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Craig Edwards FanGraphs Chat--11/12/2020
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Craig Edwards
2:59
Look at his home plate to first times. He gets started very quickly and his straight line speed is still very good.
Guest
2:59
As a Cardinals fan, what's your take on TLR and the White Sox?
Craig Edwards
3:01
He did a great job managing the Cardinals until he retired after the 2011 season. I don't know what made him a great candidate a decade later and I don't know why the White Sox would have overlooked the second DUI. It doesn't make a lot of sense.
MilwaukeeBeerJays
3:01
Dear Craig, tremendous work on the site, especially recently!
.....but where is DAN?!?!?
Craig Edwards
3:02
He's working on ZiPS, probably. He's going to be going fast  and furious with those.
Jackson Is Curious
3:02
Do you think you would be physically capable of hitting a home run in a major league stadium? Let's say in a batting practice scenario where you have unlimited opportunities.
Craig Edwards
3:02
No.
Jonathan
3:02
It seems that K% and EV are two of the best predictors of success. Has a projection model been made around these factors to predict breakouts? Am I describing xwOBA?
xwOBA doesn't take into account K% though, does it?
Craig Edwards
3:04
xWOBA does take into account K% as well as walk %. xwOBACON is contact only. xWOBA is basically FIP except instead of home runs and essentially average BABIP it uses expected outcomes based on launch angle and velocity. Much like FIP, it can be used to spot outliers over smaller samples that could or should even out over time with a larger sample.
Eric
3:04
Jonathan Schoop didn't make the cut for this year's top 50 free agents. What sort of contract do you see him signing?
Craig Edwards
3:04
He was actually on the list at number 50 before Kolten Wong's option was not exercised. I would imagine a one-year deal somewhere between four million and seven million dollars.
Chaim Bloom
3:05
Why wouldn't I just bring back JBJ, keep Verdugo in right, and add a righty bat on the cheap to platoon with Benny in left?
Craig Edwards
3:07
Do you also need a righty to platoon with JBJ? I think bringing back Bradley would be fine. Need starting pitching to really compete.
Dodgers Fan
3:07
Has anyone reported the terms of Friedman’s extension from last winter?
Craig Edwards
3:08
I haven't seen it though his first deal was 5/35 and I doubt Dodgers' owners are displeased.
Stevil
3:08
How should Cleveland address their outfield issues?
Craig Edwards
3:08
The first step is acknowledging such issues exist, and there haven't been a lot of moves to indicate that.
3:10
There's not a lot out there in free agency and most of the players moved this offseason who are good will have contracts attached to them that Cleveland doesn't want. Maybe they can wait and have the outfield equivalent of Cesar Hernandez fall in their laps.
David
3:11
Will we finally see average salaries start to come down as a results of this past year?
Craig Edwards
3:12
Average salaries in MLB have been mostly stagnant for the last five years. They will definitely go down this year, but they were going to do that anyway. If there's a return to anything like normal over the next few years, there should be considerable room for growth.
Deivi G
3:13
A lot of pitchers will probably be fine next year (people miss a year all the time, and this is basically that), but what happens to a guy like me if I'm being asked to do a lot more?
Craig Edwards
3:14
I think a lot of teams are going to have pitcher workload questions that don't have easy answers. I think teams will try and be responsible with pitch counts and days off but ultimately, every healthy arm is going to be asked to pitch a lot more than last year.
Guest
3:16
Hey Craig, how would I be able to submit an article on fangraphs based on some research we've done?
Craig Edwards
3:16
You can submit articles to the Community Blog here, if that's what you are looking for: https://community.fangraphs.com/wp-admin/post-new.php
Isolated Thinker
3:16
Could there be a bidding war for Hendriks so great that he exceeds 4/$60M?  Any team with money to spend has room for an elite reliever.
Craig Edwards
3:17
I doubt it. I just don't see teams spending that much money on relievers right now.
Chris
3:17
Are you surprised Justus Sheffield got 0 roy votes?
Craig Edwards
3:18
A little bit. I think I would have had him third, though it is close. David Laurila had a vote and he ended up fourth. https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/a-look-at-one-writers-american-league-...
JC
3:18
In a few years when the qualifying offer reaches mid 20s it will become almost impossible to offer it to anyone outside of major stars, right?
Craig Edwards
3:19
A lot of other things could go up, too so that there are non-major stars making that much money.
Guest
3:19
Who is the most underrated starting pitcher in baseball right now?
Craig Edwards
3:19
Lance Lynn.
David
3:19
Opponents should be irrelevant when considering the cy young.
Craig Edwards
3:20
How a pitcher pitched is relevant. If there was a Cy Young for the whole league and one group pitched to pitchers and the other didn't, wouldn't you consider that if two pitchers' results were equivalent?
Tom
3:20
Lindor to Cardinals?
Craig Edwards
3:21
I just don't think that is very likely. Lindor is a push you over the top move and I don't see the Cardinals at that level right now.
Thanks for all the questions. Have to run.
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