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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/18/18
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AvatarDan Szymborski
2:50
I'm not sure there's enough jumping
Bryce Harper
2:50
ZiPS likes Dom Smith. The Mets don't like Dom Smith. What do you think Sandy sees that ZiPS doesn't?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:50
It's hard to tell who drives the decisions all the time
Phil
2:50
What are the hardest types of players to project?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:50
Players with skimply backgrounds
lordan jr
2:50
How quickly would a democratic superpower start to fail if you replaced their leader with a layman?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:51
Government is a pretty big machine.  Unless you have someone legitimately crazy, I'd be surprised if anything that bad happened
Mike Truk
2:51
Do the Marlins have a realistic chance of folding anytime soon if ownership continues down the Loria 2.0 path?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:51
No.  Worst case they're just the Washington Generals
Re: Preller keeping his job
2:51
I'm mostly convinced that the 2015 push was ownership-mandated to get something going and now him doing all the shrewd/normal GM things was the fallback plan that was expected all along.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:51
It was.
But I'm not convinced they're run well right now
Pirate Steve
2:52
There's a lot of talk about Comerica having a hot gun, especially when evaluating Miggy's performance last year. Is it possible the difference is being exaggerated simply because Miguel was a better hitter at home last season?

Pulling his data from Statcast search, I'm getting a home EV of 92.2MPH, and an away EV of 90.0MPH. But then I look at his splits...

Home (2017): .288/.340/.493 .318 BABIP 116wRC+
Away (2017): .213/.319/.308 .268 BABIP 69wRC+
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:52
It's possible, but hard to read just from Miggy
Pat
2:52
How is it handled when a player from a team who's ZIPS projections haven't come out yet gets traded to a team who already has their projections out? Ex: If the Brewers traded for Chris Archer?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:52
I'll tweet it at some point typically and they'll appear in the final projections
Phil
2:52
Fill in the blank: The Dodgers should _________ Yasmani Grandal.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:52
fart
Phil
2:52
Do your models take framing into account for pitchers and catchers values?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:52
Yes.  Very conservatively
tacopocket
2:53
thanks a lot for answering my keeper question.  you said you wouldn't deal wood for margot --- how about for Santana or thames?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:53
I think I would
hscer
2:53
but how could you play mike trout without giving the game away?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:53
If Blofeld can do it, so can MLB teams
MetsFan
2:53
What would Todd Frazier do for the Mets? I really hope they get him
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:54
It's not a bad fit.  I argued for it in my piece yesetrday
SZYMMMBOOO SLICE
2:54
How excited are your for the Orioles?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:54
none
Jon
2:54
On player pages, when a minor league player is traded mid season the new team stats is listed above the old team, so it isn't chronological. Is there a reason for that or will it be fixed? (See Daz Cameron's page as example. Listed as tigers, then Astros
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:54
Have to ask Apples
RP to SP
2:54
Odds of the following two guys moving into the rotation of the respective teams: Archie Bradley and Chad Green?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:54
Long
Johnny
2:54
How is WAR or equivalent calculated for multi-position players such as Jose Ramirez or Kris Bryant or pitchers who split their time between starting and relieving such as Mike Montgomery?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:55
I project players for one position.  Pitchers are easier to split up
If I do multiple, then I have to figure out a way to project that and express that
SIdney Crosby
2:55
Can we get Musgrove ZIPS?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:55
I think I tweeted it
Nick
2:55
Will the Amazon 2nd HQ selection impact the Hosmer signing, vice versa?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:55
Depends on Putin
Kevin
2:55
Who do you like in the backend of the Giants rotation? Beede, Stratton, Suarez, Blach, mystery man?
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