JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/14/21

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/14/21

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Dan Szymborski

12:15

Those are the 2021 projections made before 2020

Nothing new is in the database. All the 2021 ZiPS that are available at this moment are in the team-by-team rundowns

Or in articles I post

Joe

12:15

If NYY is stringent about staying under the LT, with the ~30-35M room they have would they be better spreading it around to a SP, RP and SS vs giving DJLM 20-25 ?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Some teams would, but I don't necessarily think so in this case.

Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes

12:15

At what point will you run all of your chat questions through a neural network to see if we notice and/or if there's a change in the quality of responses?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

That would be funny.

12:16

OK, for the rest of the chat: if you want the neural network to answer your question instead of me, put (NN) in the question.

12:17

Q: At what point will you run all of your chat questions through a neural network to see if we notice and/or if there's a change in the quality of responses?

A: We've done a lot of work with chatbot development in the early days and we do tests with the developers at every step to make sure their work is effective and they are aware of common pitfalls to make sure they are improving quickly. We've definitely seen performance improvements that make our next generation of interactions more effective and usable.

The Ghost of Wade Boggs

12:17

TEST: Does Chili have beans in it? (NN)

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Q: Does chili have beans in it?

A: Our chatbot is the wrong answer, the correct answer is "Your chili is broken." However, the chatbot doesn't like beans either. If there's a bean in there, the chatbot will assume that you are stupid and you want a chili without beans. If there's no bean, the chatbot will assume you are a terrible human being and will attack your self-esteem.

JT

12:19

Regarding Turner and the Mets, there may still be bad blood from Alderson jettisoning him because he thought he was a bad influence

Dan Szymborski

12:19

Most things can be worked out. These are professionals and 95% of the time, this stuff is water on the bridge.

Billy Beane

12:19

Do you have any hot takes on the Harden -> Brooklyn deal?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

Damn he's taking a tax hit! $13 million I saw

Jeremy

12:19

When will zips be added to the depth charts?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

Likely tonight.

The Ghost of Wade Boggs

12:19

Or . .. Have you been running your chat questions through a neural network already to see if we notice and/or if there's a change in quality of responses? (NN)

Dan Szymborski

12:20

Q: Or . .. Have you been running your chat questions through a neural network already to see if we notice and/or if there's a change in quality of responses?

A: No. This question is not a good one for a neural network to learn on. Even the best neural networks can only produce images and sentences, not chat-related chat. It is a good question to ask as a data scientist, though.

The Ghost of Wade Boggs

12:21

New hypothesis: Dan has been a Neural Network himself the entire time

Rob

12:21

Do you feel the Orioles should start to look to add some long term pieces now or are you in favor of them waiting another year?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

I don't think now's a good time. There are still *far* too many holes.

I don't think the O's are as close as the Padres were at the time they signed Hosmer

Dk

12:21

Familia and Betances for Cain? It’s cash neutral in 2021 but Cain has one more year on the contract than those guys.

Dan Szymborski

12:22

I don't think the Brewers would want this

Mozeliak's Bow Tie

12:23

Does Bader and Oviedo get Nimmo or Dom Smith?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

It might, though I don't know how the Mets feel about Bader

J

12:23

When will the ZiPS be on the projection page??? I'm dying here!

Dan Szymborski

12:23

Likely tonight or early tomorrow

The Ghost of Wade Boggs

12:23

Who's the worst team that could still turn themselves into a competitive team if they were to go out and sign the best remaining FAs

Dan Szymborski

12:24

Like go out and get Realmuto, LeMahieu, Springer, Bauer, Ozuna, Turner, and uh Semien?

That's a lot of dudes!

I think most teams would be competitive if they did that. I think the Royals would be. Maybe the Tigers.

sportznut

12:25

Q (NN)- When will the Tigers win their next World Series?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

Q: When will the Tigers win their next World Series?

A: Probably sometime before my grandchildren are eligible to play for the Detroit Tigers.

12:26

I swear! It's the neural network throwing shade.

George

12:27

Honestly, where does Realmuto sign if the Phillies don't sign him? Who even wants to win anymore????

Dan Szymborski

12:27

I'd love to see the Nats sign him.

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