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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/18/18
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Estevao
2:04
Edgar

312/418/515
.204 ISO.  .405 wOBA.

Larry

313/400/565
.252 ISO.  .412 wOBA

Coors Field is obviously a factor,
Edgar 147 wRC+
Larry 140 wRC+

But any advantage Martinez might and probably had gets crushed in the overall value analysis, def and bsr big advantage Larry
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:05
They should both be in the Hall.   I'm not going to suggest we dont' vote for Edgar just because Walker can't get in this year in all practical likelihood.
Bret
2:05
How do you evaluate the Blue Jays offseason to date?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:05
Incomplete.  This has been a slow offseason and I'm loath to give anybody a grade.
Dan
2:05
Devers' projection is pretty crazy for a 21 year old.  What does his long term (~5 year) projection look like?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:05
Don't have it in front of me, but quite solid!
2:06
Of course, since he had an .800 OPS in the majors at age 20, it would be weirder if he didn't have crazy projections long term
Andrew
2:06
To what degree are swing changes taken into account in ZiPS?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:07
Not at all.  ZiPS can only work with data.
Juan
2:07
The Padres owner said that they've made Hosmer a creative offer. What do you think that could mean?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:08
GIven the Padres, probably means they offered a player opt-out that makes it worse for them.  I seem to remember the Royals talking about the creative contract needed to lure Ian Kennedy, which was the same thing (though I could be wrong)
CamdenWarehouse
2:08
Eno's still chatting man.  Do i have to choose?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:08
You got multiple tabs, don't ya?
CamdenWarehouse
2:08
Nevermind.  He just ended
Bork
2:09
How do you evaluate the Szymborski offseason to date?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:09
There is no offseason.  It's Endless Szymborski until I die or the universe does.  Probably me first.
Coors
2:10
thoughts on Sherman's NYPost Ian Desmond for Jacoby Ellsbury trade?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:10
Hadn't seen it.  Probably not the worst idea in the world, though I think the Rockies get the more useful player.
Desmond's contract was OK *if* you believe he can play shortstop, second base, or centerfield.  There was no way it was going to work out when you sign him for 1B
2:11
If the Yankees have to trade bad deals, I'd prefer them to get one with more utility.
And as for the Rockies, I'm not sure they even realize it would be a good idea.
They don't actually know Gerardo Parra stunk in 2017..
Metlover
2:12
How does ZiPS like Gonzalez for next season? Been looking and I can't find a projection anywhere.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:12
CarGo?  He's in the Rockies projections
Oren
2:12
Where do you fall in on the Collusion ----- Just-A-Weird-Offseason scale? Is there something sinister or game-changing going on this season, or is it really just a set of unique circumstances that will probably change by next year?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:12
I don't think there's anything sinister.  Just a mediocre group of free agents and teams less willing to spend money Just Because.
Coach K
2:14
Do you see Bryant staying in 2spot in Cubs Batting order for 2018, or moving back to 3 in front of Rizzo?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:14
I expect him to be second.  Not really much in the way of lineup changes.
RotoLando
2:14
If you could break up all the Billboard Top 100 Hits into decades, and have all the bands fist fight each other, who wins it all?  (difficulty: bands with hits in multiple decades exist simultaneously. For example, Good Vibrations Beach Boys could team up with or take down Kokomo Beach Boys)
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:14
I dunno, I think 70s bands would do well
CamdenWarehouse
2:14
With Dave leaving, you're going to fill his weekly Monday appearance on Fangraphs Audio, right?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:14
Nobody asked me!
Josh Nelson
2:16
My buddy is going to Las Vegas this weekend and wants to place a bet on future World Series winner. Which team outside of the Yankees, Astros, Cubs, or Dodgers would you recommend?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:17
Depends where the betting lines are.  Generally favorites don't have bet-friendly odds
2:18
I think the Phillies are a reasonable bet at +10000 and maybe even +8000
2:19
Cardinals at +2000 lots of places, think that's reasonable.  Angels at +2000 or higher.
Craig in CHI
2:19
Are my Sox actively shopping Avi or Abreu?  Avi has to get dealt!!!  lol
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:19
I don't know about active, but I assume they're listening
Michael J
2:20
Should the Dodgers not even consider signing Darvish, since it increases the difficulty of squeezing in Kershaw and/or Harper for 2019?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:20
I think luxury tax reset probably more important than 2019 payroll
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