JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/28/21

Dan Szymborski

12:03

And hello!

Welcome to a so-far uneventful Thursday!

@gallen27

12:04

Going along with the current stock market theme, what player do you think teams are shorting but you think should be picked up for high upside?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

Call me crazy, but I still like Odorizzi

brad penny for your thoughts

12:04

do you find it weird you have a wikipedia article?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

Yes. It's a bit annoying since it's a decade out of date too; it's literally before I worked for ESPN!@

I won't update it -- I'm against self-editing Wiki pages as a matter of principle -- but it's still annoying.

Big Joey

12:06

If there isn't MiLB this year, are the Rays forced to promote Franco, as to not waste another year of his development?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I think *if* that happened, Ithe Rays would eventually

I expect there to be minor league ball

Big Joey

12:06

What's your guess as to when Wander Franco will debut?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

right now, I'd say August

12:06

Padres apparently have an offer on the table to Wainwright? Do they just think starting pitching is this year's market opportunity or did Peter Seidler sell his $GME yesterday?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Let's see rivals complete their rotations when the Padres have a 27-man rotation!

Appa Yip Yip

12:07

How do you feel about the Yankees pitching strategy of lining up a series of glass cannons and seeing which ones don't explode when fired?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Given the high probability of making the playoffs, it's not a bad one.

Bring Back Mookie (and Jeff)

12:07

Dan, the rest of you need to get on Ben's level with his titles and short blurbs. He's smoking you.

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Ben's good at them!

12:08

But Ima still the best at making AI generate baseball clickbait headlines!

George

12:08

Is the Nats bullpen actually going to be good this season? Hand, Harris, Hudson, Rainey, Suero, Finnegan actually feels almost good.

Dan Szymborski

12:08

It's still a very average group.

Everyone looks good before you consider injuries.

Well, not everyone

12:09

But you get the idea.

George

12:09

Robles or Kieboom breakout this season? Which do you think is more likely?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

Kieboom

Paul D

12:09

Does handed-mess of a lineup actually matter? (Thinking of the Jays who will be heavily right handed. Does that actually mater?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

In the big picture, it doesn't really matter. There are tactical differences, but you're rarely actually in the position where you have a lefty and an equally desirable righty and you have to choose between exactly one of them

12:09

Is there anything the Red Sox can do at this point to make themselves contenders? Seems like they've punted 2021.

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Steamer likes them! They'll need good luck with Sale and injuries generally

Cory

12:10

Which transaction, so far, do you think has had the most impact on the MLB?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Lindor

Jefferson

12:10

I'm trying to understand your wise Zips mechanics. I love the concept of not projecting playing time, it makes for far more interesting and informative numbers. But where exactly do the PAs come from, and why wouldn't everyone just get projected at 600 PAs? Is Zips saying a full time Julio Rodriguez would only get 422 PAs because of injury? Where does that 422 come from

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Historical PAs plus position plus age plus injury history

12:10

Who won the Ottavino trade?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Ottavino likely. The Yankees seemed like they had pretty much given up on using him in high-leverage situations

Erik

12:11

Given the strength of the NL East, do you see this current Phillies core winning even a single division title before they tear things down? They're basically all-in given that they don't have much left in the minors yet they're still projecting as nothing close to a playoff team.

Dan Szymborski

12:11

As of right now? No.

There's still time for them to do more, but good free agents are rapidly coming off the board.

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