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Craig Edwards FanGraphs Chat--6/27/2019
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Craig Edwards
2:49
I don't think it will hurt that much, but I think his value might be overstated. There are always decent-hitting, poor-fielding corner outfielders available and they generally don't cost that much. Frazier has value, but I don't see it as centerpiece for a star value.
Other Ryan
2:50
Hi Craig, thanks for the chat. Do you think there is anything to a team's ability to "bounce back" after a loss? The Twins have won 21 of the 27 games they've played after a loss (winning percentage of .778). This would be the second highest winning percentage after a loss since the 2005 Cardinals, who went 49-13 following a loss.
Craig Edwards
2:51
I don't know that there is necessarily any skill to it, but good teams probably have the ability just because they win a lot.
Bighen
2:51
Other than replacing owners what is the best path forward for the Mets?
Craig Edwards
2:54
You assume there is a path forward. The Mets need to increase their budget so they don't have to trade away really good prospects to get the reliever they want. They aren't that far off and might have contended this season with a little better luck. You can't rely on your system to produce cheap stars and at the same time need that system to trade for players who will fit in the budget. The Diaz-Cano trade was cash neutral this season. Now they are going to have to make future sacrifices as those salaries grow. It isn't a sustainable way to win so other than spending more, they don't have a lot of options right now.
Richie
2:55
Goldschmidt absolutely counted as landing a star player. Just hasn't worked out, is all. But sure counts as a totally honest attempt thereat.
Craig Edwards
2:56
Right. and more was expected of Goldschmidt this season, but 1) he was only under contract for one season 2) even if he signed an extension like he did, he wasn't likely to be a star after this season anyway given he'll turn 32 in September. It was obvious that the Cardinals needed to make one more big move to make themselves division favorites. They didn't do so and this is the logical result.
Alan
2:57
A lot of Cardinal fans seem to be clamoring for a Bumgarner trade. But, with declining peripherals and a 4.21 ERA, he doesn't look that much different than what St. Louis already has in the rotation. Is he really the answer to their pitching woes?
Craig Edwards
2:58
For the Cardinals, Bumgarner would be their best starter. His strikeout and walk rates are very good this season. For everyone else, he's still a very good starter and it is just going to depend on cost compared to other players. He's not as good as Stroman, who has an extra year of control while a player like Boyd has a ton of control.
John
2:58
What do you think it would take for the Cards to get Bauer?  Would Gorman be a must?  And if so, do you include him for probably a 2 year rental?
Craig Edwards
2:59
I don't see the Cardinals trading Carlson, Gorman, or Knizner which would make Bauer a near impossibility. For them, that's probably the right move.
ROBOCOP
3:00
White Sox just DFA Alonso... who do you think they call up to fill the empty roster spot?
Craig Edwards
3:02
Would be kind of fun to see Vaughn immediately called up though I wonder if the Sox will put Jimenez or their catchers at DH more and end up not seeing the callup make a difference. The move does come pretty close on the heels of Jay returning. Might not be a coincidence, though he might be gone soon, too.
Dan
3:02
I know Counsell had to say that Hiura remains in AAA because ABs need to go to Shaw and Aguilar in the hope that they heat up.  At what point do the Brewers have to pull the plug and hand 2B over to Hiura to inject some life into the offense beyond the 4 spot in the lineup?
Craig Edwards
3:03
Probably another month. Both of those guys were huge for them last season, and for this year, getting them back to normal is probably a higher upside play than Hiura the rest of the way.
Dan
3:04
Assuming mlb expands by 4 teams by definition that means 100 players not currently good enough to play in the majors now are. What does that do to our perception of good/bad players as fans?
Craig Edwards
3:05
I doubt we notice a real difference. I think one thing we are seeing this season is that there is a point where shifting innings from starters to the bullpen has some negative effect. We are basically at equilibrium now, but adding four more teams would push things back to starters being a little more valuable as the number of good, cheap relievers per team would diminish.
Ryan
3:06
Is Tommy La Stella for real or is this a 1 year thing?
Craig Edwards
3:07
He's real in the fact that he's probably an average regular now where we couldn't say that before. We can't expect 35 homers from him, though.
Nolan
3:07
Which will be higher: the number of at bats for Stanton the rest of the year, or the number of innings pitched for Severino the rest of the year?
Craig Edwards
3:08
The at bats for Stanton. He only needs to play a couple weeks to get 40-50 PA and that number could be tough for Severino.
Nick
3:09
Sale, Snell, Paxton: Which team should be most concerned about its ace?
Craig Edwards
3:10
I'm not overly concerned about any of them and Paxton had two decent starts before the last one, but with his injury history, the answer has to be him.
Tanaka
3:10
I'm the ace anyway.
Craig Edwards
3:10
Fair
DJ LeMahieu
3:11
I'm not THIS good, but this has to rank with the better signings, yes? Do I win the BA title? Do I break 5WAR?
Craig Edwards
3:12
I'll say no to both, but Lemahieu has provided exactly what the Yankees have needed this season and has been a good value. I'm still not sure I wouldn't rather have Machado.
3:13
I think that's going to do it for me. If you are going to be in Cleveland on the Saturday before the All-Star Break, we've got an event with a couple great panels that you should check out. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/fangraphs-cleveland-all-star-e...
and because I forgot to plug anything else, I wrote about Pete Alonso today. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/pete-alonso-busted-his-slump/
3:15
And one more thing, no chat next Thursday as it is the 4th of July. See you in two weeks, or maybe next weekend in Cleveland.
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