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Craig Edwards FanGraphs Chat--11/5/2020
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Curtis
2:42
Which teams will "Zag" this winter...everyone is predicting a slow depressed market...who will sign big early and often? how about significant trades?
Craig Edwards
2:44
The Mets seem like the obvious team given new ownership. The Dodgers could remain aggressive. In terms of the big players, it isn't exactly in their interest to broadcast that they have a ton of money.
Curtis
2:44
Which 2020 playoff teams don't make it in 2021?  What's one outside team that gets in next year?  Based on information available on 11/5/20 of course
Craig Edwards
2:46
Assuming no expanded playoffs, there are a bunch of candidates. In the NL, the Marlins, Reds, Brewers could be in trouble. In the AL, Cleveland could be in trouble if they trade Lindor and don't supplement the big league team. It will be tougher for Toronto as well.
2:47
For teams missing the playoffs, the Nationals jump out, maybe the Angels and the Mets if they add players.
Guest
2:47
just finished your mets article, and your last point re: Hendriks is an excellent one. But why not Brad Hand?
Craig Edwards
2:49
I don't think Hand is quite in the same category. He's been more very good than great, and not giving up a homer is more fluke than something that can repeat itself.
Curtis
2:49
How many teams will have better World Series odds in the AL on Opening Day 2021 than Tampa Bay?    The Dodgers will be favorites to repeat as NL Pennant winners right?
Craig Edwards
2:49
Probably just the Yankees? and yes on the Dodgers.
David
2:52
Is it realistic to expect no more than 2 or 3 of the top guys getting more than 2 year deals?
Craig Edwards
2:53
I'll stick with what I said in the in the Top 50 Free Agents piece with six (seven with Kim) players getting three years or more.
Luke c
2:53
Do you expect the Blue Jays to be more active this winter than last? I keep seeing them tied to Bauer and even Lindor. Could they be a player for one, or even both?
Craig Edwards
2:55
The Blue Jays are a team that could be active this winter. They are below a $100 million payroll right now and that's like half of what they were when they were competing a few years ago. So even if they aren't getting up to those levels, they could still be aggressive.
(Name withheld)
2:56
You mention Dom Smith as part of the LF plan for the Mets- is it at all plausible, if the DH returns, that he might be the long term primary 1B (with Alonso at DH)? That happened quite a bit this past season.
Craig Edwards
2:56
That's certainly possible. We just don't know if there's going to be a DH, yet.
David
2:57
If there are very few teams willing to spend big this year, especially compared to other years, they don't need to compete against each other, they can keep salaries down. Smart Business move?
Craig Edwards
2:58
That depends if you think there will be fans in the stands and you can sell tickets. Because teams are selling a product and it is generally good to create excitement in that product. Adding good players creates that excitement and gets people watching and buying things.
and I'll add that if there is a concerted effort on the part of the owners to not compete against each other, that will lead to charges of collusion and potentially hundreds of millions of dollars in damages.
Appa Yip Yip
2:59
The Blue Jays revenue is also way more closely tied to television than most teams, seeing as they're owned by a multi billion dollar telecommunications company, with exclusive broadcast rights, and a good team has a potential tv audience of literally all of canada, so they may not be in the same financial straits as other teams.
Craig Edwards
2:59
This is also correct, but they still need the parent company to decide it is a good idea to spend that money.
Brian LaFevre
3:00
If you were going after one of the veteran starters on a 1-year cheap-o type deal, who would you target first?
Craig Edwards
3:01
Not sure how cheap you are talking, but I'd target Paxton, Quintana and Archer.
AJ
3:01
Better long term SD SP...Patino or Gore?  Will one or both be in their rotation next year?
Craig Edwards
3:02
I'd lean Gore, though I would imagine both get shots at the rotation.
Fatty Magoo
3:02
What's the likelihood of Didi going back to the Phillies and how much does the Realmuto bidding affect his market?
Craig Edwards
3:03
If they don't get Realmuto, then it makes it more likely, though I don't know that he'll want to wait out that market if there are other teams interested.
That's going to do it for me today. Thanks for all the questions.
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