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D1Baseball Weekly Chat: April 22
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Aaron Fitt
1:48
Hmm.... selling. I think the Pac-12 gets three, the SEC gets three, the ACC gets one or two, and maybe East Carolina or a Big 12 team or somebody else gets one. I just think those SEC teams are going to beat each other up a little bit down the stretch, I have a hard time envisioning four of them finishing strong enough for top-eight seeds.
Bishop
1:50
With Creightons RPI so low right now and a couple bad RPI games in the near future, if they win the regular season title but lose in the tournament, with an RPI in the 30s or 40s could you see them still get in with their resume? If not, what do similar midmajor teams have to do to get some sort of recognition for an at large.
Aaron Fitt
1:50
I think if Creighton wins the Big East and has an RPI in the 30s, it will get in. The Jays are in pretty good shape right now with a 6-4 record against the top 50 and a nice 22-8 overall record -- really feels like things are shaking out in Creighton's favor. Feels like a similar trajectory to St. John's last year.
HogsAceFan#1
1:53
How about Arkansas I’ve been skeptical of there pitching all season besides Campbell and Cronin and now it seems it’s all coming together along with the bats! How do you feel about Arkansas and there Omaha chances and there continued rise to the top???
Kendall Rogers
1:53
I was just on an Arkansas radio show -- and the rise of Connor Noland this past weekend could be a huge development, especially with the return of Jacob Kostyshock. All of a sudden, the Hogs have a solid 1-2 punch, a strong bullpen and the offense is taking care of business with Casey Martin back to his usual self. Watch out.
Randy D
1:53
Being the nerd I am and doing a bracket projection I am struck by how the west coast may be totally void of #2 seeds. I see a lot of teams being sent out west. How much will geography play in those decisions... Will they be more likely to send B10/B12 teams over ACC/SEC to minimize travel?
Aaron Fitt
1:53
Interesting observation. Last week we had Arizona State and Oregon as 2s, but obviously neither one of those can be sent to UCLA, Stanford or Oregon State (and Oregon has probably dropped to the 3 line now, or right onto the bubble altogether). I think UC Irvine has a chance to move up to that 2 line... but that's it, really. So you're right, if three Pac-12 teams host (and it's a lock that at least those top three will, with ASU as a potential fourth), then three 2 seeds will have to be shipped West. I have a feeling they could come from the SEC, since it still feels like the SEC is on track to be an 11-bid league, and it could be tricky to find places to send all of them, especially if the ACC has fewer hosts than usual.
Matt
1:54
At this point in the season, the Golden Spikes award is Adley Rutschman’s to lose, right? What he’s been able to do offensively this season is nuts considering how many teams are pitching around him. And then, you factor in his defensive prowess and leadership abilities and you have the best player in college baseball.
Kendall Rogers
1:54
Matt, Kody Hoese and JJ Bleday are certainly in the mix as well, but considering how little help/punch Adley has around him in the lineup, to have the OBP/OPS and overall numbers he has right now is pretty remarkable. He's my clear-cut leader with quite a fun race for the No. 2 spot.
Aaron Fitt
1:56
I'm with Kendall, of course. The fact that Adley leads the country in OPS while handling the day-to-day grind of the catching position — and being the best defender in the country at that premium position, and being the heart and soul of the No. 2 team in the country... I mean, as great as Bleday and Hoese and Hunter Bishop and Emerson Hancock and Reid Detmers have been, it still feels like Rutschman is the only right choice.
Andrew
1:59
What's happened to Florida's pitching? Watching SEC teams tee off on a parade of indistinguishable pitchers with unremarkable stuff feels very un-Florida-like.
Kendall Rogers
1:59
Andrew. It's definitely been weird to see because Sully is such a magician with pitchers. But it boils down two a few things: 1) Tommy Mace is really good, but he's kind of alone. 2) Jack Leftwich has been banged up at times, and 3) Tyler Dyson hasn't been what we thought he could be. Given those last two points, that's tough to overcome for any team, much less a young team like Florida.
Nick
1:59
Gents, who do you think the top 3 college players in the draft are at this point in the season? Will any of those also win the golden spikes award?
Aaron Fitt
1:59
The top three guys on our midseason Top 150 two weeks ago were Adley Rutschman, Andrew Vaughn and JJ Bleday... and I don't think I would change that right now. You could make a case for Bleday over Vaughn, but those feel like the top three college prospects in this draft — with Nick Lodolo and Alek Manoah right in the mix on the pitching side. All of those guys are strong GSA candidates, but as mentioned above, Rutschman is the clear-cut front-runner.
Aaron Fitt
2:00
OK folks, that's all for me today, KR will take you  home. See you next week!
Bob
2:01
I thought the Ducks were heading in the right direction and then they got blown out by Stanford, 36-6 over the weekend. Do you still see them in the field of 64?  How about Horton? Is he gone after this year if this trend continues?
Kendall Rogers
2:01
Ducks are probably still OK as a West Coast and Pac 12 team with an RPI around 30, but they need to avoid falling too far under .500 in league play. If that happens, the hole will be pretty tough to climb out of, IMO.
Eric Simmons
2:12
Where will UC Santa Barbara host a regional?
Kendall Rogers
2:12
Andrew Checketts told me last week they will do everything they can to host at home if they are a top 16 seed. However, my money is on the regional being in San Bernardino. I don't believe Lake Elsinore is an option at this point.
Tex
2:14
Do you agree that nobody from the Southland has a shot at an at-large bid?
Kendall Rogers
2:14
Tex. I' agree with that. Sam Houston State likely lost any chance of being an at-large team after getting swept by UCA over the weekend. The RPI dropped to 69, which puts the Bearkats well out of range.
Eric Simmons
2:15
If Cal Poly wins the Big West does that conference become a 3 bid league with UC Santa Barbara and UC Irvine?
Kendall Rogers
2:15
More than likely, though I still would like to see UCI to have a little higher RPI. It's currently in that dangerous bubble territory at the moment.
Kendall Rogers
2:16
All right, all. That's all the time we have today. As usual, be sure to Subscribe to D1Baseball.com at http://www.d1baseball.com/subscribe .... use the coupon code 2019Promo to get 25% off an annual sub.
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