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Craig Edwards FanGraphs Chat--12/3/2020
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Bobby
2:44
Is Evan White a strong bet to hit .250+ and hit 25+ bombs?
Craig Edwards
2:45
That is not a bet I would take, at least not for next year. I expect he could do that at some point in the next few years, but that would be a good result, not a reasonable expectation.
Don Jenver
2:45
Rockies OF are dead last in DRS (-400!!) & UZR (-216) since their introduction. Out of 37 individual DRS/UZR seasons they've only come in positive once by DRS & six times by UZR. Coors is big. If they put together like a Kiermaier/Buxton/Bader OF, what might that look like? Would it even matter?
Craig Edwards
2:47
The solution is to have pitchers keep the ball out of the air. You have to have a big outfield otherwise the park is too small homer-wise. I think an all-D outfield would be kind of fun, but you also need to have contact or power hitters to take advantage on offense. There's a give and take and it is hard to balance.
George
2:47
Rumors are that Nats are refusing to include either Rutledge or Cavalli in a trade for Bryant. I saw some crazy Duquette proposal that said Castro for Byrant just as a salary dump? What is an actually possible package that would make this trade make sense?
Craig Edwards
2:48
The more the calendar changes, the less likely a trade is. I don't think teams are going to give up a bunch for Bryant at his salary, and it remains to be seen if the Cubs really want to just give Bryant away.
Nathan
2:49
If the Astros traded Bergman because he’s annoying, what could they get back?
Craig Edwards
Atilla the pun
2:50
Dayton Moore says he wants to add a "middle of the order" bat to the Royals lineup. Any speculation as to who might be a good fit? With Dozier and Whit's positional flexibility, I guess any position is an option to add.
Craig Edwards
2:54
I really don't know what that looks like for Kansas City. The non-tendered guys make sense like Eddie Rosario and Kyle Schwarber. I don't think Justin Turner, Joc Pederson, Michael Brantley or any of the better hitters in free agency make sense. and they shouldn't be trading anyone of value right now.
Jon
2:54
If Springer isn't a long term CF, should Mets just roll with what they have in the OF and maybe add Pillar/Almora?
Craig Edwards
2:55
I think that makes sense, though if you pass on Realmuto, then Springer makes more sense as an immediate impact player.
Jon
2:57
Josh Lowe is 60 pitch selection and 45 bat control. How is that a 40 hit overall?
Craig Edwards
2:57
he strikes out a lot.
Tom
2:57
Think the Cardinals sign any of the non-tenders?
Craig Edwards
2:58
they always seem to sign a reliever, so maybe there's a possibility there. They have to figure out their outfield so maybe one of the bigger names makes sense, but guessing they will wait the market out and then really start to like their internal options and want to give them a chance to see what they can do.
EbenezerBatflip
2:59
What kind of moves do you expect Chaim Bloom to make in free agency? He was a small budget-savvy guy in Tampa, do you expect that to be the case on a big market/budget team like the Red Sox? Obviously I don't expect him to be a Dombrowski-style big spender, but do you think he will make any big moves in free agency or all small moves?
Craig Edwards
3:00
I wouldn't think they'd be in on the top three FA. Maybe some activity on the international front and bring in a bunch of guys for the rotation to get some more depth there.
Jon
3:01
I get that Josh Lowe strikes out a lot, but how does a 60 pitch selection and 45 bat control come out to 40 overall?
Craig Edwards
3:01
You'd have to ask Eric, who I think is chatting tomorrow.
Gunther Centralperk
3:02
Do you expect Scherzer to bounce back in 21 or is he on permanent decline?
Craig Edwards
3:03
He was still one of the 20-best pitchers in baseball last year in a weird, shortened season. I don't expect him to be at 7 or 8 wins next year but a five-win season seems like a reasonable bet.
Joshua
3:04
I can’t remember if I asked you this, or a different Fangraphs chatter, but if the Nats offered Kieboom, Robles, Crowe and Denaburg to Cleveland for Jose Ramirez, what’s the response? Thanks
Craig Edwards
3:05
It would be no thanks. To give up Ramirez, who they have more three more years at a very low cost, they should be getting a current high-end prospect to lead the trade as opposed to former guys like Kieboom and Robles.
Guest
3:06
Doesn’t a 3/85 extension (through 2024) with another 15 of incentives based on starts make sense for Kershaw and the Dodgers?
Craig Edwards
3:07
If the Dodgers felt like it was worth it to not have Kershaw be a pending free agent, sure, but they could pretty easily just wait for FA and then make him the highest offer and lessen some of the risk.
deuce26
3:08
Are teams accounting for fewer double plays turned when shifting?  I see a lot of balls that could have resulted in DP but aren't because middle infielders are shifted.  All I hear about is how many hits are saved.
Craig Edwards
3:09
I would imagine they are, but I'm not sure how big the difference is. There are arguments that shifting a ton is actually a net negative overall because pitchers then pitch differently than they would, though that seems to be more of an execution issue than a problem with the shift.
Mike Rizzo
3:11
What do I do about my infield holes and RF?
Craig Edwards
3:11
Sign Jedd Gyorko or Carlos Santana along with Eddie Rosario or something.
Guest
3:13
Would combining Darvish and Heyward in a trade bring anything back for the Cubs?
Craig Edwards
3:15
So that's like four years of both players for $175 million and more than $40 million in 2021 salaries alone? There's probably a few teams that might be willing to take that on, though if the Cubs want something of value back, they probably need to pay some of the money down. Heyward also has a full no-trade and Darvish is limited, which could limit suitors even more.
Zach
3:15
Are you worried at all about Gavin Lux? Is it inevitable that he gets moved to the outfield?
Craig Edwards
3:16
Not yet, though he would still be a good player in the outfield.
Guest
3:16
In your opinion, Lindor is traded to whom and for what package?
Craig Edwards
3:18
I would guess the Dodgers, for something similar to what they gave up for Betts without Price also coming. I'm guessing most Cleveland fans will be disappointed in the return.
Pumpsie Green
3:18
Thanks for taking my question, Craig! I'd love to see the Jays get Darvish and Heyward for Tanner Roark and Anthony Kay, with the Cubs covering part of the back half of Heyward's deal.
Craig Edwards
3:19
I know the Cubs are cutting back, I'm just not sure they are cutting that far back. Without Darvish and Heyward, the Cubs are a fourth-place team and I don't think they want to do that, yet.
Gunther Centralperk
3:20
Have people in general been a tad premature in anointing Buehler the ace of the Dodgers? The argument just seems to be that he can throw 99 and Kershaw can’t.
Craig Edwards
3:21
He was better in 2019, but didn't pitch a lot in 2020. You'd probably project them similarly at this point with Buehler having the greater upside for next season.
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