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Craig Edwards FanGraphs Chat--12/5/2019
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Craig Edwards
2:47
He was a pretty good player.
John
2:47
Not sure if this has been pointed out, but the glossary page on WAR still says that pitch framing is not accounted for in catcher WAR
Craig Edwards
2:48
Thanks. I will pass that along.
Jerry Dipoto
2:48
If I ask the Cardinals, San Diego and Cleveland for their comp A pick and a prospect for haniger who agrees to trade with me?
Craig Edwards
2:50
Depends on the prospect but San Diego has the most of them. If you are talking about like Randy Arozarena or Daniel Johnson, then St. Louis or Cleveland would probably say yes as well.
Nolan
2:50
Wait...I am the Walrus said they got Mejia (Francisco?) for Realmuto, which you corrected to Alfaro, but the ranking (26th overall) is clearly Mejia and not Alfaro (who wasn't a prospect any more)
Craig Edwards
2:50
well that clears up some confusion I have.
Matt
2:50
Could MLB institute the reverse of a luxury tax? Say a “pauper tax” on certain thresholds below league average payroll(with MAYBE some market-size adjustment).
Craig Edwards
2:51
That's basically a payroll floor, which might not be likely. The easiest way to construct a floor is to raise minimum salaries and those who go through arbitration. I also think revenue sharing with incentives for winning also might help.
Deb
2:52
What happens to Dom Smith this offseason? Do you think the Mets move him to a team with a 1B opening?
Craig Edwards
2:52
I would think so, yes, though that might have made sense last year, too.
Brandon
2:52
When do you think Cole will sign? Will Strasburg wait to sign after Cole?
Craig Edwards
2:54
I'm hopeful they will both sign this month. I think the only way Strasburg goes first is if he wants to head back to Washington and they give him a huge deal. I could be wrong, but that's what makes the most sense to me in terms of negotiating.
robert
2:54
With Moose to Cinnci, is Ozuna going to ChiSox, Philly or Cleveland?
Craig Edwards
2:55
I always thought he made a lot of sense for the White Sox, but with Castellanos and Puig also out there, Gardner as well, picking a landing spot is a bit difficult because those guys could basically play musical chairs.
Chris
2:56
What is the backup plan for WSN if they lose out on Rendon and Strasburg?
Craig Edwards
2:57
Donaldson would make a ton of sense. They could get any number of pitchers and their rotation would be fine. That's also what I could have said last year and they signed the best free agent starter available.
Roy
2:57
Do you think we avoid a strike seeing as free agents are getting paid again?
Craig Edwards
2:58
Avoiding a strike would be nice, but I don't think the player's have erased the last few years from memory. We are also only about 10% of the way through the free agent signings. There's a long way to go.
Grassquatch
2:58
How much of a risk do you think Ryu to be?  I love him, and wish Seattle would bid, but I get the impression Dipoto wants to save the team money and find out what the young pitchers (Kikuchi, Sheffield, Dunn, soon Gilbert).
Craig Edwards
2:59
Ryu is going to be 33 next year and has a pretty significant injury history. He should only be signed by a team going for it in 2020 and I don't think that fits for Seattle.
J
3:00
Dan had an interesting thread the other day about how teams aren’t paying $8-9M per win, specifically for the 1st win. Is their a way to breakdown how much teams are paying per win that is staggered and not necessarily just $/WAR? Perhaps an update on wins above average?
Craig Edwards
3:01
The last I saw was Matt Swartz a few years ago and at that time, he found it still to be linear. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-linearity-of-cost-per-win/
3:02
We've had three seasons since then, and we are perhaps coming to a head in terms of player development and the talent level of players, particularly younger players, where that might not be true anymore.
I am the Walrus
3:03
Bieber was never ranked in Baseball America or MLB.com as a top 100 prospect.  They called him a 4 or 5 and the other a mid rotation guy.  So how do you explain him now being called a #1 or #2.  What happened?
Craig Edwards
3:03
I wrote about him early this season, but I think there were some hittability issues that were greatly helped by a change. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-best-bieber/
Dylan
3:05
Why don't "rebuilding" teams take on bad contracts more often? Do owners not see the big picture, even financially?
Craig Edwards
3:06
Most teams with bad contracts don't attach good prospects to them so the opportunities aren't great. The owners like rebuilds because they are cheap. If they were expensive, they probably wouldn't be quite as on board.
TomBruno23
3:06
Ryu makes sense for just about everybody? Or only for a team going for it in 2020? I agree with the latter.
Craig Edwards
3:06
got me.
GSon
3:07
@ I am the Walrus: RE: Bieber: The Indians are exploiting an untapped advantage. The Indians are taking guys who can fill up the strike zone at will w/ control and command & teaching them how to throw harder. Bieber was a low 90's / upper 80's nothing special SP.. Same with Aaron Civale..
Eric
3:07
Should the next highly desired GM/President...etc seek a deal more like CEOs in various large corporations? A long contract with incredibly substantial costs to voiding, to prevent a Dave Dombrowski-type situation.
Craig Edwards
3:08
I'm guessing that would take money out of the salary and the guaranteed portion of the deal, which wouldn't be as desirable.
mike
3:08
Torres isn't as good a SS as Didi. How do Yanks not resign Didi.
Craig Edwards
3:09
If they wanted him, they could have made him a QO. I'm guessing they think Torres is a better player and that they have enough infielders. They need starting pitching.
3:10
That's going to do it for me today. Thanks for all the questions.
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