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Craig Edwards FanGraphs Chat--2/6/2020
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Craig Edwards
2:39
Here's the one for non-top-100 prospects: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/putting-a-dollar-value-on-prospects-out...
Also, these pieces are in the essential articles section of the prospects page. https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects
Gil
2:39
Thoughts on the Cohen, Wilpon, Mets situation? I thought we finally tossed the ring into Mount Doom...
Craig Edwards
2:40
Silly, silly commenter. I don't know why you got your hopes up with the Wilpon's involved. The whole five-year plan was wild from the start. You are either selling or you aren't. I didn't think it would blow up this soon, but I'm not surprised it's happening.
Meg I dun do fantasy ??s Rowley
2:40
Do you do fantasy questions?
Craig Edwards
2:41
If you couch them in actual baseball questions, sure.
devin has cheeto lips
2:41
Do you see Aaron Sanchez catching on anywhere and in what role?
Craig Edwards
2:41
Maybe a reliever in the second half, but probably not much production this season.
Morbo
2:42
The Betts return feels light to me. It seems like the Red Sox somehow received less in return for Mookie than the D-Backs did for Goldschmidt. Especially since catcher is such a weak position. Tell me why I'm wrong...
Craig Edwards
2:43
You aren't wrong. By attaching Price, they limited their suitors and tanked some of Betts' value. The deal was probably "fair" value-wise, but if you are a rich team still in a competitive window, that this was a fair deal is all the reason not to make it.
Marko from Tropoja
2:43
Suppose the Dodgers extend Betts right now. Which tandem would you want for the next three years: Betts/Bellinger or Trout/Rendon?
Craig Edwards
2:44
I'll take Trout and Rendon. Rendon is the most likely to decline over this time, but he's also paired with the best player by far.
robert
2:44
Could Austin Gomber make it as a mid-rotation guy in 2-3 years?
Craig Edwards
2:44
His track record suggests otherwise.
dese qweschons
2:44
can the rockies please play their young players this year instead of running them geriatrics out on the field?
Craig Edwards
2:45
It would be nice to see what some of their former prospects could do with a full season. Now is as good a time as any.
Yankees' Injured List
2:45
What does it say about the Dodgers that they were able to basically give the Angels their 2/3 starter and starting LF for a utility guy? I would imagine there was a better deal out there for Stripling?
Craig Edwards
2:46
I'll be in better position to comment once we see the deal, but there probably wasn't a great market for Pederson right now. Especially with Puig still out there.
Kretin
2:46
If Joc keeps producing at his current rate, do you think he gets a QO after the season?
Craig Edwards
2:47
If he was able to play every day, yes. Otherwise, it will be a close call.
Cito's Mustache
2:47
Is the theory behind the Depth Charts WAR totals to approximate how many wins a team is projected to have in 2020? IE. The Blue Jays 30.9 WAR + 48 wins (a replacement level roster) = 79 wins.
Craig Edwards
2:48
That's pretty close, yes, though out projected wins are based on simulations that are based on those projections.
Dear Craig,
2:48
Do the Angels have enough pitching to be a contender, like Trout was "promised"?  In adding Teheran and Bundy, it just seems like they have a bunch of 4th & 5th starters.  Why didn't they go hard after Bumgarner?  The D-Bascks basically stole him for less than $20MIL a year.  Did the Angels drop the ball there, and do you think they will do anything else to bolster their rotation?
Craig Edwards
2:50
Seems like Bumgarner really wanted to go to Arizona. Not sure spending $100 million on him would have been wise. Cole made the most sense, but getting 2 of the non-Cole pitchers would have made sense as well. They still got Rendon so it isn't like they didn't improve, but they really need that pitching to hold up for at least half a season so they can trade for reinforcements.
devin has cheeto lips
2:50
Senzel is only 24, and his season last year was just...meh.  What do you see from him this year and can he have a Yellichesque turn around?
Craig Edwards
2:51
That's a stretch, but Senzel is only a year removed from being a top 10ish prospect and he's been learning a ton of new positions and trying to stay healthy. Yelich is too much to put on anybody, but I think it is reasonable to expect a lot more than what we've seen.
DL
2:51
if their pitching stays healthy they're a contender. Main problem through the years has been the health of their staff
Craig Edwards
2:52
re: the Angels. I think it's been less the health and more the quality. Plus their position player group this season should be better than it's been in any Trout season if Simmons stays healthy (along with everybody else).
The Ghost of Wade Boggs
2:53
If the Red Sox use the money they are saving on trading away Price along with Betts in order to reinvest it in an offer to bring Betts back in free agency, would that change the outlook of the deal?
Craig Edwards
2:53
If they brought Betts back in free agency, I think a lot would be forgiven, yes. I don't expect that to happen, though.
Guest
2:53
How much do you think the Red Sox would have sacrificed in their package if they waited til midseason to deal Betts (and see what their standing was in 2020)? They got significantly more than the Orioles got for Machado without even considering moving Price (which hurt the value)
Craig Edwards
2:55
They would have gotten a lot less at midseason, I think. Position players just don't seem to command a ton with two months of the season left to go. The main benefit is getting that production all season long. Pitching acquisitions on almost all teams are taking the spot of a replacement level or worse player plus oversized in importance in the playoffs which leads to better returns. If the Red Sox were going to trade Betts, now was definitely the time to do it.
Big Joe Mufferaw
2:55
Happ, Montgomerry, Loasiga enough to make it to June when German and Paxton come back? Or do the yanks make a move?
Craig Edwards
2:56
I don't see them doing anything right now. They should be good enough to weather the storm. If Paxton doesn't come back, then they'll need to do something.
dese qweschons
2:56
Now that the Red Sox players see how much management is committed to winning, how many of them will try fleeing beantown?
Craig Edwards
2:58
Players generally sign for the most money. It was always going to cost a lot to get Devers to sign long term. Benintendi probably hasn't done enough to warrant a huge commitment. For free agents, the money talks more than a sense of commitment to winning. If you offer someone the most money, they will think you are committed to winning because they want you.
Bigfoot Erotica
2:58
You obviously do a good job here calling out this stuff generally, but do you think the Indians have been getting a free pass (media/even their own fans) due to their market size, because it sure seems like they are intentionally wasting their window with parsimony. Sign a damn outfielder FFS
Craig Edwards
3:01
I think attendance since they started to take things back is the biggest indicator they aren't getting a free pass. They gambled and lost last year when Minnesota stepped up. All the Lindor talk isn't helping. They should just offer him a massive modern, Votto-deal and see if he'll be the face of the franchise for the next decade.
Brett
3:01
Hi Craig, who would be the most likely Cardinal to have a surprise 5+ WAR year?
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