JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/12/23

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/12/23

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Appa Yip Yip

1:01

Dan would you be so kind as to share the Brandon Belt projection? I understand he is going to run with the Giants but he is a Blue Jay now and they have already been done.

Dan Szymborski

1:02

Percentile 2B HR BA OBP SLG OPS+ WAR 95% 23 28 .300 .405 .604 171 3.7 90% 21 25 .288 .388 .573 162 3.2 80% 19 23 .271 .370 .535 149 2.7 70% 18 21 .260 .360 .515 139 2.3 60% 17 20 .252 .350 .493 134 2.0 50% 16 19 .243 .343 .471 124 1.6 40% 15 18 .236 .335 .455 118 1.3 30% 14 16 .229 .327 .433 113 1.1 20% 12 15 .219 .318 .413 104 0.6 10% 11 12 .205 .302 .384 91 0.1 5% 9 10 .192 .290 .358 84 -0.3

Counting stats based on 415 PA

Player Year Boog Powell 1973-1976 Boog Powell 1974-1977 Travis Hafner 2007-2010 Boog Powell 1972-1975 Don Mincher 1969-1972 Travis Hafner 2009-2012 Don Mincher 1968-1971 Dave Roberts 1963-1966 Mike Stanley 1994-1997 Travis Hafner 2006-2009 Norm Cash 1964-1967 Dale Long 1957-1960 Mike Epstein 1971-1974 Eric Thames 2017-2020 Vic Wertz 1955-1958 Pete Ward 1967-1970 Cliff Johnson 1981-1984 Vic Wertz 1956-1959 Jim Thome 2002-2005 Ryan Klesko 2003-2006 Boog Powell 1971-1974 Mike Stanley 1995-1998 Johnny Bench 1978-1981 Frank Thomas 2000-2003 Willie McCovey 1970-1973 John Jaha 1995-1998 Frank Thomas 1999-2002 Travis Hafner 2008-2011 David Ortiz 2007-2010 J.D. Drew 2008-2011 Troy Glaus 2007-2010 David Ortiz 2006-2009 Jim Thome 2001-2004 Roy Sievers 1959-1962 Carlos Delgado 2003-2006 J.D. Drew 2007-2010 David Ortiz 2008-2011 Cliff Floyd 2005-2008 Mike Stanley 1996-1999 Matt Stairs 2000-2003 Mel Ott 1941-1944 Matt Stairs 2001-2004

(ZiPS cuts out duplicates when it does the projections)

Mister E

1:03

So I take it beans don't make it into your take on chili? 😝

Dan Szymborski

1:03

I don't put styrofoam peanuts on a Reuben either

SH, Jr.

1:03

Heckling: IME Clevelanders regularly inform players of Canadian teams that their BACON is HAM!!!

Dan Szymborski

1:03

I do feel bad about my occasional heckle when I was in my teens/early 20s

1:04

I really rode Jonathan Schuerholz as "Johnny Nepotism" in one game

Farhandrew Zaidman

1:04

Re: Pinkerton. If you play Weezer's discography in reverse, they're a pretty crappy cover band that eventually outs out two american classics

laughing

1

Dan Szymborski

1:06

Based on MediaMonkey, this is most listened to album of all types

1:07

Non-classical, my most listened to albums is a tie between Beautiful Rat Sunset by Mountain Goats and The Execution of All Things by Rilo Kiley

Guest

1:08

I spent a week near Cooperstown, and had chili at a deli run by a cult. It was the best chili! I’m thinking of joining the cult to get their recipe. I wonder where they sourced their beans?

Dan Szymborski

1:08

Imagination, becuase those are the beans you use in chili!

Morbo

1:08

Never been a fan of Weezer in the early 2000s, as a horny high schooler, I turned down an invite to see them with my gf at the time after she got some last minute free tickets

Matthew E

1:08

Best heckle I ever heard: "Adam Kennedy lacks basic life skills!"

PewPewPew

1:08

We also used to yell high calorie menu items at prince fielder when he would play 1B. And we did it in Milwaukee because so many cubs fans travel. Good times.

Dan Szymborski

1:09

My favorite internet heckle is still Grant Brisbee in the 90s discovering that whenever Tracy Ringolsby talked about Dante Bichette, if you replaced every mention of RBIs with "pancakes," the writing still worked

Because Tracy kept writing about how Bichette smelled RBIs, tasted RBIs, craved RBIs.

1:10

And this ended with making food jokes about Dante Bichette a running gag on usenet, something which Bichette's dad discovered and hated all of us for

Colb

1:10

Hey I'm normally just here to stop doing calculus homework but I actually got to cite you guys for my research presentation on fixing baseball labor relations. Thanks for the information.

Dan Szymborski

1:11

HOdHI - HidHo over HoHo!

TomBruno23

1:11

Dante Bichette married a girl from my high school. Which is a bit random considering I went to a school in suburban St. Louis County.

Morbo

1:11

I know it's not his given name but, Voros McCracken is a HOF name

Dan Szymborski

1:11

Voros being a nickname actually caused him some major payroll issues when he first started with the Red Sox

1:12

I felt really awful for him at the time because of that; he had just moved and needed the money. But 20 years later, it *is* kinda funny

Lowther of the Hill People

1:12

Do you make an effort to see the O's play in person?

Dan Szymborski

1:12

Not a SPECIAL effort

though I do see them since Baltimore is the city I'm in the second most often behind Cincinnati

Morbo

1:12

Farhandrew your sentence continued way past it's natural conclusion: "If you play Weezer's discography in reverse, they're a pretty crappy band" ftfy

As a fellow St Louisian I am legally required to ask, "Which highschool did you go to?"

1:13

Everything is funny with enough hindsight

Dan Szymborski

1:13

Yeah, we can make John Wilkes Booth jokes now

1:14

And we can make Civil War jokes now

TomBruno23

1:14

Morbo...Ladue Horton Watkins...although I grew up in what was then known as Poor Ladue (Olivette).

PewPewPew

1:14

Watch out buddy! Don’t get canceled

Dan Szymborski

1:14

We can't make Civil War jokes yet?

Jasper

1:14

Hey Dan! Steamer doesn't seem to see a huge difference between Rojas and Amaya, why would the Dodgers choose the older, more expensive player? Does ZiPS agree?

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