, they submit a list of 15 names at the time of opt in, and the acquiring team has 10 vetoes. the Rockies choose 2 from the remaining 5. perhaps it also triggers some money from the Rocks, a la the Stanton deal. is this a silly idea? it seems very workable to me.
Craig Edwards
2:38
The length of the question speaks to the difficulty. There aren't going to PTBNL two years from now. That's just not possible. You can do cash but not players. It's a very hard trade to work out. I wrote about it a couple weeks ago. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-nolan-arenado-trade-problem/
Brian
2:38
More Wins:  White Sox or Cubs
Craig Edwards
2:38
Today, I say Cubs. Ask me again if they trade Bryant.
Cogswell Cogs
2:39
ERods stats seem to be fairly consistent over the past few years with streaks of good and bad.....do you see this changing any time soon?
Craig Edwards
2:40
Last year was his first full season in the majors really, so it's hard to know if he has another level beyond the four-win pitcher in a full season from last year. I'd bet on another similar season in 2020.
Kirt Manwaring
2:41
Aren't the Giants the obvious fit for Betts?  Desperate need for an outfielder and about to have a ton of money coming off of the books...and they'
Craig Edwards
2:41
For 2021? Depends on how soon they want to restart things, but from a financial perspective that makes a ton of sense and his defense would fit really well out there.
Johnny5Alive
2:42
Nola bounceback or is he more 2019 than 2018? or is part of it the juiced ball from last year?
Craig Edwards
2:42
I'd split the difference and predict a four-win season or so, which is still really good.
Kirt Manwaring
2:42
Would Mookie be a plus in CF?  In a huge outfield like SF?
Craig Edwards
2:42
I'd put him in a corner in SF.
Dan
2:43
Do you think the Reds have the pieces to land Lindor or Seager? (Or another obvious upgrade at SS)?
Craig Edwards
2:44
I think so. They still have some good prospects though not as good of a fit with LA given their lack of needs.
Alex
2:44
if an international draft were to be implemented, how would the league go about determining the draft order? If it is worst teams To best teams, that would even further incentivize tanking.
Craig Edwards
2:45
This is a good question. Right now, they let small-market teams have bigger pools so there might be some of that. An auction would make more competitive since, but that is pretty unseemly.
BESR
2:45
Thoughts on Strop signing?
Craig Edwards
2:46
He's a reliever. He's been good. He's not expensive. That's a good signing.
Christian
2:46
Does the Bryant for Arenado rumor make any sense for either team?
Craig Edwards
2:46
If the Cubs could unload another contract, it makes sense, but I think they
2:47
would want the opt out waived. For Colorado, it only makes sense if they think they can't move on with Arenado and that they are a winning team now. That's not reasonable, but if they want to show they can still win now, then Bryant makes sense. It's not likely though.
Johnny5Alive
2:48
vegas has mets at 86.5... their bullpen should be better (and it cost them about 20 games last year), their lineup should be better, they will regress in starting pitching a little bit.  The divisions is tough and in particular, the nats have made a lot of shrewd moves and the braves got ozuna. what's your take?
Craig Edwards
2:49
I think slightly over is reasonable, but don't take my advice for gambling purposes.
Jerome
2:49
There were rumors at A's FnaFest that they were open to moving Cahna or Piscotty. Obvioulsy they would only do so if a potential deal could improve their 2020 outlook. The question I have for you Criag is how good of a player could the A's acquire with a package of Cahna/Piscotty + Mateo/Barreto + another 40 FV prospect? Might not be enough for Syndergaard (please tell me I'm wrog lol), but could it land them Whit Merrifield?
Craig Edwards
2:51
I'm not sure I see that. Canha and Piscotty are coming off opposite 2019 seasons leaving the latter with little value, but one of them should be good next year and going with an internal 2b plus seeing how the other two do is probably better than Whitfield without Canha and another internal 2B option.
BarryBondsJuicedForOurSins
2:51
The Reds seem that they're not gonna ride Aquino.  Do we riot?
Craig Edwards
2:51
He really struggled in September. If he can get back to August, they will find some time for him.
Alex
2:52
Following up on my intl draft question, I would certainly hope the league would find a way to make it equitable rather than shutting out all the top teams. Maybe they could use a system where each team gets to have a spot in a “15-team lottery” every other year where each team gets an equal shot at every pick, with selections 16-30 being ordered based on previous year W-L record.
Craig Edwards
2:52
A lottery would also prevent too much maneuvering of draft deals.
Morbo
2:52
If Lindor gets moved which teams are realistically in on other side of that trade?
Craig Edwards
2:53
It's sounding more like he won't be moving, but the Reds and Dodgers look like the more interesting suitors.
Nick Pappagiorgio
2:54
No question, just a statement. I sure hope Clayton Kershaw worked on his change-up this offseason. He can't be content as a 4-WAR, 3.0-ERA guy at age 32.
Craig Edwards
2:55
Those are pretty high standards, even for an inner circle Hall of Famer. Hope you enjoyed all those free cars.
Kevin
2:56
Could this be the biggest deadline year in history? Potential for Arenado, Betts and Lindor to all be moved if their teams are out of it, which is a real possibility
Craig Edwards
2:56
Maybe, but odds are two of those three teams are still in it.
Alex
2:57
You think Stanton has a decent bounceback year in store? The production should definitely be there but he needs to stay on the field.
Craig Edwards
2:57
I think so.
Nick Martin
2:57
Is Jorge Alfaro a starting Major League Catcher 3 years from now?
Craig Edwards
2:57
I'll say yes.
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