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Craig Edwards FanGraphs Chat--1/9/2020
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Craig Edwards
2:42
I don't think I'd just assume he's going to get to 170 innings coming back over, but the projection is definitely more optimistic than the original one. I'm probably more in wait and see mode with him.
Matt
2:44
Copy that on the Red Sox-Dodgers trade analysis. If the Dodgers wanted to go get Mookie Betts and offered those three players, is that too much?
Craig Edwards
2:44
Maybe more like Ruiz and Verdugo and that would be a pretty favorable deal for the Red Sox.
pumpsie
2:45
Are the Yankees better/worse/same as last year? Hard to get better, I know, and not that they have to, but does the one big addition make up for a few small subtractions?
Craig Edwards
2:46
They might be better and finish with a worse record. They were plus-9 in BaseRuns. They could win 97 games with a 97-talent-level team if they get better health from a few position players and Cole comes through.
Master of Karate
2:47
They Cardinals should re-sign Ozuna. Why haven't they?
Craig Edwards
2:49
They have a lot of outfield options and they don't want to get tied into a long-term deal in case a few guys work out. It isn't hard to see an outfield of Bader, O'Neill, and Carlson being really good. It also isn't hard to see them be really bad. I think a return of Ozuna fits if the market isn't there for him, but there are still a few teams that should be more interested in adding Ozuna and be willing to give him more money than the Cardinals.
Cespedes u Boar me
2:49
Realistic expectations for Yoenis this year?
Craig Edwards
2:49
If you want to be realistic, I think you have to expect not playing at all until he proves otherwise.
James
2:50
What are the odds that another team is found to have a sign-stealing operation on the same level as the Astros? Will this possibility inform any punishment so the precedent is not set too high if this is found to be more common than originally thought?
Craig Edwards
2:51
I think that's part of the reason why the fine isn't going to be really, really high. Front office suspensions and draft pick penalties can be repeated across the sport if necessary, but Manfred can't just go around collecting $20 million from half the franchises and then give it to the rest of them.
Some Insider
2:51
What's next for the yankees? It seems like they have some good trade chips and options (Frazier, Andujar, Happ, etc).
Craig Edwards
2:52
I'm not sure what kind of value most of the guys have in the offseason. Last season showed the value of depth for the Yankees and they might need it again. If Happ moves, it is basically his contract for nothing, most likely. The Yankees might just sit tight for a while.
Some Insider
2:53
Wouldn't an NL team with a thin rotation VALUE J.A Happ? He was HR prone last year, but he gives innings and in a better ballpark can easily be an Avg Mlb starter and eat innings
Craig Edwards
2:54
He's also 37 years old and might just be done, so I'm sure some teams would take a flyer on him, but they aren't going to give anything up and they probably ask for some money.
Elmer
2:54
Does Trey Mancini get traded, and who would be interested?
Craig Edwards
2:56
It's possible, but when you see Ozuna, Castellanos, and Puig all still available, it doesn't seem super-likely. If a team had a lot of excess when it comes to prospects and had a self-imposed cap, that team would be a good fit, but there aren't that many teams out there like that right now.
Some Insider
2:56
Seriously though, is the penalty for the Red Sox and Astros even going to matter? Suspending coaches means very little with the analytics these days, money means nothing.. While draft picks are valuable, any round after the 1st is really a crapshoot, so even taking away 3 top 5 picks or something, both teams got a WS title, do you think they care?
Craig Edwards
2:58
If you suspend the coaches and front office people responsible, that's going to act as a deterrent for the future. If somebody thinks they are going to be out of baseball for a year or more, then they will think twice before carrying out an illegal scheme. Since Chris Correa went to prison, I think most people think twice about hacking other teams. Long suspensions aren't as harsh, obviously, but they should work.
mike
2:58
I recall Terry Ryan once saying he couldn't give MN's money away to free agents.......so far, this new FO's largest deal is 3/24 for Jason Castro. What's the deal?
Craig Edwards
2:59
Maybe he wasn't trying hard enough. We'll see how this front office does with Donaldson after missing out on most of the good pitching. A team can always offer more money and players usually say yes.
P
3:00
Where did all of the talk on universal DH and pitch clocks go?
Craig Edwards
3:01
it's on hold, probably until the next CBA. I think the owners would like the players to believe universal DH is a big get for the players, but the players haven't acted like that so nothing is happening.
Dave C
3:01
The Mets make the playoffs if ____ happens.
Craig Edwards
3:01
Starting pitching stays healthy and the defense improves.
3:02
That's going to do it for me today. Thanks for all the questions.
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