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Craig Edwards FanGraphs Chat--6/6/2019
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Casey Mize
2:45
How well do you think I pitch if I come up to majors this year and what are your early projections for next year if I keep up this pace and workload?
Craig Edwards
2:45
I think league-average starter right now with a 3-WAR expectation for next season. He's a good prospect.
Tulo
2:47
...this is not going to end well for me since Didi is back tomorrow, I fear.
Craig Edwards
2:48
It was never going to end well. Sadly, with 13 PA so far this year, you might have already hit the over for some prognosticators.
Matt
2:48
Is Anthony Rendon under-rated? There is reason to believe he has taken another step forward offensively too. He is crushing fastballs with a 95.2 exit velocity and a 23.3% barrel rate against them. Hard hit rate against fastballs? 65.6%
Craig Edwards
2:50
I do think he's underrated. Not sure about another step forward though. He's put up a 140 wRC+ the last two years. He's above that now but I'm guessing he settles in pretty close to that at season's end. Also, today is his birthday.
jkim
2:51
Over/Under on Ryu at the end of the season ERA: 2.50
Craig Edwards
2:52
I think the projections probably have him at 2.53 at the end of the season now. Unless he gets injured, things probably move up over 2.50 at some point before the season ends.
Overbearing Padre
2:52
Who would be a better fit for the Padres, Michael Conforto or Jeff McNeil?
Craig Edwards
2:53
Noah Syndergaard.
count123
2:54
The market for closers is heating up .It seems inevitable that Jays trade Giles - do you agree? If the Jays were to trade Giles for a single prospect what FV IYO would that prospect likely need to have. 45 ? - 50 ? - more - less ????
Craig Edwards
2:55
I think a 45 sounds about right.
Syndergaardengnomes
2:55
Padres pythag winning% is 6 games under .500.  They shouldn't be trading prospects for Conforto, McNeil, Syndergaard, or anyone else this year.
Craig Edwards
2:58
All of those guys would be for more than one season when the Padres are trying to compete and they have enough prospect depth to make a trade like that and still be fine for the future. It would also inject even more excitement for a franchise that has been bad a while. The Padres can be the 2012 and on Pirates if the Pirates had invested in the team. It starts by getting better this year with a mind on competing next year as well.
Voldemort
2:58
Arizona trying to get Leake ... does that most likely mean they anticipate Weaver to be out for the season?
Craig Edwards
2:59
Forearm injuries are never good and Weaver has worn down some in past years. There were always reliever concerns, but it is too bad if he misses a bunch of time because he appeared to have turned a corner this season.
Brian, or maybe Steve
2:59
Why exactly would the Mets be selling on Conforto, McNeil, or Syndergaard, regardless of whatever the Padres need? Even if the Mets were going to be sellers, don't guys like Wheeler make a lot more sense? And do the Mets realistically need to be sellers? They've played a tough schedule, have some guys hurt, and are in striking distance in the division.
Craig Edwards
3:00
If I were the Mets, I wouldn't be selling those guys, but it is hard to know where the Mets see themselves this year and in the future. Wheeler does make more sense if they fall out of it this season, but the other guys would fetch a bigger return.
Averagejoe
3:00
Jimmy Nelson came back with diminished velocity (92-ish) according to Brooks versus working 94-ish back in 2017. Is there any reason to expect the velocity to come back in the near-term? Not a great control guy to begin with so diminished velocity could really be killer. Sad to see something like this the result of a baserunning injury of all things.
Craig Edwards
3:02
He's been gone a long time so it is possible the velocity comes back at some point, but it is hard to see that happening right away. He just might not ever be the pitcher he was back in 2017, which was ace level.
Joe
3:03
Just a rough patch for D. German or is there something else going on?
Craig Edwards
3:04
He's a fly ball pitcher so giving up an occasional batch of homers is going to happen. His walk and strikeout rates have been just fine lately, so I wouldn't worry too much, unless you were hoping he was already Luis Severino.
Detroit Sad City
3:05
What kind of return could the Tigers expect for Shane Greene.  He's been mostly awesome (when needed) this year, but apparently many contenders see him as an 8th inning option.  Could he return a 50 level prospect plus maybe a flyer?
Craig Edwards
3:06
I doubt he'll net a top-100 prospect which is basically what a 50 is. Probably a couple guys a little below that level.
Mario Mendoza
3:06
If Yanks get Keuchel, does German go to pen?
Craig Edwards
3:07
I wouldn't think so, though skipping a start might be a more realistic option. Most of the guys in that rotation might benefit from an extra day's rest.
dezre
3:08
What do you think the Yankees do to shore up that rotation? Could be a big concern heading into the postseason as is (assuming they make it).
Craig Edwards
3:08
I think they will wait on Severino and if they don't get good news, they will make a move at the deadline like they did for Happ last season.
99
3:10
Has Devers made some significant change or is this is real potential?  He seems like he is hitting everything, even when shifted.
Craig Edwards
count123
3:11
If Jays traded Marcus Stroman to the Astros would he have enough value to bring back either Kyle Tucker or Yordan Alveraz ?
Craig Edwards
3:12
Guessing not Tucker. Depends on how they value Alvarez. Stroman doesn't fit the Astros typical pitcher profile so it would be interesting to see what they would do with him.
Mario Mendoza
3:13
Can Bryan Reynolds remain a starter when Dickerson returns?
Craig Edwards
3:14
I would imagine there would be plenty of playing time to go around if Reynolds keeps hitting.
S
3:15
Should the Pirates be willing to trade Starling Marte to the Phillies at this point in the season? What would a realistic trade look like?
Craig Edwards
3:16
I'm not sure why the Pirates would trade Marte. He's a good player on a cheap contract and he plays center field. When are the Pirates actually planning on contending if they trade Marte?
3:17
That is going to do it for me today. Thanks for all the questions. See you next week.
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