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D1Baseball Weekly Chat:
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PirateFan
1:00
Does ECU get that top 8 seed now the Louisville dropped a series with Virginia?
Kendall Rogers
1:01
I do think ECU has once again bolstered its top 8 seed case. We will see how things pan out in the NerdCast tomorrow night, but I love the fact that ECU has absolutely dominated a top five RPI conference. It has been the model of consistency, and frankly, the UCLA series could have gone either way as well despite having a few losses out in California. This has the makings of a special postseason run.
Mike
1:03
Illinois started the conference games slow with 1-5, but since then they have gone 12-3. What are their chances of hosting the regional?
Kendall Rogers
1:03
Mike -- Illinois is squarely in the hosting picture. The fact they are not top two in the league could be a turn off to the committee, but the Illini are 21 in the RPI with an 11-5 mark vs. RPI Top 50 along with a solid conference record. Those are all quality marks. I would say Illinois is just shy of a Top 16, but we will see how the deliberations go tomorrow night.
Boxcar Billy
1:04
Hey guys, a serious question this time. In the past few years, the committee seems to like to award at least one "non-traditional" host, whether a "Northern team" or a team from outside the usual suspects. Are there any teams out there that might fit this bill?
Kendall Rogers
1:04
Boxcar -- Illinois or Creighton would fit this mold, but honestly, the committee, with the new format of seeding 1-16, is supposed to ignore geography when it comes to selecting those Top 16 seeds. That doesn't mean manipulation can't happen in the committee room, but it's not supposed to happen.
Reece
1:05
It seem like every time you tweet some Arkansas fan is all upset they are not ranked #1. That being said are Arkansas and Mississippi State the favorites to win in Hoover? It seems the 2 times Vandy has played a top half SEC teams outside of Hawkins Field, they have lost the series.
Kendall Rogers
1:05
Reece -- Predicting the SEC tournament is like taking a lottery ball out of the vault. Who knows? I think UGA/MSU/Vandy/Arkansas could all win the tourney and potentially the national title. Even though LSU hasn't played well at all lately, the Tigers historically play well in Hoover. So don't sleep on those guys.
Mike
1:07
Does LSU still have a chance to host regional is they win tomorrow and take the series from Auburn?
Kendall Rogers
1:07
Mike -- Absolutely. If LSU won the midweek game, wins the Auburn series -- it would head into Hoover with a 17-13 SEC mark. That would be very loud. I would say win the series against AU and 2 or 3 in Hoover, and LSU would be in pretty solid shape I'd think.
BeaverSteve
1:08
With Adley getting intentionally walked 3 times a game harm his chances at getting the Golden Spikes Award or does it help him?  Obviously, most clubs are afraid of his bat.  His season reminds me of when Bonds hit 70+ HR's.
Kendall Rogers
1:08
Beaver -- Adley is the slam-dunk GSA winner for me, though Navy's Noah Song deserves strong consideration as well. No player means more to his team than Adley and he's having a terrific season despite teams trying to pitch around him at times.
Adam
1:08
With Miami winning the series at Wake, what do they need to do in the Duke series & the ACC Tournament to ensure that they will get a host regional? Also are they are already locked in as one of the 64 teams?
Aaron Fitt
1:08
The Hurricanes are in great shape to host right now, at 16-10 in the ACC with a No. 12 RPI. I think winning 3 of their last 4 ACC games would make it a no-brainer, and 2 out of those last 4 would still probably be enough to host, with an 18-12 ACC record and a strong RPI. If they finish really strong, maybe they can even make a run at a top-8 seed, but that would require a nice run in the ACC tournament to offset that 10-12 mark against the top 50 right now.
Michael
1:09
Is WVU's dream scenario of hosting a regional completely dead even if they sweep the remaining four games on their regular season schedule?
Kendall Rogers
1:09
Not even close. WVU is up to 17 in the RPI after the weekend. If it swept the series this weekend and played well in Oklahoma City, the possibility of hosting is absolutely still there, maybe even likely. We'll see how things pan out.
Corey S.
1:09
Assume worst case scenario for Arkansas is they get swept at A&M (although I don't think this happens) and go one and done at the SEC Tournament (possible), where do you see them ending up seeding wise? Would they still be a top 8 national seed, or would that dip them into the 9-16 range?
Kendall Rogers
1:09
Corey -- Might be a lower seed, but not sure how you could leave a team with Arkansas' metrics outside the top eight at this point -- no matter what happens.
Hooper
1:10
With Mike Martin's career winding down, I'm interested in your thoughts about the next head coach. I'd be shocked if Mike Martin Jr. is not the next head coach at FSU, however if for some reason he is passed on, then who would you like to see take over?
Aaron Fitt
1:10
Yeah, I still think Mike Martin Jr. will ultimately be the choice, though there has been some support around the program also for former Seminoles Doug Mientkiewicz and Pedro Grifol, both of whom are in pro ball. But I think it really matters having experience recruiting and knowing the ins and outs of how a college program works, so I think Junior is the answer.
Jimbo11
1:10
Does the staff at D1 BB believe Mike Martin, Jr. deserves to be named head coach at Florida State given his 20+ years as an assistant or should being a head coach be a requirement?
Kendall Rogers
1:10
Jimbo -- If I was Florida State, I would strongly consider Jr., but also do an exhaustive national search. There are a couple of big names who would have interest in FSU from what I am told. I would cast a pretty wide net if I was FSU instead of just merely "hiring a Seminole". They might be surprised with what they get.
Spear15
1:12
Will 1-2 at Louisville do it for FSU, or will that leave them with work to do next week?
Aaron Fitt
1:12
I think a 1-2 week against FSU probably still gets Louisville a top 8 seed, with a 20-10 ACC record, top 10 RPI and 16-10 mark against the top 50. But losing two straight series to end the year could wind up costing them one of those top eight spots if somebody else jumps up and takes it from them. So you'd like to see Louisville win that last series to shore it up.
@SECbaseball
1:12
Tennessee had a big time series win at Florida this weekend, but they aren't out of the woods yet. The Vols currently have an RPI of 10. What's the highest RPI you can recall being left out, or would this take the cake due to the increase of importance placed on conference record?
Kendall Rogers
1:12
The last high RPI team I can remember was when North Carolina missed the tournament with an RPI of 23-24 a few years ago. UNC missed the ACC tournament that year, and that was the difference, per the committee. UT will obviously be in the SEC tournament.
Jonny
1:13
Even as a 30 win team do the Oklahoma Sooners have to win the big 12 tournament to make a regional ?
Kendall Rogers
1:13
Jonny -- with an RPI in the mid 40s, a losing league record and a 4-11 mark vs. RPI Top 50, the Sooners need to win the Texas series and make some noise in the conference tournament. I don't think they need to win it, but they def need to make some noise.
Chele
1:13
How do you see the Stanford, Oregon State series playing out this weekend? Oregon State has clearly waffled with out of conference play and has taken some hits to the bullpen, but seem to show up for conference play.
Aaron Fitt
1:13
Oregon State is obviously really good, with that excellent pitching and Adley Rutschman... but I think Stanford is clearly the more balanced team, and I like the Cardinal at home in that series.
Albert
1:14
Florida sweeps Missouri: do they make regionals at 13-17?
Kendall Rogers
1:14
Albert -- Nope. Not without going on an A&M-like run in the SEC tournament. The Aggies won three-straight games in Hoover last year to solidify their postseason bid. I'm not sure I see UF A) sweeping Missouri or B) going on a roll in Hoover. But we will see.
Tracy
1:15
Between UCLA and Vanderbilt, will the final RPI be most likely to determine the overall #1 national seed if both teams take care or business, or will the fact that UCLA hasn’t dropped a series carry the day?
Aaron Fitt
1:15
I think even if Vandy finishes ahead of UCLA in the RPI, the Bruins have the better case for No. 1 based on their high-end series wins (at Stanford, at Georgia Tech, vs. Oregon State, sweep vs. ECU, at Arizona State), and the fact that they haven't lost a weekend series or a midweek game. If UCLA wins the Pac-12 (and it's currently in a three-way tie with OSU and Stanford), I think it's a slam dunk, RPI be damned.
Tyler
1:16
Where do you see Nebraska at? Will they get in?
Kendall Rogers
1:16
With a 13-8 league record, 38 RPI and a series win over ASU, I like where NU sits right now. I don't want to speak for Aaron and Mark, but I'd have them in as of right now. We'll see how that Michigan series goes. Win that series and I think it's a slam dunk barring a shocking meltdown in the conference tournament.
Christian
1:18
This past week Miami lost a game to UCF. Miami was down two starting pitchers and their 4th and 5th pitchers had to go on the weekend, which forced them to use their bullpen only. UCF, meanwhile, used their Friday AND Saturday starters along with their closer since they had no games this weekend and won only 8-7. How do the committee, as well as you guys, weigh strange losses like this? Not to take anything from a quality UCF team, but it seems like UCF was focused on making the tournament and Miami was focused on conference play which meant Miami had to prioritize its games. Thanks!
Aaron Fitt
1:18
I don't think it's really a factor, honestly. Lots of teams do this when they have an upcoming weekend off. Sure, it put Miami at a disadvantage in this case, but everybody comes across a situation like that now and then. Ultimately the committee will just look at the final outcome and really won't dive into the specifics of who pitched and who didn't pitch in a particular midweek game.
Corey - Raleigh
1:20
Georgia Tech is really swinging the bat well and has been looking like a team that can play with anyone in the country. Obviously losing Brant Hurter will cause people to have to step up. I'm hoping we get Xzavion Curry back by ACC tournament play. With everything considered for GT, and what they have left on the schedule, is a top-8 seed looking realistic? Or do they still need to make some noise in the conference tourney to impress the committee enough?
Aaron Fitt
1:20
Yeah, I think winning that series on the road against a quality Duke team pretty much wrapped up a national seed for Tech, assuming it takes care of business vs. Pitt at home. The Jackets are 17-10 in the ACC with a No. 7 RPI, an 11-7 record against the top 25 and a 17-10 mark against the top 50. That's an easy top-eight resumé, regardless of the conference tournament.
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